31 July 2007 - Labor to cut new home prices
The Australian
The federal Labor party has announced a bold new initiative to address the
housing affordability crisis. The plan would see grants the cost of a new home
slashed by $20,000 for up to 50,000 buyers over a 5 year period. The funds would
be made available to local governments through a competitive bidding process and
they would be required to use the money to address infrastructure as well as
planning and approval costs for housing developments. Efficiency gains would
then have to be passed to home buyers. The Treasurer Peter Costello has
criticised the plan as simply using federal tax dollars to pay for state
government charges.
31 July 2007 - Fixed rate bargains
The Australian
A report by Fitch Ratings has found that Australians have one of the highest
proportions of variable rate mortgages rather than fixed in the world, despite
fixed rates currently being lower than variable. Competition between banks has
seen heavy discounting of fixed rates and with the strong possibility of another
increase in variable rates when the Reserve Bank meets next week now would be
the time to switch to fixed. Around 85 per cent of mortgages in Australia are
taken with a variable rate, the remainder are fixed or a combination of fixed
and variable.
31 July 2007 - Top deposit rate from BankWest
The Australian
BankWest has announced the launch of a new high interest savings account with a
market-leading rate of 8 per cent. To receive interest on the new 'Regular
Saver' account customers are required to each month deposit between $50 and
$500, make no withdrawals in the month and have the account linked to another
eligible BankWest account. The bank is expected to be ready to launch a whole
range of 'better deal' products including credit cards and mortgages and will
support these with a marketing blitz. The new account shows that BankWest is
serious about their threat to take on the nation's big four banks and grow its
current four per cent share of deposits.
31 July 2007 - Outlook rosy for business
The Financial Review
Business confidence remains at a four year high despite the prospect of an
interest rate rise next month. A survey by National Australia Bank has found
that confidence about the outlook for the September quarter has risen by 2
points to 12 which is its highest level since the end of 2003 and far above the
long term average of 5.3 points. The finding is the latest in a string of
indicators that show business activity is building and adds to concerns about
growing demand on an economy that is already operating at close to capacity.
31 July 2007 - Westpac banks on service
The Financial Review
With Westpac enjoying improved customer service ratings the bank is now planning
to add more staff to service premium retail customers and will overhaul its
mortgage origination and servicing platform to increase sales. Sales of
mortgages and credit cards are ahead of the other big banks in the year to May
and deposits have been growing too. Analysts have suggested that Westpac is
cutting margins to increase market share with a drop of 13 basis points in the
margin on consumer loans to 2.10 per cent. Westpac said that margins were
improving with an increase in branch sales of mortgages but that group interest
margins are expected to decline further over the year.
31 July 2007 - Climbing dollar takes a break
The Financial Review
Yesterday the Australian dollar traded as low as US84.5 cents, down 4.6 per cent
on the US88.71 cents achieved last Wednesday. Sharemarkets fluctuated but the
ASX200 Index closed 25.9 points higher after being down by as much as 38 points
during the day. Analysts believe that the demand for commodities by countries
such as China will remain strong and that the dollar will resume its upward
trend.
31 July 2007 - Home construction rate tumbling
The Australian
A survey of Australia's 100 largest developers by the Housing Industry
Association has found that sales of new homes fell by 12 per cent in the 2006-07
financial year. The figures vary from state to state with Western Australia
recording the worst drop of 29.7 per cent. South Australia saw an 18.9 per cent
fall, NSW was down by 10.7 per cent and Victoria by 8 per cent. Queensland
performed best with only a 2.3 per cent fall. The report also found that since
2000 building costs were up by between 40 and 50 per cent while land costs
increased by an astronomical 200 per cent.
30 July 2007 - Home ownership still Aussie dream
The Australian
A survey conducted by NAB has found that for those aged between 19 and 24 years,
90 per cent identify buying a home as their biggest goal in life. For the 25 to
34 year old group the priority is to see more of the world, but still 80 per
cent say that home ownership is near the top of their list. However home
ownership is just one of many goals for young people who usually have 5 major
life goals while older groups averaged two goals each. The goals most often
listed were overseas travel, volunteering, car ownership and huge adventures
such as climbing Mt Everest.
30 July 2007 - Melbourne million dollar club grows
Herald Sun
Since the start of this year the number of Melbourne suburbs where the median
price for a home is more than $1 million has more than doubled to 17. Data from
the Real Estate Institute of Victoria shows that the middle and top ends of the
market in Melbourne is strong and affordability for first-time buyers continues
to worsen. Eastern and beach suburbs are growing particularly strongly with the
median price of homes in the suburb of Hampton jumping by 23.8 per cent in the
quarter.
30 July 2007 - Equities markets brace for sell off
The Australian
The continued sell off in US equities markets has local analysts tipping a
further sell off in the Australian markets. The Dow Jones was off by a further
1.5 per cent on Friday evening taking the index 5 per cent lower over the week.
This performance is the worse sell off in the last 5 years and the Australian
market performance on Friday was the worst since the September 11 terrorist's
attacks. AMP Capital believe the current climate could see between 7 and 12 per
cent slashed from the markets current value with AMP economist Shane Oliver
predicting the market to open close to 6000 today, meaning the market is off 6.8
per cent from record highs reached a little over a week ago. Technical analysis
shows that if 6000 is broken the market could move to as low as 5650. The 2 per
cent fall recorded on Friday wiped $41 billion off the market value of the ASX
200, a further 10 per cent fall would see close to $200 billion wiped from the
market.
30 July 2007 - Case builds for rate rise
The Financial Review
Data on retail sales and private sector credit is due out this week, both of
which are expected to add to the case for the Reserve Bank to increase rates
when they meet next week. Forecasters are predicting that seasonal factors plus
government payments will have raised consumer spending for June. Sales of winter
gear got off to a slow start due to warm autumn weather but the temperatures
have been much colder since which would have driven a surge in sales. Adding to
this, the federal government made $1.7 billion worth of payments to aged
pensioners and carers but the impact of this depends on how much has been spent
and how much saved.
30 July 2007 - APRA warns on lost super
Investor Daily
The Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority (APRA) has released data showing
that close to 5 million superannuation accounts belong to people who have lost
contact with their superannuation fund. At June 2006 there were 29.1 million
accounts, a significant increase from 16.3 million accounts in June 1996. APRA
partly attributes this increase to employees joining a new superannuation fund
as they change employment and forecasts that super choice and greater
portability of funds will lessen future growth of the number of superannuation
accounts.
30 July 2007 - Aussie dollar lower over the weekend
News.com.au
The Aussie dollar will start the week lower falling rapidly over the weekend as
investors locked in profits amid continued concerns surrounding the US mortgage
sector. The dollar is trading around the $US0.8503 level well down from Fridays
close of $US0.8583. Analysts expect the sell off to continue to below $US0.84
cents with any stability in global equities markets a signal for the Aussie
dollar to receive some support. US GDP rose 0.6 per cent in the June quarter
taking inflation to an annual rate of 3.4 per cent.
27 July 2007 - Rate rise looks all but certain despite government spin
infochoice.com.au
In a blow to the Howard government's campaign to keep rates on hold the
International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that central banks may need to
increase interest rates in a bid to keep a handle on the sustained period of
strong economic growth. Many national economies (including Australia) are
operating at or near full capacity. The IMF comments follow the surprisingly
high inflation numbers released in Australia on Wednesday, brought about by a
strong acceleration in consumer prices in the June quarter.
Federal ministers, led wholeheartedly by the "Dynamic Duo" of Howard and
Costello, are insistent that the annual inflation rate is well within the
Reserve Bank's target range of between 2 and 3 per cent, and that there is no
reason for the Reserve Bank to increase official cash rates. The financial
markets however believe the government's argument will fall on deaf ears and
have priced in an 83 per cent chance of a 25 basis point increase in official
rates when the Reserve Bank meets on Tuesday the 7th of August.
A snapshot of the local and international economy's growth forecasts out to 2008
indicate that the Reserve Bank will be cautious in allowing any inflationary
pressures to gather momentum. A hawkish approach may deliver some short term
pain but will assist Australia in avoiding any significant periods of a
sustained downturn in the future. The Australian economy is experiencing an
almost one-off alignment of conditions; near record rates of unemployment,
record rates of participation, high levels of consumer confidence, business
investment confidence and housing prices recovering to near 2004 prices in many
capital cities. These indicators combined make the case for an August rate rise
highly compelling.
27 July 2007 - Annual reports past it
The Financial Review
Research from the Australasian Investor Relations Association has found that
almost 80 per cent of investors don't think that it is important to get a
printed copy of company's annual reports as long as the information is available
on the internet. Fewer than half the people who receive a printed copy of an
annual report actually read all of it and 18 per cent don't read any of it. New
federal laws mean that investors will have to ask to receive a printed copy of
an annual report if it is available online.
27 July 2007 - Banking policy prehistoric
Sydney Morning Herald
Outgoing Westpac chief David Morgan has again spoken out against the federal
government's four pillars policy saying that it is a "woolly mammoth, dug from
the Siberian tundra and shipped to Australia as a structure for banking". Dr
Morgan is concerned that Australian banks are being prevented from participating
in global mergers and corporate takeover deals such as the private equity bid
for Qantas. Dr Morgan will retire at the end of this year after eight years as
Westpac's chief executive.
27 July 2007 - Rudd's housing affordability summit flourishes
Daily Telegraph
Kevin Rudd's much anticipated conference to tackle housing affordability issues
was held in Canberra yesterday, with the Labor Leader grandly declaring "a
national consensus". Labor's policies are expected to focus on assisting first
home buyers save a deposit and Mr Rudd has already announced tax concessions for
investors to increase rental housing. At the same time the Federal government
has announced that the states' will lose their monopoly on Commonwealth funding
for public housing, an estimated $1 billion is now open to private tender,
namely councils, charities and developers. According to Community Services
Minister Mal Brough, since 1996-97 NSW public housing stock has only risen by
4905 houses, from 133,675 to 138,580. The Commonwealth-State Housing Agreement
will now see its first major change in 50 years, where NSW is now eligible to
receive $301 million in funds for public housing this financial year.
27 July 2007 - 50 per cent return for Fincorp victims
Daily Telegraph
Fincorp creditors have voted in favour of 47 resolutions that will result in the
sale of 21 Fincorp companies being sold or liquidated. The sale will mean that
secured noteholders in Fincorp will receive 50 cents in the dollar for their
investments in September. Unsecured noteholders will not receive any of the
funds but the administrators have reserved funds to pursue legal action against
the former directors which may recoup some of their losses.
27 July 2007 - Retail super funds lag
The Financial Review
Figures from the Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority show that retail
superannuation funds are returning around 20 per cent less than the average fund
due to higher costs. The latest information comes from analysing superannuation
performance over the past 10 years. Retail funds have returned 5.3 per cent
compared with an average return from all funds of 6.7 per cent. Public-sector
funds performed best generating a return of 8 per cent, closely followed by
corporate funds with 7.8 per cent, and then industry funds on 6.7 per cent.
27 July 2007 - Rate rise won't slow property market
The Financial Review
Real estate agents say that if rates rise in two weeks there will be little
impact on the demand for housing. Agents report that the market is going strong
around the country with prices rising, particularly for higher end properties
and those in desirable locations. However there is still danger in western
Sydney where buyers often borrow 100 or 105 per cent of the property value and
another rate rise will force more mortgagee sales.
26 July 2007 - Super returns far from normal
Financial Review
Superannuation funds have delivered the highest returns in a decade due to
booming equity and property markets. The median gain of 15.65 per cent by super
funds balanced portfolios is a further increase on last year's 14.2 per cent
return and the fourth year of double digit returns. The four year bull run has
increased the 10 year return to 9.05 per cent with some industry insiders
cautioning a return to single digit returns moving forward.
26 July 2007 - Rate rise tipped as inflation rises
Sydney Morning Herald
Borrowers are bracing for an increase in official interest rates next month as
the rate of underlying inflation jumped to 2.75 per cent, a sharp increase on
the previous quarter. The increase has not been unexpected and is in line with
other economic growth indicators, both domestic and global, that show the
economy has strengthened throughout the year.
26 July 2007 - Inflation still within RBA target band
Financial Review
Whilst underlying inflation is running at an annual rate of 2.75 per cent, the
Federal Treasurer Peter Costello has pointed out that the headline inflation
rate is running at 2.1 per cent, remaining well within the Reserve Bank's
defined target inflation band of between 2 and 3 per cent. Talking to ABC
television Costello said, "Whichever way you cut it, we're still within the band
that the government has set with the Reserve Bank, 2 - 3 per cent is low
inflation, and our monetary policy is directed at that target."
26 July 2007 - ASIC and RBA remain unconcerned on private equity
Financial Review
In comments to a Senate inquiry the Australian Securities and Investment
Commission believes there is no requirement for a regulatory overhaul on private
equity deals, whilst the Reserve Bank of Australia has played down the effects
of private equity transactions and leveraged buy outs on the federal tax take.
The comments will undoubtedly deliver comfort to the private equity industry
which is currently under fire in both the United Kingdom and United States of
America where political parties are calling for greater transparency over
taxation issues surrounding private equity and hedge fund structures.
26 July 2007 - Second Australian hedge fund caught in US sub prime crisis
Financial Review
Sydney-based hedge fund Absolute Capital has closed withdrawals on a $200
million fund to protect its business as market liquidity in the US sub-prime
credit markets continues to decline. Absolute told investors that it was facing
an estimated 6 per cent loss in July and was not willing to sell assets into an
already weak market. The fund (after legal advice) has placed a three month ban
on withdrawals. The Yield Strategies Fund manages approx $200 million of a total
$410 million managed by Absolute and is believed to contain a large amount of
retail investment.
25 July 2007 - Rental trap widening
Sydney Morning Herald
Over one-third of NSW renters suffered household budget stress bought about by
rental payments taking more than 30 per cent of household incomes. 2006 census
figures have highlighted the state wide spread of the rental crisis with rents
soaring. The Prime Ministers own electoral seat of Bennelong is seeing 40 per
cent of rental households contribute greater than 30 per cent of their income to
their landlords
25 July 2007 - Sydney property a tale of two markets
Sydney Morning Herald
Inner city areas of Sydney such as the inner west have helped raise the city's
median property price despite continuing distressed conditions in some of the
outer suburbs. Australian Property Monitors report the median house price in
Sydney has increased 1 per cent to $528,533 in the June quarter whilst the Inner
West recorded double digit growth of 11 per cent for the quarter. The Sydney
median house price is still 7 per cent below the 2004 high of $570,000
25 July 2007 - Customer satisfaction amongst banks increases
Financial Review
Recent investment by the major banks in improving customer service appears to
have paid a dividend with all 5 major banks increasing their customer
satisfaction levels with St George Bank importantly reversing last years drop in
satisfaction. St George maintained their number one ranking by a comfortable
margin with Westpac closing in fast on ANZ'S second position. CBA still lags its
competitors but CEO Ralph Norris has set the bank the challenge to be number one
sooner rather than later.
24 July 2007 - Challenger to ASX emerges
Sydney Morning Herald
A US company, top brokerage house Liquidnet, has applied to the Australian
Securities and Investments Commission to establish an alternative trading
platform to the ASX. If approved the move would mean the end of the monopoly
that the ASX has in processing trades of shares in listed companies. The new
exchange would operate on a system of "crossing" where a single broker matches
buyers and sellers on its own system and processes the trades directly.
Liquidnet is targeting expansion in Japan, Hong Kong, Singapore, Malaysia and
Australia.
24 July 2007 - Dismal day of trade
Daily Telegraph
Fluctuating US Stocks has shaken Australian stock prices at the close of
yesterday's trading, however commodity pricing kept the losses in line.
Benchmark S&P/ASX200 index was down 31.4 points to 6390.4, while the All
Ordinaries closed 28.9 points below at 6427.8. The Sydney Futures Exchange,
dropping 45 points to 6,380 on the September share price index, finished on a
volume of 19,307 contracts. Losses were kept minimal with the Big 4 Banks, with
NAB down 44c to $40.38, Commonwealth 35c lower at $56.55, ANZ dropped 17c to
$29.39, while Westpac remained steady at $26.70.
24 July 2007 - Banks should beef up security
The Financial Review
The head of financial services for internet based RaboPlus, Bryan Inch, has
criticised larger institutions for letting down their customers by scrimping on
security upgrades to eliminate online scams. RaboPlus uses two factor
identification, a combination of a one-time password device and personal
identification number, which has resulted in no online fraud losses since being
introduced. Mr Inch said "The banks have got to front up and implement
appropriate security. The bottom line is that [large institutions] are not
incurring the sorts of losses that makes it viable for them to upgrade their
security."
24 July 2007 - NZ fraud claims harder
The Financial Review
Liability for internet banking fraud in New Zealand has been moved from
institutions to customers. Under the New Zealand Bankers Association code of
conduct, consumers seeking compensation for losses due to internet fraud can be
forced to submit their computer for analysis to see if they are sufficiently
secure before any claim is paid. Most of New Zealand's largest banks are
Australian owned but the Australian Bankers Association has denied that New
Zealand is being used as a test case for similar changes here. Research has
estimated that the big five banks in Australia currently incur losses of between
$12 million and $15 million per month.
24 July 2007 - Conditions easing for business
The Financial Review
The June quarter Producer Price Index has shown that business costs and charges
were up by 1 per cent which exceeded market expectations, however the annual
growth figure was a three year low of 2.3 per cent. Input costs are growing more
slowly than output prices which is reducing the pressure on profit margins for
business. Construction costs were up by 1.3 per cent for the quarter and it may
not be long before this segment is growing at double the rate of inflation. More
important to the deliberations of the Reserve Bank when it next meets in two
weeks will be the June quarter consumer price index which is released today.
24 July 2007 - Which way for dollar?
The Financial Review
Analysts are mixed in their views on the future outlook for the Australian
dollar which is currently trading at 18 year highs. Chief economist for the
Commonwealth Bank, Michael Blythe, expects that the dollar will be at 89 cents
by the end of this year saying that the currency is commodities based and the
dollar still lags commodity prices. However foreign exchange strategist at
Deutsche Bank, John Horner, believes that while the dollar may jump above 89
cents in the next few weeks, it will be back under 80 cents by the end of 2007.
Mr Horner believes that the current global economy could have peaked and says "a
modest slowing will weigh on the outlook for the dollar given both its impact on
commodity price prospects and also on risk appetites".
23 July 2007 - Soaring $A raises alarm on CPI figure
Sydney Morning Herald
According to Bloomberg, the Australian dollar has surpassed US88c for the first
time in 18 years, peaking at US88.34 and while many predict the dollar to reach
US90c, economists believe an increase of the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA)
official cash rate is the least of people's worries. Next month when the RBA
board has its meeting, inflation figures, which are inversely related to the
exchange rate, are of interest as it will provide a better indicator of whether
the RBA board decides to raise the official interest rate. The RBA's trade
weighted index, is the exchange rate economists use in determining underlying
inflation, and since its last revised inflation forecast of 67, the index has
increased to more than 70. As this figure increases, it indicates the economy is
growing at a greater than anticipated rate and thus the RBA will intervene and
increase the cash rate to slow down growth. Although the strength of the
Australian dollar places a huge burden on certain industries, in particular
mining companies, benefits are being realised by consumers, Goldman Sachs JBWere
reported the June quarter the strongest in three years.
23 July 2007 - ANZ renews focus on business banking
The Australian
ANZ Bank's new boss of institutional banking Peter Hodgson has said that volume
by itself is not a worthwhile pursuit. Mr Hodgson said that while he would be
keeping an eye on costs it would only be to keep them in line with revenue
opportunities and promised faster decision making. Over the past two years the
Bank's share of business lending has shrunk from 18.3 per cent to 16.4 per cent
and at the announcement of the March half-year profit chief executive John
McFarlane said that the result would have been "an absolute stunner" if not for
institutional banking.
23 July 2007 - Fincorp loans not recoverable
Sydney Morning Herald
Failed property group Fincorp had lent a total of $28 million to 15 other
companies and individuals who were unable to obtain financing from banks and
other lenders. Receiver Ferrier Hodgson has now said that it is likely that only
$6.4 million of these loans would be recovered. Eight of the 15 loans were
secured as first-ranking property mortgages however the remaining seven were
either second ranking or mortgages or had caveats that put Fincorp behind other
lenders. Many of the external loans are in default and there will be no cash
left for the Fincorp receivers when the properties are sold.
23 July 2007 - Wall Street in retreat
Sydney Morning Herald
Sharp losses have been incurred on Wall Street following disappointing company
profit results as well as concerns about sub-prime mortgages. The Dow Jones fell
1.07 per cent on Friday to close at 13,851.08. On the local front investors are
waiting for the latest quarterly inflation figure which will have strong
influence on the outlook for interest rates.
23 July 2007 - Risk in election promises
Daily Telegraph
Independent forecaster Access Economics said that inflation risks were worsening
due to falling unemployment but this would ease as productivity improves. On the
business front Access director Chris Richardson said that the business cycle
that has been running since 2002 is stunning with an increase in capital
expenditure of 85 per cent. Access has also warned that the $70 billion of
policy costs being pumped into the economy from the federal budget, as well as
further promises in the lead up to the election, are putting upward pressure on
interest rates.
20 July 2007 - Record close for Dow Jones
Courier Mail
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rallied overnight to set an all time record
high. The Dow jumped 82.19 points, or 0.59 per cent to close at 14,000.41,
almost 3 months after the Dow first pierced the 13,000 barrier. A surge of big
mergers and acquisitions fuelled by private equity firms has led the US stock
market to race to record heights this year. Al Goldman, analyst at AG Edwards
said that "robust corporate earnings reports", especially in the tech sector,
had fuelled the latest gain.
20 July 2007 - Rising A$ may ward off rate rise
infochoice.com.au
Little new has emerged in the past week in the interest rate outlook and the
chances of a rate rise as soon as August still hang on the release of the June
quarter inflation figures on Wednesday.
The heat came off nicely in the March quarter with the inflation rate settling
back to well within its target range. But the Reserve Bank has warned that
inflation is likely to rise again from those levels and at the first sign of
underlying inflation measures heading North again the RBA board is likely to act
on interest rates.
But at this stage it's not likely that the coming week's inflation result will
be bad enough to bring on an immediate response to raise rates. The economy so
far has shown great resilience to inflationary pressures that had been fully
expected to emerge amid the strong growth experienced in recent times.
Now, the rise of the Australian dollar offers more insulation against inflation,
reducing the prices of the large volumes of imports being sucked in to our
hungry economy. The Aussie dollar going over 80 cents during the last quarter
will have started to have an anti-inflationary impact that will only grow this
year as it heads towards US90 cents.
Already at an 18-year high against the US dollar, the rising Aussie is likely to
hit exports hard next year and put a drag on economic growth. But at least for
borrowers, the rise is good in the short term, reducing the likelihood or at
least the magnitude of interest rate rises.
20 July 2007 - Consumer sentiment remains high
Daily Telegraph
The Reserve Bank of Australia yesterday released figures showing total credit
card debt at an all time high of $40 billion. Credit card spending is typically
driven by retail purchases, rather than cash advances, and over the previous
year in May there has been a 4.8 per cent decline in cash advances, from $1.135
billion to $1.086 billion. Consumer spending in the month of May continued to
increase at relatively high levels, despite signs of a slowdown, with card
purchases rising 6.2 per cent to a total value of $16.35 billion. Average debt
was also reported to have risen by 7.2 per cent, to $2,990. CommSec economist
Martin Arnold said "With the jobs market so robust and household income rising,
we're going to see continued strength in consumer spending."
20 July 2007 - Security checks faster
The Financial Review
The Federal government is looking to establish a national securities register
which would record all encumbered personal property. The new electronic system
will make it easier for consumers, finance companies and businesses to determine
whether there is any money owed on the personal property before purchase.
Currently it is not possible to check the records for every state in real time
when purchasing a motor vehicle. Data will be available on the web, by SMS, call
centre, interactive voice response, fax, mail or over the counter. The project
is being driven by Federal Attorney-General Phillip Ruddock who said "Personal
property security reform will reduce red tape for businesses and lead to cheaper
finance, more competition in the financial services sector and a reduction in
legal disputes."
20 July 2007 - Fincorp directors face court
The Financial Review
Administrators of the failed property group Fincorp have set aside over $5
million to pursue court action against the property finance company's former
directors. The directors would face charges over potential breach of duties,
keeping inadequate accounts and making large payments to insiders. A deal to
sell the assets of the company will go before creditors next week and would
return 50 cents in the dollar to investors.
20 July 2007 - Housing supply dwindles
The Australian
Housing supply is still tightening with the Housing Industry Association
yesterday reaffirming its forecast of a 1 per cent drop in housing starts in
2006-07. The outlook for 2007-08 is not much better with HIA predicting only a 3
per cent rise which would not be enough to meet expected demand. Chief economist
of the HIA Harley Dale said "Without a concerted all-of-government approach to
rectifying the affordability crisis, the build-up in unmet demand will
intensify."
20 July 2007 - Housing industry suggestions panned
The Financial Review
A group representing renters has criticised the joint statement issued yesterday
by four industry bodies that suggested ways of improving housing supply as the
answer to the current affordability crisis. Australians for Affordable Housing
spokesman David Imber said that improving the supply side would mainly benefit
developers and speculators rather than people struggling to buy or rent a home.
Mr Imber said "Industry groups are always quick to ask for special treatment but
never offer any guarantee the savings they make will be passed on to renters and
purchasers." He went on to say that policies needed to create supply at the
lower end of the rental market and provide genuine non-inflationary assistance
for targeted home buying and renting.
19 July 2007 - Dollar highs OK by Reserve
Sydney Morning Herald
The Reserve Bank governor Glenn Stevens said yesterday that the bank was
comfortable with the current high value of the Australian dollar and is not
considering intervention to slow the currency's rise. The dollar has already
reached an 18 year record high of US88 cents and is being tipped to move above
US90 cents. Mr Stevens warned that any future crisis may be quite different to
the one that hit Asian financial markets in 1997 when the Australian dollar
slipped below US60 cents. "It is at least as likely to be truly global as to be
regional, and just as likely to originate in the developed world as in the
emerging world," he said.
19 July 2007 - Property groups call for real change
The Financial Review
Four of the main industry property groups in Australia have called on the
political parties to address the structural issues causing the housing
affordability crisis instead of offering temporary fixes. A joint statement form
Master Builders Australia, the Real Estate Institute of Australia, the
Residential Development Council and the Urban Development Institute of Australia
said that the key areas to improve were land supply, development approval delays
and insufficient infrastructure. The four have suggested that Australia should
have an independent residential housing affordability authority along the lines
of the National Housing and Planning Advice Unit in Britain.
19 July 2007 - Westpac terminates cards
Sydney Morning Herald
A security breach has resulted in Westpac cancelling thousands of Visa credit
cards over the past week. The only thing that Westpac will say about the
security breach is that it relates to a third-party vendor which had contact
with all the affected cards. The bank is in the process of writing to customers
whose cards have been cancelled.
19 July 2007 - Borrowers may face deposit requirement
Herald Sun
A proposal that would force home loan borrowers to have a deposit of at least 20
per cent has been criticised by the housing industry, saying that it would stop
home construction. A House of Representatives economic committee said that
mandating the deposit level would help to prevent people from borrowing too
much. Housing industry experts believe that this is too restrictive and that for
some people a 100 per cent loan is viable. The committee is due to report to
parliament within the next month after considering views of banks and consumer
groups.
19 July 2007 - ACR payout looks up
The Financial Review
Investors in the failed property group ACR may get between 70 cents and 85 cents
in the dollar. The news follows a rumoured offer to purchase the ACR property
portfolio for between $460 and $500 million. While there is nothing signed yet
the price would go a long way to recouping the value of investments with more
than $228 million owed to secured lenders and over $328 million to unsecured
investors.
19 July 2007 - RAMS float to determine value
The Financial Review
RAMS will be the first non-bank lender to list when it debuts on the stock
exchange on 27 July. Investors are unsure of how the business should be valued,
whether it is somewhere between the regional banks and Mortgage Choice, or if it
is more a wholesale mortgage financier like Adelaide Bank. The lender has $13.3
billion of loans under management, posted a profit of $23.3 million for the 2006
financial year and is expected to be valued at just over $1 billion when it
floats.
19 July 2007 - Family housing unit holds its own
The Australian
The 2006 Census has concluded there has been no change in the market share by
household type, despite speculation that societal changes seen between the 1991
and 2001 censuses would continue through this decade. Family occupied housing,
comprising mum, dad and children, was a healthy 41 per cent of all households at
the 1991 census, however a decline of 8 percentage points was reported in the
2001 census. A further downturn was predicted to follow, however, the
traditional family unit comfortably held their market share of 33 per cent of
all households between the 2001 and 2006 censuses. The number of privately
occupied dwellings in Australia last August, was up 524,000, to 7.59 million,
indicating an average annual growth of about 105,000. Household formation
between 2001 and 2006 is 1.5 per cent a year, while the population growth
averaged 1.2 per cent over this period.
18 July 2007 - Positive credit risks
Sydney Morning Herald
The Australian Law Reform Commission is currently weighing up the risks and
benefits in moving to a positive credit reporting system. Currently we have a
negative reporting system where the information stored largely relates to
defaults. A positive system would mean that additional information could be
collected such as current credit card limits and balances, payment history,
opened and closed accounts as well as information about applications. While some
bankers think that the extra information would result in better credit decisions
other suggest that it would simply result in higher levels of lending as
institutions target people who could carry more debt.
18 July 2007 - Sub-Prime loan crisis to spread
Sydney Morning Herald
The US sub-prime loan crisis will certainly affect further Australian investors
according to leading Australian fund managers, David Bryant the head of
Australian Unity Investment saying "I would be surprised if there weren't more.
Not all of the problems have floated to the surface". In the US market there is
approximately $2 trillion in US mortgages that are currently on attractive
honeymoon or introductory rates, these loans are expected to revert to
significantly higher variable interest rates over the coming 18 months. It is
the end of honeymoon periods that have been blamed for the high default rates
within the sub-prime market and to date, 40 US based sub-prime lenders have been
shut down whilst a number of high profile hedge funds and investment banks have
been caught in the debt repricing, including Australia's Basis Capital.
18 July 2007 - ANZ boss questions penalty fees
The Sheet
Outgoing ANZ CEO John McFarlane has told the Australian British Chamber of
Commerce that penalty fees hurt those least able to afford them - though ANZ
doesn't plan to make any changes to their fee structure in the near term.
Responding to a question from journalist Michael Pascoe McFarlane has been
reported as saying "If you charge a fee to somebody who doesn't have much money
in their bank account, then you charge the same fee again when they present
another cheque and so forth, eventually they build up a negative balance that is
unsustainable."
18 July 2007 - Citigroup and Amex last two standing with David Jones
The Australian
Retailer David Jones has narrowed its future credit card partner down to either
American Express or Citigroup; the two remaining candidates are left from an
initial group of 11 institutions bidding for the DJ's business with a final
decision expected in November this year. The winning group will also take over
operational responsibility for the existing DJ's store card that contributes
approx 30 per cent of the groups' annual pre-tax earnings.
18 July 2007 - Now lenders are to blame for affordability crisis
The Financial Review
The Federal Government has opened up on mortgage lenders in the housing
affordability debate launching an inquiry into if lending standards have become
too lax. A House of Representatives committee will examine the issue meeting
with lenders, regulatory bodies, industry groups and community groups. The
inquiry comes hot on the heels of the Labor Party plans for a housing
affordability summit before the Federal election.
18 July 2007 - Saving level sinking
Sydney Morning Herald
Research from ING Direct shows that the proportion of households able to save
money has fallen 11 points to 46 per cent over the past year. NSW is the worst
performer with only 43.1 per cent able to save. The report also found that
nationally the number of households that are going into debt to get by is up
from 4 per cent to nearly 7 per cent. On a more positive note the number of
Australians saying that they were saving to reduce debt has increased from 17
per cent to 25 per cent.
17 July 2007 - ASIC put freeze on Fincorp founder
The Financial Review
The Australian Securities and Investment Commission (ASIC) has placed a freeze
on the assets of Fincorp founder Eric Krecichwost and 12 associated parties as
the administrator attempts to recover money that may have been taken from the
development company before its collapse in March 2007. The asset freeze has
occurred at a time that the property portfolio held by Fincorp will be purchased
by Becton Property Group and AV Jennings for $205 million. Fincorp
Administrators Korda Mentha say that the sale will result in secured noteholders
receiving a return of 50 cents for every dollar invested whilst non-secured note
holders will not receive any returns. Korda Mentha believes the total shortfall
to investors in Fincorp Investments will exceed $120 million.
17 July 2007 - Basis Capital calls a halt on withdrawals
The Financial Review
High profile Australian hedge fund Basis Capital has been forced to suspend all
withdrawals from its flagship fund after last week informing investors of its
exposure to the US sub-prime loans industry. The fund has been unable to
calculate the value of its clients holdings post a revaluation of its assets,
saying yesterday in a client note "This recent turn of events has made it
impracticable to be able to fairly calculate the net asset value of the fund".
Basis Capital manages over $2 billion of funds for investors and superannuation
funds with more than 10 per cent believed to have been invested through leading
investment platform catering for private investors. The move to halt all
withdrawals follows a warning last week that there may be limited redemption
limits imposed.
17 July 2007 - Unlisted funds deliver fee frenzy
The Financial Review
Unlisted funds are tipped to deliver Macquarie Bank as much as $1 billion in
performance fees over the next five years offsetting any downturn in performance
fees from listed funds. Last year wholesale investors placed more than six times
($19 billion) the amount into unlisted funds with Macquarie Bank than into the
banks listed funds, a dramatic turnaround in investor allocation from three
years ago where the majority of investor demand was for the banks listed
vehicles.
17 July 2007 - Home loan demand to slow
The Australian
A recent joint mortgage industry survey conducted by industry body MFAA and
BankWest indicates that less people are expecting to take out a new home loan in
the coming 12 months whilst the number of people who were unsure, or never
expect to take out a home loan increased by more than 15 per cent from a survey
conducted in November. The survey indicates the home loan slowdown will be
nationwide with no major distinction between states, whilst 61.6 per cent of
those surveyed believed property prices would increase in the next quarter.
17 July 2007 - New generation ATM's
The Financial Review
Financial technology company NCR yesterday launched a range of smart,
multi-purpose ATM's. The new machines use paper scanning technology to handle
bill payment, cheque clearing, claim forms and cash. Woolworths is in talks with
NCR to be the first location for the ATM's and at least one of the big 4 is
considering upgrading their ATM fleet in the next year.
16 July 2007 - BankWest move pressures profits
The Financial Review
Analysts are predicting that expansion plans announced by BankWest could cut
earnings for the five largest banks by 12 per cent in the 2008-09 financial
year. While worst-case scenarios are unlikely to be realised, Goldman Sachs JB
Were said that if the local banks lost 2 per cent market share and margins fell
by 0.1 per cent cash earnings would drop for Commonwealth Bank by 8.7 per cent
and 11.6 per cent for St George. Predictions from Deutsche Bank were more dire
with their worst case resulting in profitability for the banking sector dropping
between 19 and 28 per cent in the medium term.
16 July 2007 - Key costs up in June
The Financial Review
Citigroup has conducted price analysis which found that household costs jumped
almost 1 per cent in the June quarter. Petrol prices were up 9.7 per cent,
health insurance up by 4.5 per cent and rents rose 1.5 per cent. Despite these
increases Citigroup believes that inflation will continue its downward trend on
an annual basis as the growth in prices is significantly less than this time
last year when the CPI was blown out to 4 per cent by soaring petrol and banana
costs.
16 July 2007 - AWA's drive down wages
The Financial Review
A report commissioned by the Victorian government has found that workers under
Australian Workplace Agreements earned 16.3 per cent less than those on
collective agreements last year. Generally employees on AWA's in small
businesses were paid less than those on collective agreements while the reverse
was true for those in large firms and the public service. Median earnings under
AWA's in 2006 were $20.50 - $4 below the median earnings under collective
agreements.
16 July 2007 - Queue for tax amendments
The Financial Review
The Commonwealth Ombudsman is urging the Australian Taxation Office to explain
reasons for decisions to taxpayers more clearly and to address delays as a
report reveals the extent of complaints about the ATO. A leaked document reveals
that there is waiting list of 70,000 income tax return amendments and that ATO
phone lines have been diverted to a shopping centre as well as an individual's
mobile number. The ATO has said that the number of outstanding amendments is
more than they would like and that they have put some extra people onto the
problem.
16 July 2007 - Closure for finance scandal victims
The Financial Review
The 3,600 people who lost up to $150 million in the West Australian finance
broker scandal will receive a share of a $30 million compensation package funded
by the state government. The pooled mortgage investment schemes were promoted by
finance brokers in the 1990's with rorts and systemic failures investigated in
2001. The $30 million settlement followed action by investors against the state
government claiming that the Finance Brokers Supervisory Board did not protect
them from unscrupulous finance brokers.
16 July 2007 - RBA prepare for next phase of reforms
The Australian
Since 2000, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has been working hard to abolish
the nation's $60 billion payments system, whilst confronting legal challenges by
Visa, Mastercard and retailer groups. There have been significant improvements
made, with an estimated $900 million in consumer savings due to lower merchant
service fees and increased market competition. Deputy chairman of the payments
system board, Philip Lowe, believes there is "a willingness by some in the
industry to explore a wider range of possibilities than was the case seven years
ago." The next phase on the agenda for the RBA is to enforce regulation on the
automatic teller machine system.
16 July 2007 - Records made in US market
Sydney Morning Herald
Last Friday Wall Street had a second day of record highs with the Dow Jones
Industrial Average of blue chips climbing by 45.5 points to close at 13,907.2.
Other indexes on the exchange also achieved record levels following General
Electric's announcement of a 10 per cent increase in profits despite losses from
sub-prime mortgages.
13 July 2007 - Jobs breather does little to ease rates threat
infochoice.com.au
Pressure for an increase in interest rates has perhaps eased slightly following
the release of the June jobs figures showing a slight increase in unemployment
and a decrease in full-time jobs.
However, there is nothing much in this latest monthly employment result to
suggest the jobs boom is coming to an end, or that the heat is off inflation.
After a strong run of full-time job growth in recent months, there was bound to
be some form of correction in a set of figures that is notoriously volatile from
month to month anyway.
Unemployment edged up 0.1 percentage point to 4.3 per cent, but this is really
accounted for in a rise in the participation rate as people are drawn back into
the workforce by the attractive job climate. Part-time jobs grew strongly,
offsetting the full-time decrease.
The outlook for jobs growth still looks healthy in the second half of 2007,
especially when combined with high consumer confidence (despite a slight fall in
July) and ongoing growth in lending finance. Business lending grew 1.1 per cent
in May, reversing a fall in April and adding to healthy overall growth over the
past year. Personal credit grew 2.2 per cent and housing lending rose a modest
0.2 per cent.
All in all, the pointers suggesting continuing growth in the economy are little
changed. The question is whether this leads to a squeeze that leads to wage and
price inflation, and the need for the Reserve Bank to raise interest rates. That
risk is certainly there and the release of the June quarter inflation figures in
two weeks is critical for the 'if and when' questions about a rise in interest
rates.
13 July 2007 - Virgin calls for caution
infochoice.com.au
Virgin Money has backed calls for lenders to adopt responsible lending practices
and not give consumers larger loans than they can afford to service. CEO of
Virgin Money David Wakeley said that a huge area for concern is around high loan
to value ratio loans which can be 105% of the property value and higher. Mr
Wakeley also criticised the measure of 'mortgage stress' which is being applied
to households where 30% or more of their income is committed to housing costs.
Instead, individual circumstances need to be taken into account, whether they
are single or have a family, any other costs and potential interest rate rises.
13 July 2007 - Fewer jobs eases rate pressure
Daily Telegraph
A slight increase in the unemployment rate has eased pressure on the Reserve
Bank to increase rates. The rise from 4.2 per cent in May to 4.3 per cent in
June was small with the number of full time jobs falling by 34,300. A senior
economist at ANZ, Riki Polygenis, said "After two red hot months in April and
May, a pause in employment growth in June was always a possibility. This will
ensure that the Reserve Bank remains on a tightening bias for some time to come,
but will not be sufficient to prompt a rate hike before the federal election."
13 July 2007 - Finding value in branches
The Financial Review
In a turn-around from the thinking that prevailed in the 1990's, the number of
bank branches was up 4 per cent last year to almost 5,150. Banks have realised
that there is value in the face-to-face experience even though 16 per cent of
Australians use internet banking every day and 52 per cent use it at least once
per week. While improvements are being made to the "retail experience" local
banks are still some way behind Japanese banks which offer joint bank-cafes or
sharing space with McDonalds to attract younger customers.
13 July 2007 - New look BankWest branches
The Financial Review
New branches, announced by BankWest this week as part of a major expansion into
the east coast markets, will be located at shopping centres, retail precincts
and commercial districts. The branches will open for longer hours, including
weekends, and will be designed to be brighter and more like a store. While other
banks have found it difficult to obtain suitable locations for additional
branches, BankWest have said that they have already secured locations for their
initial branch openings later this year.
13 July 2007 - Ratings agencies warn investors
The Financial Review
Credit ratings agencies PIR, Rapid Ratings and Grosvenor Bond Watch, which had
all rated Bridgecorp as investment grade, are now trying to distance themselves
from the development finance company's collapse. After ASIC had taken action to
prevent Brdgecorp from further fund-raising in Australia, PIR had downgraded a
Bridgecorp notes issue. Rapid Ratings have said that they have been in wind-down
mode in the Australasian region since they pulled out of the New Zealand market
in January 2006. The agencies said that investors need to better understand the
risks involved before putting money into such schemes.
13 July 2007 - BankWest bank on competition
Sydney Morning Herald
BankWest will take on the big four banks in the East Coast with the backing of
its parent company HBOS. HBOS is one of the United Kingdom's biggest banks with
assets of approx 380 billion pounds (A$900bn). The Big four have in recent years
had skirmishes with regional players expanding outside of their core markets
such as Bank of Queensland, Bendigo and Suncorp but BankWest may well prove to
be a very different opponent with the deep pockets of its parent sure to make
some banking executives nervous. Post the branch roll out BankWest will have
over 260 branches which will still be short of the 390 branches offered by St
George bank; Commonwealth Bank boasts the biggest branch network of over 1000
across Australia.
13 July 2007 - Sydney based hedge fund looks to limit withdrawals
Sydney Morning Herald
A Sydney based hedge fund manager Basis Capital Funds Management has put a limit
on withdrawals from two of its funds that invest in collateralised debt
obligations (CDO's). CDO's are considered a higher risk product and recent
losses resulting from the US sub-prime lending markets have seen credit agencies
downgrade large amounts of sub-prime related debt. Basis Capital in a newsletter
said "the imposition of withdrawal limits, were designed at inception to ensure
the funds survival through periods of extreme dislocation such as this." Basis
Capital was founded in 1999 and is located in Circular Quay Sydney, the fund has
said it investments are "fundamentally sound".
13 July 2007 - Lending standards called into question
Sydney Morning Herald
Home lenders are providing loans that will require the borrower to repay more
than half their monthly income in repayments, well in excess of the defined 30
per cent level of mortgage stress. Amid fierce competition it appears many
lenders are bypassing physical valuations in favour of cheaper online services.
Data compiled by research firm Fujitsu Consulting reveals that one quarter of
non-conforming loans are approved without an onsite inspection. In NSW the
average loan to valuation ration (LVR) has increased from 51 per cent in 2003 to
75 per cent in 2007. The increase in loan sizes and inaccuracies in some
valuation methods are placing borrowers in danger of negative equity (meaning
they owe more than their house is worth).
12 July 2007 - Mortgage Stress centred in safe Labor seats
The Financial Review
The centre of the housing affordability crisis is south-west Sydney where it is
estimated more than half of all families are paying in excess of 30 per cent of
their income on housing repayments. Data prepared by the Housing Industry
Association (HIA) has revealed that the problem is at its worst in a number of
safe Labor seats, with only one government held seat (Wentworth) in the top ten
electorates under mortgage stress.
12 July 2007 - Mortgage defaults on the rise
The Financial Review
Mortgage defaults and arrears in the mortgage funds industry are on the increase
whilst investors appear to be taking cover as recent collapses of property
finance companies and falling returns take their toll. A report by global
ratings agency Standard & Poor (S&P) indicates that the worst is yet to come
with higher interest rates stimulating returns, expected to increase defaults
among borrowers. S&P has issued downgrades for 12 mortgage funds.
12 July 2007 - BankWest lay down challenge to majors
InfoChoice.com.au
BankWest have announced plans to increase their East Coast distribution with
plans to open more than 160 branches in NSW, Victoria, Queensland and South
Australia over the next 3 to 4 years. The plan is believed to be the largest
branch expansion program undertaken from scratch in Australia and will challenge
the dominance of Australia's big four banks. The plan will see 125 retail and 35
business banking branches opened. It is envisaged that more than 3,000 jobs will
be created and during 2007-2008 $380 million will be spent on the project.
12 July 2007 - Debit cards on rise but credit still number one
The Age
Australians are increasingly opting for debit cards rather than conventional
credit cards. Over the past 12 months, the number of debit cards issued has
increased by 16.3 per cent. Bruce Mansfield of Visa says the take-up of debit
cards is largely attributable to demand from the youth sector. Mansfield
believes that debit is more appealing to young people and consumers hesitant to
take on more debt. The Australian Merchant Payments Forum is concerned that
banks are pushing the debit cards in an attempt to reduce use of the EFTPOS
system.
12 July 2007 - Westpac turns green
Sydney Morning Herald
Westpac is planning to launch a line of new environmentally sustainable products
and services supported by a marketing campaign that will highlight their
community and environmental credentials. While the move was welcomed by
marketers they warned that consumers are about to be hit by a wave of "greenwash"
as more companies seek to attract customers by addressing environmental
concerns.
12 July 2007 - US mortgages lead market lower
The Financial Review
Credit rating downgrades of up to US$17 billion in bonds backed by sub-prime
mortgages have re-ignited concerns surrounding US credit markets. There are
increasing fears that the US housing market may have a negative effect on growth
for longer than previously anticipated and that higher interest rates will
prolong the weakness in the housing market.
12 July 2007 - Anti-Money laundering chief fires warning shot
The Financial Review
The head of the national anti-money-laundering regulatory body has threatened to
implement sweeping powers to ensure that the financial institutions comply with
harsh federal laws. AUSTRAC CEO Neil Jensen has warned company directors and
senior executives that their operations need to be ready to comply with federal
regulations to be implemented in the coming 18 months.
12 July 2007 - McDermott to take new ball for Bridgecorp
The Financial Review
Former Australian cricket star Craig McDermott has emerged as the largest debtor
to failed property finance company Bridgecorp, owing $18 million which was used
to finance residential developments in South East Queensland. Bridgecorp went
into receivership on July 3 2007 owing $24.6 million to 1,032 Australian
investors. McDermott said that he had not yet been contacted by the
administrator but will be working with the administrator to work through
Bridgecorp's difficulties when and if they call him.
11 July 2007 - Great rates on offer
Sydney Morning Herald
Negotiating for the best possible rate is of common practice in today's society,
deals can extend from discounts on home loans to special rates offered on term
deposits. However, for consumers wanting to attain competitive deals, it would
require them to increase their product awareness and knowledge. Term deposits
are a prime example, where you can achieve the best possible rate for the
initial term, but at the end of the term if you neglect to review the term
deposit arrangement, the money will be reinvested at the standard "carded" rate,
a rate generally lower than what the investment was initially earning. A lot of
the time, term deposit rates are given at the banker's discretion, indicating
there is room for bargaining for those willing to go the distance.
11 July 2007 - Melbourne rentals scarce
The Financial Review
Rental vacancies in Melbourne have remained under 2 per cent for the past 17
months. According to figures from the Real Estate Institute of Victoria, the
vacancy rate for properties within four kilometres of the city centre was only 1
per cent in May, down from 1.3 per cent in April. Median rents in Melbourne are
up 6 per cent on a year ago which is the highest increase in 10 years.
11 July 2007 - Investors busy while renters squeezed
The Financial Review
Investors returning to the property market will only make it harder for
first-home buyers. The proportion of first-home buyers was down 0.6 per cent in
May to 16.6 per cent, significantly below the long term average of 20 per cent,
while loans for investors increased 8.9 per cent in May, now accounting for 31
per cent of approvals. Of further concern is the slow pace of housing
construction with building approvals down 5 per cent in May which includes a 10
per cent drop in apartment construction.
11 July 2007 - Bull run may keep going
The Financial Review
The head of quantitative research and investment at broking firm CommSec, Ron
Bewley, has said that total growth of the sharemarket in the past four years is
less than average and that the current bull run is still two years short of the
average length. Mr Bewley also said "There has not been a single occasion in the
last 124 years where gains made over a run of four positive years were
completely eroded by a subsequent negative run." Many analysts are tipping that
the ASX 200 index will hit 7,000 some time in the next 12 months.
11 July 2007 - Brochure shines light on dodgy investments
Daily Telegraph
The Australian Tax Office has issued a new brochure to help consumers to tell
the difference between a good investment scheme and a bad one, although
sometimes it's not easy to work out. In the brochure the ATO recommends getting
independent advice, particularly in cases where some of the benefit relies on
large tax refunds or putting money in an offshore tax haven. Consumers should
also check for a product ruling which gives a legally binding ruling on that any
tax deductions will be available to you as long as the scheme is conducted as
set out in the ruling. The brochure is called 'Don't take the bait' and is
available from the ATO now.
11 July 2007 - Free credit not so cheap
Daily Telegraph
ASIC has warned consumers that in-store credit offers are not designed to help
you to save, but encourage more spending. Delia Rickard, ASIC's deputy executive
director of consumer protection, said "When added to the price of purchase, fees
imposed for interest-free terms may equate to a much higher rate of interest on
a purchase than if a standard credit card was used - possibly in excess of 20
per cent." She also said that if items aren't paid off within the interest-free
period there could be interest rate charges as high as 27.99 per cent.
InfoChoice says that the only way to take advantage of the interest- free deals
is to pay the amount off in full before the expiry of the interest-free period.
11 July 2007 - Discounted rates for the research savvy
Sydney Morning Herald
The findings of a recent Wizard Home Loans survey confirmed that a third of
prospective home loan borrowers were unaware of discounted rates, indicating
that Australians are not well informed about the home loan market. The Reserve
Bank of Australia (RBA) quotes the average discount offered to borrowers on a
standard variable rate home loan is 0.6 per cent, with more aggressive lenders
offering up to 0.9 per cent. Chairman of Wizard, Mark Bouris said "Seventy-eight
per cent of respondents to our survey said that a lender should tell them if
they are eligible for an interest rate discount. They felt that they should not
have to ask for it."
10 July 2007 - Low job ads not all good news
Sydney Morning Herald
Economists are tipping an unemployment rate of below 4 per cent as the number of
job ads has increased 36 per cent over the past year. The real level of
vacancies is even higher as some employers have given up advertising positions
that they cannot fill. There is a danger in the good jobless rate however with
concerns that the low jobless rate could mean higher wages as competition to
attract workers heats up. These figures mean that there is an increased
possibility of the Reserve Bank increasing interest rates next month as a
pre-emptive move against inflation.
10 July 2007 - Tax benefits for cheap rentals
Daily Telegraph
After an altercation with a parrot in Adelaide yesterday, Labor leader Kevin
Rudd proposed a new scheme to ease the shortage of rental properties. Under the
plan landlords offering rental properties at below market rates would receive
tax credits. Labor sources say that housing is a hot topic with voters. The
parrot had lured Mr Rudd into a pet store but became territorial and bit him
when he got too close.
10 July 2007 - Below market buybacks not on
Daily Telegraph
ASIC has moved to stop a company that is making unsolicited share offers at
below market price. Between 26 April and 19 May this year offers were made by
Share Buyback Group to holders of shares in Bendigo Bank, The Rock Building
Society, Mackay Permanent Building Society and Wide Bay Australia. In response
Share Buyback Group has written to those who accepted its offers with an
opportunity to change their minds.
10 July 2007 - Vietnam broker acquired by ANZ
Daily Telegraph
ANZ Bank has invested further in its Asian operations with the purchase of
Saigon Securities Incorporation (SSI) for $102 million. A spokesman for bank
said that ANZ was one of the first foreign banks to open in Vietnam and that
expansion in the country was a priority. SSI is a major player in the Vietnamese
equities market having advised 11 of the 35 companies that have listed on their
national stock exchange and accounted for 27 per cent of trades last year.
10 July 2007 - Banks looking for customers to help fight fraud
The Financial Review
The major banks are offering customers discounted online security products to
assist in fighting online banking fraud that is estimated to be costing more
than $100 million per year. Both NAB and St George have confirmed they have
entered into website referral agreements with a variety of software companies
whilst CBA, Westpac and ANZ are expected to announce similar ventures in the
near future. The move by the major banks to promote online security initiatives
is a significant shift in strategy in assisting customers with their personal
online security requirements.
10 July 2007 - New entrants fight on price
The Financial Review
Rating house Moody's Investor Services yesterday announced that it maintained
its 'Aa1 stable' rating for bank deposits. Moody's said that while asset quality
had deteriorated to some extent following recent rate rises, impaired loans
would need to increase dramatically to cause a review of the asset quality
rating from 'A' to 'B'. The biggest threat to rating stability is aggressive new
entrants such as HBOS, ING and HSBC who are using price to increase competition.
10 July 2007 - Green exchange on the way
The Financial Review
A new sustainability investment market (or SIM) will be opened on the NSX in
September this year. The board is being developed by the Financial & Energy
Exchange (FEX) and will be devoted to the sustainability and clean technology
sectors. The board will be the first of its kind in the world and is being done
to bring together the purposes of wealth creation and environmental
sustainability. Already FEX have had enquiries from 20 companies that ate
interested in listing on the board but applicants will be screened for
suitability before being approved for listing.
9 July 2007 - Citibank leads way on savings
infochoice.com.au
Citibank are offering a market-leading at call deposit rate of 7.0%p.a. for new
funds deposited to the savings component of their Citibank Plus account. The new
rate will be paid until 31 December 2007 as long as a minimum monthly balance of
$5,000 is maintained. Even if the minimum monthly balance is not maintained
account holders will still earn the standard rate which is a healthy 6.0%p.a.
The Citibank Plus account also gives free access to any ATM in Australia and, if
you have your salary credited to the account each month, there is no account
keeping fee.
9 July 2007 - 3 year low rate from CUA
infochoice.com.au
CUA, one of Australia's largest credit unions, have launched a new home loan
option with a low variable introductory rate for the first three years. The
reduced price does not mean reduced features though with lump sum payments
allowed, 100% offset available and free redraw. As well as being a standard
mortgage to buy a home the loan can be used for purchase of land or construction
of a new home. Currently the interest rate is 7.29% and there are no ongoing
fees.
9 July 2007 - Cards behind high bankruptcy
The Financial Review
In the last financial year 25,242 people were bankrupted despite good economic
conditions and low unemployment. The figure is 13.2 per cent higher than the
previous year while debt agreements were up by 34 per cent. Unsustainable
lending rather then unemployment is driving the increase with the typical
candidate having significant credit card debt used to support a struggling
business. Debt agreements are a less formal alternative to bankruptcy that were
introduced by the federal government in 1996 and are mainly used by consumers
with after-tax income of less than $57,000.
9 July 2007 - More land for Melbourne fringe
The Financial Review
The Victorian government's new Growth Areas Authority is aiming to avoid a land
shortage in the south-eastern corridor of Melbourne through an accelerated
zoning process. The process should deliver 28,000 developable lots of land in
Casey and Cardinia to relive supply pressures in Melbourne's outer suburbs and
should be enough for eight years of growth. As the market improves in the
established areas, prices for residential lots in the outer fringe are also on
the way up.
9 July 2007 - Business emissions to be tracked
The Financial Review
Before the end of this year the federal government will introduce legislation
into parliament that will force companies that emit 50,000 tonnes of carbon
dioxide a year, or 25,000 tonnes from a single site, to report their emissions
to the government. The reporting requirement will be phased in over three years
with those emitting more than 125,000 tonnes in the first year, then those over
87,000 tonnes in the second year with those over 50,000 tonnes in the third.
9 July 2007 - IMF lessens strain off ASIC
The Australian
Litigation funding group, IMF, has been appointed as a private sector proxy for
the corporate regulator, as a recent string of high-profile failures for the
Australian Securities and Investments Commission has spurred criticism over the
effectiveness at policing the corporate sector. Recently, ASIC has been finding
it increasingly difficult to keep up with the sudden influx of investor
complaints. IMF Chairman, Rob Ferguson, said "ASIC's got heaps on and we've got
lots of issues on as well but we're sort of working now in a private sector
sense."
9 July 2007 - A fairer new job regime
The Australian
The current labour market appears favourable in all aspects, the wage price
index at 4 per cent suggests it is under control, inflation is considerably low
at 2.1 per cent, and the unemployment rate is at an all time low of 4.2 per
cent. Analysts predict that the unemployment rate will fall further this month
to 4.1 per cent. Jobs growth remains to follow strong trends, currently at 2.7
per cent annually and full time employment is increasing at 3.5 per cent a year.
The economy is pushing out 30,000 to 50,000 new jobs each month, and given the
capacity of Australia's labour market is close to full employment, the question
of how to fill the growing number of new jobs is the next matter of interest.
Treasurer, Peter Costello, said "There has been strong immigration. It's good
for Australia. With a strong business sector we need more people, people with
skills."
9 July 2007 - Federal audit to release land
The Australian
In a bid to ease housing prices, the federal government will conduct a review of
all its land holdings (which are mainly defence properties) to see if any could
be released for housing development. They are also asking state governments to
speed up the release of land but NSW has said that high interest rates makes it
uneconomical to develop the thousands of blocks that they have ready for
release. Federal Treasurer Peter Costello said that house prices are rising due
to low interest rates and a strong job market but that housing supply was not
increasing sufficiently. "The Commonwealth will look at any land it has that
could be released for housing. We will ask that states to look at any land they
have that could be released" he said.
7 July 2007 - Sydney property warms up
The Financial Review
A sign of the improving property market in Sydney is auction clearance rates
over 70 per cent for the second month in a row, with May and June reporting the
highest levels since September 2003. In June 2006 there were only 1,000
properties listed for auction, 30 per cent less than the most recent results,
and the clearance rate then was only 61 per cent. In Sydney the median price for
a freestanding house rose to $812,000 which is an increase of 8 per cent over
the past year.
6 July 2007 - Rate rise almost a question of when
infochoice.com.au
The Reserve Bank this week left interest rates on hold for July as expected, but
August is another matter and data on jobs and inflation out over the next few
weeks are key to whether we are in for a rate rise as soon as next month.
The RBA has already predicted that inflation is likely to rise again from the
quite contained levels of early 2007. Given the economy has bounced back
strongly this year and the world economy is also on the up, it seems a matter of
time before inflationary pressures re-appear.
At the first evidence, the RBA will want to act to pre-empt any inflation
breakout later in 2007 or 2008. With quarterly inflation figures next out in
late July, that could come as early as next month, or perhaps later in the year
- which might prove trickier for the RBA, coinciding with election time.
The latest retail trade and building approvals figures showed dips in May.
Although the monthly figures often bounce around for both these measures, they
may suggest that overall economic performance is not quite as robust as we
thought.
Two successive monthly falls in retail growth suggest that consumer spending may
be levelling off after being unambiguously upward in the previous twelve months.
You wouldn't think so given how strong consumer confidence and the jobs market
have been. It may be temporary seasonal factors at play but perhaps higher
petrol prices and talk of higher interest rates have taken some toll.
Building approvals, looking like they might have turned the corner a couple of
months back, now look to be as flat as ever. House and apartment approvals both
fell in May to be 3.4 per cent and 16 per cent down on a year ago respectively.
6 July 2007 - Credit check getting smarter
Daily Telegraph
Credit reference company Veda Advantage has implemented new technology to make
it harder for people to lie about personal details when applying for a loan.
Algorithms are used to identify those people who change details either
accidentally or to hide a poor credit history. Veda Advantage has researched
over 75,000 people and found that people who are using multiple identities to
access credit are 13.7 times more likely to default on personal loans than the
general population.
6 July 2007 - Wage increase for over 850,000 workers
The Australian
The $10.26 per week pay rise granted by the Fair Pay Commission to over 850,000
workers is unlikely to place further pressure on inflation. The increase is less
than unions had expected but has been met with approval by business groups.
Federal Treasurer Peter Costello said he did not below the increase would have
negative consequences for the Australian economy.
6 July 2007 - New car sales continue to boom
News.com.au
New car sales continue to boom with Australians buying over a 1 million new cars
for the first time in a 12 month period. The continued strength with new car
sales over a number of years has coincided with record levels of household debt.
Japanese car company Toyota recorded a massive 24,500 sales in the last month of
the financial year, whilst other Japanese brands have also enjoyed strong 12
month sales growth.
6 July 2007 - Beware offers of Debt Repair
BusinessDay.com.au
Consumers are being ripped off by debt consolidation and debt repair businesses
targeting those on the brink of bankruptcy. The Consumer Credit Legal Centre in
Sydney argued that the businesses offering such services may actually have the
perverse effect of increasing the overall number of people pushed into
bankruptcy. The CCLC has singled our three main areas such providers operate:
debt consolidation, debt agreement administrators and credit repair businesses.
The CCLC report acknowledges that consolidation offered through main stream
lenders is at a lower all in interest rate but warns "There are businesses which
target those in serious financial difficulty in order to gouge considerable
profit while offering illusory benefits to consumers."
6 July 2007 - CBA cards outsourced
The Financial Review
The Commonwealth Bank of Australia has decided to move processing for its 2.5
million credit cards to an external processing bureau to be run by EDS
Australia. The existing CBA system was out-dated and was increasingly difficult
to integrate with their more modern customer service and internet systems.
Analysts say that CBA's credit card portfolio carries $7 billion in receivables
and makes up 19.4 per cent of the credit card market.
6 July 2007 - Card options for DJ's
The Financial Review
David Jones will retain its in-store credit card but later this month will
announce which of two banks will be the issuer for their new credit card.
Following due diligence by the short-listed candidates a final decision is
expected around October or November with an anticipated launch date for the new
card of August 2008. Two marketing partners will be selected from Visa,
MasterCard and American Express. The existing in-store card generates one-third
of the store's earnings.
5 July 2007 - CBA equities expansion
The Australian
Commonwealth Bank has leaped up the equity capital markets league table from
14th to 7th position, almost doubling its market share from 7.7 per cent to 14.8
per cent. David Hancock, new equities and capital markets head, said that their
broking arm CommSec was now coming into its own handling deals such as the $583
million initial public offering for Platinum Asset Management and, earlier this
week, 60 million Qantas shares. "CBA has had traditional strengths in fixed
interest, foreign exchange and retail equities, but now it's extending that into
institutional equities," he said.
5 July 2007 - No sign of rise before next year
Daily Telegraph
Following yesterday's decision by the Reserve Bank of Australia to leave
interest rates unchanged, economists now believe that rates are unlikely to move
again before early next year. As long as there is no sudden spike in the
inflation figure that will be reported later this month there is no case for an
increase, with housing construction slow and no sign of wage pressures. There is
more chance of a rise next year as strong global and local economic conditions
could lead to inflation.
5 July 2007 - Super flood hits $10 billion
Daily Telegraph
Estimates from the Association of Superannuation Funds of Australia are putting
the pre-June 30 flood of money into funds at around $10 billion on top of usual
contributions. The rush resulted from superannuation law changes that allowed a
contribution of up to $1 million to be made before the deadline which could then
be accessed tax free by people over 60 from July 1.
5 July 2007 - No housing relief yet
The Financial Review
Policies of both major parties to address the housing affordability issue have
been panned for not addressing the problem. Shadow Treasurer Wayne Swan has said
that the government's position of increasing land releases would mean that
existing home owners would experience falls in land prices. The Labor party's
savings plan scheme has been criticised by InfoChoice as insufficient as savings
could not keep up with the pace of even moderate property growth. Discussions
were held yesterday between Federal and State housing ministers that included
looking at ways to tackle the affordability crisis but no commitments were made
to any proposals.
5 July 2007 - PayPal savings and loans
The Financial Review
PayPal are looking at ways to expand their presence in Australia possibly
including provision of credit and high interest savings. Options being
considered are a line of credit or a co-branded Mastercard and linking a PayPal
account to a savings account. Mr Andrew Pipolo, managing director of PayPal,
said that while the company was limited to being an authorised deposit taking
institution which cannot pay interest, there were other options available. "It's
not a full-blown banking license so we can't offer high interest accounts in our
own name but we could certainly partner with a third party or go back and apply
for a different licence," he said
5 July 2007 - Visa smart about cards
The Financial Review
Visa International has backed down from its plan to penalise merchants an extra
surcharge of 10 basis points if they do not upgrade their systems to be able to
process smartcards. Instead, merchants who do join the Visa merchant alliance
program which began on July 1 will qualify for merchant fees around 25 per cent
lower than normal but will have to meet stringent security standards for
terminals and protection of customer data. ANZ Bank is already issuing
smartcards and Westpac have announced plans to introduce the technology.
5 July 2007 - Trading hits new highs
The Financial Review
A record of $1.3 trillion worth of equity was turned over on the stock exchange
last year, driven by superannuation inflows, mergers and acquisitions, as well
as confidence in the outlook for corporate earnings. The number of equity trades
was up by 55 per cent over the year with a total of 48.9 million trades. The
number of companies listed is also up, increasing by 160 to now total 2,090.
5 July 2007 - Consumers targeted by lending predators
Sydney Morning Herald
The Consumer Credit Legal Centre has issued a warning to consumers to be on the
lookout for unscrupulous lending practices by some solicitors and accountants.
In one case a brokerage fee of $19,615 was charged on a loan of $122,000 and in
another an interest rate of 23.6 per cent was charged on part of a loan. The
centre has alleged that practices were being used such as overstating income to
gain approval and categorising the loans as 'investment' or 'small business' to
get around the Uniform Consumer Credit Code.
4 July 2007 - Tightening supply drives prices
The Australian
The Australian Bureau of Statistics has reported a decline in building approvals
in May of 5.6 per cent from April and a decrease of 7.2 per cent over the last
year. The Housing Industry Association (HIA) has attributed the decline to
housing affordability problems particularly in outer suburbs. The HIA is
predicting an increase of only 2 per cent over the next year. Research companies
RP Data and Rismark International have found that the supply shortfall has
driven prices of existing homes up 7.9 per cent from January to April this year.
Prices were up in Adelaide by 5.7 per cent, Darwin by 4.1 per cent, Sydney by
1.4 per cent, and Canberra by 1.2 per cent. Perth prices however dropped 2.7 per
cent.
4 July 2007 - Warm weather cuts spending
Daily Telegraph
Retail trade fell in slightly May by 0.1%, enough to take pressure off the
Reserve Bank of Australia to increase interest rates. Analysts believe that the
restrained consumer spending behind the fall was caused by higher petrol prices
and the unusually warm weather. The biggest falls were experienced in clothing,
soft goods and recreational goods.
4 July 2007 - Kaye investors stick together
The Financial Review
A class action by hundreds of property investors against the finance company
that lent them money to join Henry Kaye's property investment seminars has been
given the go-ahead. Australian Finance Direct has tried to get the class action
broken up into individual cases but the judge reviewing the case decided that it
would be more efficient to let it proceed as a class. At a date yet to be set,
the court will decide if AFD is responsible for misleading statements made by
National Investment Institute Pty Ltd which is linked to Henry Kaye.
4 July 2007 - Future uncertain for shares
The Financial Review
Analysts are concerned at signs of increasing volatility creeping into the
Australian share market. Key resource stocks such as BHP and Rio have shown
increased volatility over the past few months which can have a large effect on
premiums for put and call options. Increased volatility is usually taken as a
sign of an impending bull trend but at the moment stocks are looking overvalued.
ABN AMRO Morgans' Peter Josephson says that "The market has been good for so
many years there's a complacency that evolves towards risk; an assumption that
shares always go up... people who have been involved in the share market for
only five years don't understand what it's like when it does crunch."
4 July 2007 - Mortgage scheme withdrawals may take months
The Financial Review
The Australian Securities and Investment Commission has said that investors need
to have a clearer understanding of the time periods that may be required when
making a withdrawal from pooled mortgage schemes such as Bridgecorp and others
that have collapsed recently. While these schemes are marketed on the
understanding that withdrawals would only take a few days the reality is that it
can take months to free up capital. Many of the companies rely on new in-flows
to be able to fund withdrawal requests.
4 July 2007 - Rising dollar affects miners
The Australian
The strength of the Australian dollar is making it increasingly harder for
junior resource development companies to warrant mining projects. Wedgetail
Mining was just one company who recently abandoned its $57 million Nullagine
project, to produce 70,000 ounces of gold, due to the Australian dollar
affecting project labour and equipment costs, and revenue margins. The value of
the Australian dollar has strengthened close to 20 per cent against the
greenback over the past year, from US72c to US86c, and many analysts believe it
will comfortably stabilise above this figure. Wedgetail Managing Director, Terry
Stark said, "For us, every cent appreciation impacts about $10 worth of revenue
an ounce. The gold industry is under a lot of pressure."
4 July 2007 - More land not the answer
The Australian
Analysis by Federal Treasury has claimed that releasing more land to reduce
prices will end up driving values down for existing property owners. The report
found that family finances are being tested by increasing mortgage repayments
with four rate rises since the election in 2004. The treasury Secretary Ken
Henry has said that the contents of the report are being misrepresented but the
Labor party say that it is proof of the poor performance of the government on
economics and that more pain is ahead.
4 July 2007 - Repossessions on the rise
Sydney Morning Herald
Treasury documents report that the number of writs for repossession of
properties in NSW is skyrocketing with 3,644 in 2006 which is double the volume
of 2005 and triple the number in 2004. This equates to a rise in the proportion
of households in NSW issued with a writ from 0.1% in 2004 to 0.25% in 2006. The
Prime Minister John Howard has said that the affordability crisis is in large
part due to slow land release policies by the state governments. However this is
contradicted by the Treasury documents which say "Whilst better land release and
land use policies by the state and territory governments are likely to improve
affordability to some extent, these reports probably overstate this effect."
3 July 2007 - Coles gone, at last
Daily Telegraph
The long-running saga that has been the sale of retailer Coles has finally ended
with Wesfarmers making a successful $21.9 billion bid. After a four month
bidding process the final price equates to $17.25 per share and includes a 25
cent dividend. Wesfarmers have said that they intend to hold the business and
have no plans to sell any of their assets to finance the deal. The deal received
unanimous approval from the Coles board.
3 July 2007 - Card charges questioned
Financial Review
The Reserve Bank of Australia has said that it is not concerned about merchants
over-charging for credit and debit transactions. The RBA believes that
surcharges account for only 5 per cent of transactions and that market forces
are sufficient to ensure that they do not rise above this level. Payments
Australia disagrees with a spokesman saying that surcharges are higher in less
competitive industries. Some small to medium businesses charge 2 to 3 per cent
on top of the 1.2 to 1.5 per cent they have to pay to their bank. The bottom
line for the RBA is that consumers would stop shopping at retailers with higher
charges.
3 July 2007 - Australian banks fight back
Financial Review
Figures released by the Australian Prudential Regulation Authority show that
while banks backed by offshore companies have made inroads into the market share
of the big 4 Australian banks, there are some areas where the locals are
improving. The Commonwealth Bank has lost share in consumer products such as
home loans and credit cards but has grown in business lending and deposits.
Westpac has grown their home loans and business loans share and also had the
highest growth in credit cards. ANZ has lost share in credit cards and business
lending while NAB has put a stop to their losses in home loans by improving
their payments to mortgage brokers.
3 July 2007 - RBA keeps close eye on inflation
Financial Review
With increasing signs that inflation is on the way up, speculation is growing
that the Reserve Bank of Australia will move rates up again sooner rather than
later. However the RBA believes that, while the economy will show continuing
strength, inflation will ease again before bouncing back up in 2008 which would
relieve them of the pressure to not put rates up again prior to the federal
election. RBA governor Glenn Stevens has said that political timing will not
influence their decision and that it was just an urban myth that the bank would
be reluctant to raise rates before an election.
3 July 2007 - Bridgecorp crash leaves $450m at risk
The Australian
Bridgecorp, a high-risk property development group, is the next group to run
into turmoil, following the recent succession of collapsed property groups,
Fincorp, Westpoint and Australian Capital Reserve. An estimated $450 million is
at stake for 18,000 investors, totalling losses in the troubled sector of more
than $1.3 billion in the last 18 months. Whilst many shareholders wait anxiously
on the outcome of their investments, the trustee of Bridgecorp, Graham Miller of
Covenant Trustee Company, said an estimated 30c in a dollar was at least the
expected potential outcome and would be "very surprised" otherwise. The fall of
Bridgecorp has spurred the Federal Opposition to strengthen enquires relating to
the collapse of all failed property groups.
3 July 2007 - Rudd's home plans welcomed
The Australian
The Federal Labor government has called upon a summit this month to address the
issue of housing affordability for first home buyers. The Housing Industry
Association has warmly welcomed the Labor Leader, Kevin Rudd's proposal on
Sunday to help first home buyers save by depositing their pre-tax earnings
directly into high interest saving accounts. Rudd believes the key to relieving
the pressures of housing affordability is by offering low-cost housing for
renters through new public housing and investing more in the Commonwealth State
Housing Agreement.
3 July 2007 - Systems integration to fight laundering
The Australian
New anti-money laundering rules are expected to cost Australian banks a total of
$1 billion in systems development to comply with new standards. Major
organisations are facing bills of between $50 and $100 million and smaller
institutions from $10 to $50 million, far more than implementation of the Basel
II requirements. The anti-money laundering rules require that financial
institutions be able to make an assessment on the likelihood of a customer being
involved in terrorism financing or money laundering. The impact increases
dramatically for larger institutions as they will have to consolidate
information from all business units such as insurance, wealth management,
retail, commercial and private banking.
2 July 2007 - New player in low rate card market
infochoice.com.au
CUA has launched a new Low Rate MasterCard product. The card has a competitive
ongoing interest rate of 9.99% p.a and offers a low 6 month introductory rate of
2.99% p.a on all purchases, cash withdrawals and balance transfers. CUA offer
the option to choose silver or gold card status, free additional cards and
purchase cover, not usually available on low rate or standard cards.
2 July 2007 - Rudd offers pre-tax savings for first homebuyers
The Australian
The Federal Labor party is considering a plan that will enable first home buyer
families to divert pre-tax earnings into identified accounts, to assist them in
saving for a home deposit in a scheme similar to superannuation. Today, the
Opposition Leader Kevin Rudd is set to launch an opposition policy that will
outline the framework behind the plan that would operate in a low tax low
overhead environment and generate higher returns than ordinary savings accounts.
Mr Rudd placed the issue of Home Affordability firmly at the feet of the Liberal
government saying "The decline in affordability and shortage of home is the
result of a lack of leadership and innovation over the last 11 years at the
Federal level by the Howard Government".
2 July 2007 - US investment bank sacks asset chief
The Age
At the centre of a global credit market shakeout, United States Investment Bank,
Bear Stearns has sacked the head of its asset management division. Bear Stearns
has been weathering a storm through the near collapse of two subprime mortgage
exposed hedge funds that forced the bank into putting up $US1.6 billion as a
bail out. Bear Stearns has revealed that two Bear Stearns hedge funds had
borrowed more than $US10 billion and invested heavily in bonds backed by
subprime home loans.
2 July 2007 - Costello private equity concern
The Financial Review
Federal Treasurer Peter Costello has expressed concern that private equity funds
may be using high levels of debt to minimise tax and warns their activities
could put companies at risk. Whilst acknowledging that he has a "love" for
private equity, he expressed concern in the rising number of high leverage buy
outs. Costello warns that any downturn will put companies purchased under a high
leverage at risk and also expresses concern over the Federal tax take. Company
taxes are expected to contribute an additional $6.3 billion to $65 billion this
year and continuing private equity deals that use high levels of debt will put
this contribution at risk by allowing companies to re-divert profits into tax
deductible debt.
31 August 2007 - Consumer spending puts further risk on rate rise
InfoChoice.com.au
Australian consumers spent freely in July as the national mood continues to be
bright thanks to record employment conditions, strong consumer confidence and
budget tax cuts. Retail sales increased 0.9 per cent in July to a record 19.29
billion dollars, markedly higher than market expectations. The strong sales data
has economists tipping the third quarter to be healthy across the broader
economy, whilst a lower trade deficit of $756 million for July indicates that
trade may be in a position to contribute to economic growth in the quarter,
after recovering from a weaker second quarter.
However all this good economic news means that those with a mortgage or
extensive borrowings will continue to eye the Reserve Bank with caution as the
risk to interest rates will continue to be for further increases. Borrowers are
expected to be left alone in the first week of September as the global credit
crisis has seen markets reduce the likelihood of an increase to virtually zero
and with business borrowing up by 19.4 per cent annualised many business owners
(and their employees) will breathe easy.
31 August 2007 - Signs of confidence in business spending
The Financial Review
Businesses seem to be confident about future growth with capital expenditure
increasing by 6.3 per cent in the June quarter, and by 11.4 per cent from a year
ago. Contributing to the result were; a 5.5 per cent rise in spending on
equipment, a 4.3 per cent lift in building and construction expenditure, and a
5.6 boost in mining equipment spending. NSW recorded the strongest growth with
investment jumping 12.4 per cent to be 18.8 per cent higher than last year.
Businesses forecast that they will spend $79 billion on construction, plant and
equipment this year, an increase of almost 25 per cent on last year.
31 August 2007 - Current account deficit hits record high
The Financial Review
Australia's current account deficit grew by 2.9 per cent in the June quarter to
a record high of almost $16 billion. The trade deficit increased by 7 per cent
to $3.8 billion and net income deficit was up 2 per cent to $12.1 billion. The
drought continues to impact rural export volumes which were 1.7 per cent lower
in the quarter, while the strong dollar pushed manufacturing exports down 0.5
per cent. The trade deficit was estimated to take 0.1 per cent from the nation's
GDP in the quarter.
31 August 2007 - Financial complaint bodies join unite
The Financial Review
A proposal is being considered which to streamline the dispute resolution
schemes for banking, insurance and wealth management. A new one-stop shop for
complaints about financial services would incorporate the existing Insurance
Ombudsman, the Financial Industry Complaints Service, and the Banking and
Financial Services Ombudsman. The proposal would require the support of the
Australian Securities and Investment Commission to proceed and is not expected
to be finalised before the middle of 2008. If the plan is successful it may also
incorporate other dispute resolution services such as the Credit Union Dispute
Resolution, the Credit Ombudsman Service and Insurance Brokers Disputes Limited.
31 August 2007 - Economists tip more rate rises
The Financial Review
Five out of six economists speaking at a breakfast yesterday predicted that they
expected the official cash rate to be 6.75 to 7.0 per cent in a year's time,
with only one tipping that the rate would be unchanged from the current 6.5 per
cent. However they said that it was unlikely that the RBA would raise rates
before the end of this year as increased money market rates, which have resulted
from the problems in the global debt markets, have already effectively created a
second rate hike.
31 August 2007 - E*Trade expands research options
InfoChoice.com.au
Online stockbroker E*Trade have added another research option to the tools
available to clients. Now users get access to AAP Finance News which is put
together around the clock by a dedicated team of finance journalists covering
global markets and economic issues, but focused on the Asia Pacific region. This
is in addition to their existing list of research providers: Aegis Reports,
Aspect Huntley, Dow Jones, Ecinya, Intelligent Investor, wise-owl.com and Fat
Prophets.
31 August 2007 - ANZ joins rate warning chorus
The Australian
The third big bank to warn of price pressure due to the US sub-prime crisis is
ANZ, with chief executive John McFarlane saying that, if high rates on bills
continue, there would be a further rise in mortgage rates. Mr McFarlane said
that if the problem resolves quickly then things would return to normal, however
this scenario is unlikely. He went on to say that the bank has no immediate
plans to increase rates and that it was possible that the turmoil could be an
advantage for the bank as it had moved several years ago to extend the length of
its wholesale debt. ANZ's share price dropped 41 cents yesterday to close at
$28.59.
30 August 2007 - No sign of housing recovery yet
News.com.au
The latest report on new home sales from the Housing Industry Association showed
a 1.5 per cent increase in July. A recovery in the housing market still seems to
be some way off with sales of detached houses dipping by 0.1 per cent. HIA chief
economist Harley Dale said that sales of detached dwellings remained depressed
as investors had not re-entered the market, causing the rental market to remain
tight. Mr Dale said "For renters of both detached and other types of housing a
significant increase in supply is essential to turning around the affordability
crisis". The more volatile multi-unit sector recorded an increase of 13.5 per
cent.
30 August 2007 - World recession possible
Sydney Morning Herald
Stock markets around the globe were down yesterday following a warning from a
prominent US economist that market conditions threaten to lead the world into
recession. Chief economist at Standard & Poor's, David Wyss, said that market
concern about growing home and company loan default rates were only moving up to
their long-term average but that this could be sufficient to push economies into
recession. The local market was down yesterday with the ASX 200 shedding 76
points, or 1.2 per cent.
30 August 2007 - ANZ gives equine flu relief
Sydney Morning Herald
The ANZ Bank has announced a relief package to help its customers who are facing
financial difficulty due to the equine influenza outbreak. The measures include:
suspending loan repayments for three months; waiving fees on business loan
restructuring; waiving early withdrawal penalties on term deposits; and
considering temporary increases in lending limits. The racing industry is in
turmoil with positive test results yesterday on a horse at the previously
unaffected Randwick stables of Anthony Cummings.
30 August 2007 - Interest rates drive up cost of living
Sydney Morning Herald
An annual survey conducted by the Australian Bureau of Statistics has found that
rising interest rates are hitting consumers' hip pockets. The consumer price
index rose by 2.1 per cent, but for our 4.5 million working households their
out-of-pocket living costs were up by 3.1 per cent, while costs were only up 1.9
per cent for our 500,000 self-funded retirees who largely own their own homes.
Payments by working households to financial institutions, for interest payments
and insurance premiums, were up by 11.4 per cent over the past year. The 2
million households that survive on welfare payments are also being hit, with
housing costs up by 4.6 per cent, compared with an increase of 3.6 per cent for
housing costs in the consumer price index.
30 August 2007 - Adelaide Bank responds to rate pressure
The Australian
Adelaide Bank has increased its low doc mortgage rates by 30 basis points, on
top of the 25 basis point increase by the Reserve Bank earlier this month. With
around half of its funding coming from wholesale markets, Adelaide Bank is the
first traditional Australian bank to lift rates further than the official cash
rate increase. Low doc customers of the bank are being offered the opportunity
to switch to full doc loans, provided they qualify. The bank has reduced the
proportion of its portfolio that is low doc loans, from about 35 per cent last
December to 25 per cent now, and only account for 20 per cent of new loans.
Non-bank lender FirstMac announced a rate increase of 1 per cent yesterday on
its new no-deposit home loans.
30 August 2007 - Retirement costs up 9 per cent
The Financial Review
The cost of funding basic retirement needs his risen by 8.8 per cent over the
past three years, according to the Westpac-Association of Superannuation Funds
in Australia retirement costs index. Food is the largest expense for retirees
with a couple living as comfortable lifestyle spending $180 per week, up 15 per
cent on three years ago. A comfortable retirement now costs $48,374 a year,
while a modest lifestyle costs $26,154 a year. Three years ago these figures
were $44,733 and $24,049 respectively.
30 August 2007 - Next: credit goes mobile
News.com.au
NAB and Telstra have teamed up with Visa to conduct the first trial of new
technology which will allow customers to authorise payments with the wave of a
special mobile phone. The phone could be used to replace credit cards, as well
as membership cards, marketing offers, public transport tickets and building
access security cards. The Visa payWave technology is currently being trialled
by financial institutions and telecommunications companies throughout the United
States and Asia. The Australian trial will commence in Melbourne in early 2008.
29 August 2007 - Rate discounts may dry up
The Financial Review
The deputy governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia has warned that some
lenders may not be able to continue offering discounted mortgage rates as the
cost of lending rises. Mr Battellino said, "My guess is if these funding
pressures continue, some of that downward pressure on home lending rates is
going to be reversed because the lenders won't be able to offer the discounts
they've been having". He went on to say that it is the lenders that rely on
wholesale funding instead of retail deposits that were most likely to feel the
rate squeeze. Some lenders have already increased their variable rates by as
much as 0.80 percentage points this month.
29 August 2007 - RAMS profit solid but future unsure
The Financial Review
While RAMS Home Loans has posted a profit of $43.5 million - after stripping out
accounting charges and other one-time costs - the company has warned that its
difficulties finding short-term funding for $6.2 billion will impact future
earnings. RAMS chief executive, Greg Kolivos, said that the total cost would not
be known until the funding has been resolved. The lender grew its book 37 per
cent over the last year to $134.7 billion but growth could be affected by the
funding issues over the next year.
29 August 2007 - Court declines to pinpoint source of repossessions
Sydney Morning Herald
A request by the Australian Bankers Association and the Consumer Credit Legal
Centre for access to files that would show which lenders were responsible for
the majority of legal actions has been denied. The NSW Supreme Court has said
that reviewing the 18,000 files would raise concerns about privacy and that the
court would not undertake research that could be used to advance a private or
commercial cause. The ABA argues that its members, mostly major banks, are
responsible for only 20 to 35 per cent of home repossessions and that it is
non-bank lenders who launch the majority of such actions. The non-bank sector
accounts for approximately $172 billion in residential mortgage-backed
securities and about $7 billion of that is classified as "sub-prime".
29 August 2007 - Investors take low-doc option
The Australian
Low doc home loans now make up 10 per cent of all mortgage approvals, up from
just 0.5 per cent in 2000. Low doc loans are used by many investors who are
building large property portfolios and may not be able to finance them on their
salaries alone. Customers with low doc loans should be aware of the rate they
are paying, with Pepper Home Loans increasing their variable rate by 0.15 per
cent on top of the 0.25 per cent RBA increase. Property investment consultant at
Metropole, Michael Yardney says that investors should have a buffer built into
their strategy to cover unforeseen circumstances and interest payments over a
number of years. "You have to allow a buffer. You shouldn't be living at the
edge. Yes, you will have to pay more (interest)... Is it the right time to leave
property? No," he said.
29 August 2007 - NAB pushing for reform
The Australian
The Four Pillars policy which bans mergers between the nation's four largest
banks has again been criticised, this time from NAB chief executive John
Stewart. Mr Stewart said that if the policy was not removed then Australian
banking industry risked becoming a "branch economy, where head office is always
located somewhere else". NAB is planning to sponsor a series of lectures and
debates around the country of the future of the financial industry, a sector
which accounts for one quarter of our stock market's value. Participation of
politicians would be welcome in discussions that would cover topics including
excessive business regulation and a more competitive tax regime.
29 August 2007 - ANZ cuts fee for those most in need
The Australian
With the ANZ Bank facing a grilling by a senatorial committee which opens on
Friday the bank has cut the penalty it charges poorer customers for a periodic
payment taking their credit card over its limit. The exception or dishonour fee
has been reduced from $35 to $10 for customers who hold a Centrelink Health Care
Card, Seniors Concession Card, Pensioners Concession Card, or Veterans Affairs
issued Repatriation Health Care Cards. The new policy is effective from 1
December but customers can avoid the fee completely by nominating to switch off
the ability for their card to be taken over its limit by electronic purchases
and cash transactions. The senate inquiry will consider laws proposed by the
Family First party that would stop excessive charging of penalty fees and allow
customers to sue for damages.
28 August 2007 - Suncorp profits swell
The Australian
The Suncorp banking, insurance and wealth management group yesterday reported a
strong increase in annual net profit with a rise of 16.2 per cent to $1.06
billion. The result was helped along by an increase in home lending of 14.3 per
cent to $23.8 billion and a 21.3 per cent expansion of business lending,
contributing to a 12.5 per cent increase in profit for the division. Profit from
the insurance arm which encompasses the brands AAMI, GIO and Vero grew by 20.8
per cent to $835 million. The healthy profit comes despite the June storms in
NSW costing Suncorp around $160 million.
28 August 2007 - Super fund tsunami
The Financial Review
The lure of tax benefits saw an unprecedented $20 billion flood into
superannuation accounts in the June quarter, with a similar amount expected to
have been put into cash trusts by those with self-managed super funds. Corporate
super funds grew by $7.2 billion in the quarter, compared with only $4.5 billion
in the March quarter, while personal funds took $21.7 billion, up from $8.9
billion in the previous quarter. Changes from July 1 mean that most super is tax
free, however there are now strict limits on annual contributions.
28 August 2007 - Incomes keep up with repayments
The Financial Review
Census data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows that in the decade to
2006, median household income rose 65.6 per cent, almost as much as median
mortgage repayments which were up by 66.7 per cent over the same period. In 1996
the most common mortgage repayment was between $550 and $749 per month but $2000
to $2999 was most common last year. The results seem to indicate that a small
percentage of the population is paying a lot more in home loan repayments which
is boosting the average.
28 August 2007 - Water investment plan floated
The Financial Review
A plan has been suggested which would allow investors to buy water and dedicate
it to environmental use in a bid to obtain private support to save rivers. The
idea comes from the chief executive of the eWater Co-operative Research Centre,
Professor Gary Jones. He said that we should not rely on governments to ensure
sufficient environmental water flows as they were under intense pressure from
irrigators, particularly during droughts, and we need to create opportunities
for individuals and companies to take a direct stake in managing river
environments instead. The water market would need to be further deregulated so
that investors could loan the water right to an environmental manager for a year
and, if they were not satisfied, move it elsewhere.
28 August 2007 - Non-conforming delinquencies up
The Financial Review
Delinquencies in the Australian non-conforming home loan sector are up to record
levels although still nowhere near the problems in the US sub-prime market. In
the second quarter of 2007, Moody's found that delinquencies greater than 90
days past due were up to around 6.5 per cent, from 5.97 in the first half of
2006 and 4.63 per cent in 2005. The numbers of borrowers finding it hard to meet
repayments could climb higher yet as the effects of the rate rise in early
August are felt.
28 August 2007 - ACCU invests profit in future
The Financial Review
Investment in sustained long-term growth is to blame for the 12.1 per cent drop
in after tax profit reported by the Australian Central Credit Union yesterday.
Profit was down to $12 million despite revenues increasing by 15.3 per cent to
$211 million and assets increasing by 12.6 per cent to $2.6 billion. Managing
director, Peter Evers said, "During 2006/07, we made a major decision to invest
in the future - to spend an estimated $22 million to fund our largest ever
expansion over the next four years".
27 August 2007 - Strict reading of the law for retirees
The Financial Review
A retiree paid for four days work has been forced to pay tax on a $58,000
personal superannuation contribution. Usually those who are self-employed can
claim a tax deduction for personal super contributions as long as the income
from any employer is less than 10 per cent of disposable income. In the test
case decision the judge ruled that, as the retiree had a lump sum termination
payment made after retiring four days into the financial year, he was over the
10 per cent threshold. The case highlights the importance of planning ahead when
approaching retirement.
27 August 2007 - Bank satisfaction continues to climb
The Financial Review
In the latest customer satisfaction survey results for the half year to June
Citibank was the most improved at 81 per cent, up 6.7 points from the half year
to March. The highest rating in the industry is Bendigo Bank which achieved 91
per cent. Of the major Australian banks Westpac showed the biggest improvement
up by 4.3 percentage points, St George was up by 2.9 points to 73.1 per cent,
Commonwealth was last on 55.8 per cent, and ANZ continued to rate highest at
73.9 per cent.
27 August 2007 - NAB boss calls for more regulation
The Financial Review
The head of Australian operations at National Australia Bank, Ahmed Fahour, has
said that a lack of regulation of non-bank and 'fringe' financiers has left
Australia open to a US-style sub-prime mortgage crisis. Mr Fahour said that the
majority of sub-prime loans are not done by banks but by non-regulated entities.
He also said that mortgage brokers, which write 40 per cent of all new housing
loans, should come under greater scrutiny. Consumers can be advised to switch
loan products when there is no benefit for them, although it generates
commissions for brokers said Mr Fahour.
27 August 2007 - New margin loan doubles rewards
Infochoice.com.au
ANZ and E*TRADE have launched a new margin loan product that rewards investors
two ways, with both interest rate discounts and cheaper brokerage. Customers of
the ANZ E*TRADE Share Investment Loan qualify for discounted brokerage on any
trades through linked E*TRADE accounts when the balance of the loan is above
$100,000. At the same time a generous frequent trader discount is available: a
margin loan rate reduction of 0.25% for those who make 10 to 19 trades per month
and 0.50% for customers who make more than 20 trades in a month. Each month the
loan balance and number of trades through the account and other linked E*TRADE
accounts will be assessed and customers will receive their discounts the
following month.
27 August 2007 - Businesses not paying to entice staff
Daily Telegraph
A survey of 250 companies found that only 2 per cent placed any value on having
a pay strategy to attract talented workers, despite having the best people being
cited as the main factor in business success. The survey, conducted by Grant
Thornton International, reports that 30 per cent of businesses have pay and
reward schemes to retain staff but only 19 per cent believe that this maintains
a positive attitude amongst staff.
24 August 2007 - Rates steady as RBA waits and watches
InfoChoice.com.au
The Reserve Bank meets in ten days to consider interest rates but there is no
realistic chance of any move in September, up or down. Not just because it
lifted rates last month and will be wanting see further data on inflation later
in the year, but also because the turmoil in share and credit markets around the
world raises the possibility of a hit to economic growth.
The rates picture has already turned in the United States with the Federal
Reserve cutting one of its key lending interest rates to banks, and is now
expected to cut rates more widely by mid-September. There are fears of a
slowdown in the US, which would effect growth around the world and have some
impact here. It may well not play out that way, but while the picture remains
uncertain, central banks will be cautious.
Inflation still remains the biggest concern in Australia, according to the RBA
governor Glenn Stevens, given our solid growth across most sectors of the
economy. That is, the bank's deliberations on interest rates remain focused on
whether to put them up or not to contain inflation, rather than whether or not
to cut them to boost economic growth. That's what Stevens told us last Friday in
testimony to a parliamentary committee, but it would be interesting to know if
his comments would have been quite the same had that testimony come this week,
after the Fed's initial action on rates.
The balance between curbing inflation and maintaining growth must have shifted
somewhat as the risks to growth here, although not great at the moment, have
risen. This may mean the RBA acts more cautiously on rates and chances of a
further rate rise in the next six months are lower. But it's still too early to
tell just what the economic fallout from the global credit market shakeout will
be for the world and us. All we can say is there is unlikely to be any move on
rates in September or October.
24 August 2007 - Runaway house prices in Brisbane
The Financial Review
House prices in Brisbane are powering ahead with a 90 per cent increase over the
past five years. In the past year alone prices increased 15.7 per cent, ahead of
Perth's 15.3 per cent and making Sydney's 3 per cent look positively unhealthy.
Where talk used to be of moving to Brisbane from Melbourne and having $200,000
left over after buying a huge home the situation is now reversed with house
prices cheaper in Melbourne. The boom has not been limited to Brisbane either
with prices in waterfront properties as well as regional towns such as Ipswich
all skyrocketing.
24 August 2007 - Sydney prices bouncing back
The Financial Review
The housing market in Sydney looks to have turned the corner after falling by
3.9 per cent in the 2004-05 financial year and 2.9 per cent in 2005-06,
according to data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics. Prices rose by 2.3
per cent in the June quarter compared with the March 2007 quarter, still well
behind the national average of 9.2 per cent for the same period. Data from
Residex shows that the average price for a house in Sydney was $568,982 in the
June quarter, after being as low as $528,263 in March 2006, but still not as
high as the peak of $573,496 in January 2004. Migration to the city has returned
to positive territory, helping to lift property prices.
24 August 2007 - Equity markets eat away super funds
The Financial Review
Superannuation funds may lose value for the third consecutive month due to the
drop in world equity markets. If they do, it will be the first time in four and
a half years that funds have fallen three months in a row. Super funds had lost
an average of 2.6 per cent before yesterday's improvement in the local
sharemarket but the impact may be somewhat cushioned by the expansion of
portfolios into assets such as infrastructure and private equity. Returns over
the year are still healthy with a median return of 14.6 per cent.
24 August 2007 - Westpoint directors sitting on asset pile
The Financial Review
While investors in promissory notes from failed property group Westpoint are
facing a return of zero to 30 cents in the dollar on their investments, the
Australian Securities and Investments Commission has revealed that the group's
former directors have assets of between $13 million and $54 million. A total of
$300 million was lost by 4,000 investors when the property group collapsed in
early 2006. ASIC is buying more time to investigate the role of directors in the
collapse of the company by seeking a six-month extension on orders freezing the
assets of the directors.
24 August 2007 - Record tax take but no cuts for us
The Financial Review
Despite record surpluses and forecasts that the government will continue to rake
in ever-growing tax receipts, the treasurer Peter Costello has ruled out further
tax cuts for now. The strength of the economy and increasing numbers of people
in work has driven total tax paid for 2007 to $228.5 billion. This expected to
continue to rise with tax receipts, excluding GST, hitting 21.2 per cent of
gross domestic product by 2010. Mr Costello said that tax cuts had come into
effect six weeks ago and any more would risk placing upward pressure on interest
rates.
24 August 2007 - New disclosure rules for debentures
The Australian
Companies that issue unlisted and unrated investments will be asked to disclose
eight key-risk areas to their investors under a new plan from the Australian
Securities and Investments Commission. If the company does not meet the
requirements they will be asked why not, then investors can make up their own
minds whether or not they are happy to invest in such products. ASIC has issued
a list of 92 companies with $8 billion in investments that are not rated by
agencies such as Moody's, Standard & Poor's, or Fitch.
23 August 2007 - Sincerity of real estate agents questioned
Infochoice.com.au
According to a survey conducted by non-bank lender MyRate has found that 85 per
cent of Australians do not trust real estate agents. Most of the 1,232 people
surveyed said they thought that agents were only out to get the best possible
price for the clients and the best commission for themselves. The managing
director of MyRate, Kevin Sherman, said "Researching the recent sale price of
similar properties will give prospective buyers a more accurate indication when
making an offer. Other precautionary practices involve having an independent
site inspection conducted on the property and looking into government land
proposals for the area." The survey also found that 66 per cent of people were
sceptical about the legitimacy of bids at property auctions.
23 August 2007 - Fresh idea from Aussie to fix housing
Infochoice.com.au
A new scheme to alleviate the housing affordability crisis has been suggested to
the federal government and opposition by Aussie Home Loans Chairman and CEO,
John Symond. The scheme proposes tax deductions for first home buyers of up to
$15,000 per annum for the first five years after the purchase of a new dwelling,
with 10 per cent per annum paid back by the buyers over the following five
years. The average net benefit for the first five years has been put at $4,725
per annum and the average repaid for each of the next five years would be
$2,362. The proposal aims to add 15,000 new homes per year to the nation's
housing stock, improve affordability for 35,000 first home buyers every year,
and reduce pressure on the rental market. The scheme would require a net
investment of $505 million per year by the government.
23 August 2007 - St George confident while looking for new chief
The Financial Review
St George Bank is expected to move quickly to name a replacement for Gail Kelly,
recently appointed as the new chief of Westpac. In his role as acting CEO,
retail banking head Paul Fegan and several other St George executives held
briefings yesterday to reassure investors that the bank would continue to
perform well without Mrs Kelly. Mr Fegan joined St George in 2002 from National
Australia Bank to head the wealth management arm and is considered the leading
internal contender for the top job. Outsiders that could be considered are ANZ's
retail banking boss Brian Hartzer, NAB's head of retail banking Andrew Thorburn,
and the retail banking boss of Westpac, Michael Pratt.
23 August 2007 - Business outlook improving
The Financial Review
Corporate profits and building approvals seem likely to keep the economy growing
strongly into next year. The Westpac-Melbourne Institute Leading Index increased
to 7.1 per cent in June, up from 6.2 per cent in May and well above its
long-term average of 4.5 per cent. The result was helped by building approvals
which were up by 7.5 per cent. In other data released yesterday, the Department
of Employment and Workplace relations' skilled vacancies index fell by 3.4 per
cent, possibly signalling an easing in the pace of growth for the economy.
23 August 2007 - Limits on tax amendments
The Financial Review
A paper from the federal treasury recommends that limits be placed on the time
that the Australian Tax Office can pursue amendments to tax assessments. The
changes would mean that, unless taxpayers have deliberately sought to evade
their obligations, whether or not the correct amount of tax has been paid,
eventually their tax affairs for a particular year would become final. Changes
in 2005 meant that most taxpayers could only have their returns amended for two
years but there were still over 100 special situations which would allow the tax
office to impose retrospective bills indefinitely.
23 August 2007 - Reserve steps in to relieve funding squeeze
The Financial Review
Overnight funds are now costing the banks 6.85 per cent when the official cash
rate is 6.5 per cent. Yesterday, to ease the tightening of credit that is being
experienced, the Reserve Bank poured additional funds into the system for the
third day in a row with a cash injection of $4.7 billion, well over the $1.9
billion that was required for the day. The overnight funds are required to
facilitate settlement between the banks - when supply tightens the interest rate
applied to the funds is driven up and if there is excess the rate moves down.
The RBA aims to balance out supply and demand by buying or selling securities.
15 August 2007 - Care needed with DIY super
Sydney Morning Herald
More people are choosing self-managed funds for their superannuation, on average
3,800 were set up each month in the last financial year compared with 2,000 per
month in previous years. There are now 360,000 such funds with an average
balance of $800,000. The Tax Office is concerned that some people could be using
the funds illegally to access their super early or hide money so is increasing
their surveillance of the funds. Errors that have already been identified
include transferring residential property to the fund when only business
premises are eligible, and trustees transferring assets (such as cash), without
correctly accounting for the transactions.
15 August 2007 - RAMS hit by funding costs
The Australian
Non-bank lender RAMS has issued a profit warning as the US sub-prime market
increases the cost of some mortgage funding streams. RAMS founder John Kinghorn
said that while the business was not at risk, the tightening credit market is
driving up the cost of funding which will result in "material increases in
spreads and a shortage of liquidity". RAMS recently floated with an initial
share price of $2.50 but the price of its shares dropped 34 cents yesterday to
close at $1.41.
15 August 2007 - Business outlook resilient
The Financial Review
So far business remains largely unaffected by instability in the sharemarket
according to the latest NAB monthly survey. In the July survey firms rate
current conditions as the strongest since the study was first conducted in March
1997, although confidence was down slightly. Much of the decline in confidence
was driven by Western Australia where gains in housing have slowed and there are
concerns about the US economy.
15 August 2007 - IMB happy being mutual
The Financial Review
IMB yesterday announced a 13.5 per cent increase in annual after-tax profit of
$20 million. Tough market conditions saw mortgage approvals by IMB drop 15 per
cent in the last year to $952.2 million although total assets were up by 9.5 per
cent to $4.6 billion. Perpetual Investments, which holds a 4.9 per cent stake in
the mutual, is in favour of a public listing so that the company can access
better funding, expand the business and pay higher returns to shareholders.
Mutual organisations cannot pay out more than 50 per cent of their profits as
dividends. The chief executive of IMB, Wayne Morris, said that its status as a
mutual was not up for review.
15 August 2007 - Becton lifeline for Fincorp investors
The Financial Review
Becton Property Group has offered Fincorp investors 50 cents in the dollar on
their original investments as well as an opportunity to reinvest their proceeds
into Becton's office fund at a price that equates to 55 cents for each dollar.
Any investors that take up the offer will be given a three-year guarantee, with
two opportunities to withdraw each year at a guaranteed minimum of their entry
price. Becton's national manager of distribution, Simon Donohoe said, "The whole
idea is to give them a level of comfort. For the first three years of this
investment it doesn't matter whether the fund goes down [in value]. They will be
protected at the entry price and if the fund goes up they get to keep all the
upside as well". Becton has made two financial advisers available for free to
discuss the offer with investors.
15 August 2007 - Aussie boss warns on mortgage risks
The Financial Review
Aussie Home loans chairman John Symond believes that all lenders, including
banks, will have to raise interest rates by more than last week's 25 basis
points increase as the cost of borrowing rises. Mr Symond said that outer
suburbs were likely to be most impacted where house price growth has not been
strong and buyers are already stretched to meet payments. "They have negative
equity so if ever circumstances change and they've got to sell, that's when you
see blood on the streets," Mr Symond said. A spokesperson for the Housing
Industry Association agreed saying that it is a significantly more fragile
market on the outskirts.
14 August 2007 - Labour shortages set to inflate wages and costs
The Financial Review
Labour shortages are putting a huge strain on wages and costs, as the housing
sector struggles to keep up in the market. The construction sector, reported as
a key driver of economic growth in the latest Reserve Bank's quarterly statement
on monetary policy, has pointed out that while non-residential activity has
sustained moderate growth, housing activity has remained idle. The construction
sector has seen average growth of around 7 per cent a year, with gross domestic
product accounting for about 7.5 per cent. Non-residential construction averaged
10.3 per cent growth since 2003-04, despite an estimated 8.6 per cent decline
last year, compared to 16.9 per cent growth in 2005-06. Housing expenditure has
increased by 0.6 per cent a year.
14 August 2007 - NAB fees up, ATM's down
Sydney Morning Herald
NAB has increased the fee its customers pay for using another bank's ATMs from
$1.50 to $2.00, netting the bank an extra $50 million in income each year. At
the same time NAB has temporarily closed some of its ATMs while conducting an
upgrade, making it harder for their customers to use their own bank's ATMs. A
spokesperson for the bank said that service levels are expected to be back to
normal by the end of this week and any customers who have been forced to pay the
$2.00 fee due to their local ATM being closed could contact the bank for a
refund.
14 August 2007 - Another rate rise sooner, not later
Sydney Morning Herald
With inflation expected to stay at the top end of the Reserve Bank's comfort
zone of 2 to 3 per cent until at least 2009 means that another interest rate
rise is all but certain. In its quarterly statement on monetary policy released
yesterday the RBA said that evidence was pointing to strong growth in the global
economy. Locally, price pressures would remain as consumer borrowing and
confidence are increasing, boosting demand while supply is stretched according
to the RBA. Analysts are now predicting another increase in rates before the end
of the year, but if wages figures reported tomorrow show strong growth another
rise could be on the cards for next month.
14 August 2007 - BoQ to acquire MacKay
The Australian
The board of the MacKay Building Society has unanimously voted in favour of a
takeover proposal for the Bank of Queensland. The offer is worth $53.2 million,
15.7 per cent higher than a previous bid for MacKay by Wide Bay Building
Society. The BoQ offer would give shareholders $8.25 per Mackay share or 0.5 BoQ
shares per MacKay share. A spokesperson for the bank said that the merger would
further strengthen BoQ's growing presence in north Queensland following its
merger with MacKay-based Pioneer Permanent Building Society last year.
14 August 2007 - Bluestone feels rate pressure
The Australian
Lender Bluestone has warned that the big four may have to raise their interest
rates by more than just the Reserve's increases in cash rate and that borrowers
would find it harder to gain access to discounted rates that have been becoming
more common. Yesterday Bluestone said that it would be increasing rates on loans
by 17-55 basis points on top of the RBA's 25 basis point increase last week. The
move came following discussions the lender had with its bankers about the likely
future cost of funding. A quarter of Bluestone's customers have prior credit
problems however the average loan-to-value ratio of 75 per cent is far lower
than the 90 per cent average in the US.
14 August 2007 - Parties compete over housing stress
The Financial Review
The Housing Industry Association has called on the Coalition to match Labor's
housing affordability funding which now totals $1.1 billion. Treasurer Peter
Costello said that the government is already spending $15 billion on public
housing over the next five years, would open up housing funding to private
developers, and had started a land audit to find new land for housing. In the
meantime rents in Sydney are skyrocketing with an average two-bedroom unit now
being let for $330 per week, up $30 over the last year.
13 August 2007 - Labor to help stressed renters
Sydney Morning Herald
The Labor party has announced a new policy which is aimed encouraging investors
to build up to 50,000 low-cost residential properties that would be rented to
families who are suffering from 'mortgage stress'. The policy makes available
$6,000 per year in tax incentives to investors such as super funds and property
trusts for each property that would then be let for 20 per cent less than the
prevailing rate for up to 10 years. Under the plan a family would be eligible if
they are receiving the maximum rate of Commonwealth rent assistance, receive at
least the base rate of Family Tax Benefit A, and have paid at least 30 per cent
of the gross household income in rent for over a year.
13 August 2007 - Growth spurt for Bendigo
The Financial Review
Bendigo Bank's chief executive Rob Hunt has said that the merger proposed last
week is a perfect fit as it brings together the strong retail presence of
Bendigo with the wholesale book of Adelaide Bank. Mr Hunt said, "There's a
diversity of revenue in there so if one market slows, we've got other levers to
pull." If approved by Adelaide shareholders the new merged entity will challenge
Suncorp-Metway as the sixth largest bank in Australia with 1.3 million
customers, around 400 branches and a loan portfolio of $43 billion.
13 August 2007 - Melbourne apartment glut relief
The Financial Review
The oversupply of apartments in inner-city Melbourne is clearing with 1037 sales
in Southbank, Docklands and St Kilda road in the six months to the end of June.
The 2006-07 financial year result of 1962 sales was the best since 2002-03 and
25 per cent over the long term average calculated from 1994. With rental yields
improving, from $280 to $300 per week last year up to $310 now, investors are
being attracted to the market.
13 August 2007 - Westpac paves the way
The Financial Review
Westpac, having revamped their marketing approach has proven there are tangible
results in producing and promoting marketing campaigns involved with
environmental, social or community causes. Corporate social responsibility is a
widely circulating topic in recent years and since Westpac's campaign launch,
areas such as brand consideration, "product experience" and overall customer
experience has increased strongly. Since October, Westpac reported an increase
among existing accounts by 20 per cent, and the number of customers leaving the
bank decreasing by 25 per cent.
13 August 2007 - Fund injection to prop up banking system
Sydney Morning Herald
Central Banks in the US, Europe, Japan, Canada and Australia all moved to inject
cash into the banking system on Friday. The US sub-prime crisis had caused the
overnight lending rate between banks to reach 6 per cent but the injection of
$US38 billion by the US Federal Reserve saw that drop back to their target rate
of 5.25 per cent. As a result American stocks recovered most of the losses that
had occurred early on Friday.
13 August 2007 - Sub-prime problems hit close to home
The Financial Review
Macquarie Bank, BT Financial Group and AMP have all asked fund managers to
clarify their exposure to the sub-prime market. The move comes as BNP Paribas
has suspended three investment funds and suggestions that Citigroup lost more
than $US700 million in credit securities in July. Valuations have been suspended
and withdrawals frozen by hedge fund managers Basis Capital and Absolute Capital
after their portfolios of mortgage-backed assets got caught in the US sub-prime
fallout.
13 August 2007 - Card bodies monitor chip and PIN
The Financial Review
A committee consisting of representatives from Visa, MasterCard, merchants, card
issuers and card acquirers has been established by The Australian Payments
Clearing Association, with a primary focus of identifying possible problems that
could slow the uptake of new "chip" and "PIN" cards in Australia. The new cards
have lower interchange fees and both Visa and MasterCard envisage acceptance by
all merchants by early 2008.
10 August 2007 - Rates up, but where will they stop?
InfoChoice.com.au
The Reserve Bank raised interest rates to their highest level in ten years this
week, the official cash rate rising 0.25 percentage points to 6.5 per cent. This
will push variable home loan rates up by the same margin over the coming weeks,
adding about $50 to the average $300,000 mortgage.
No sooner had the widely anticipated quarter-point rise in official interest
rates been duly delivered by the RBA board, then speculation began about a
further rise. It is too early to start talking about further hikes. But it's
clear that there is plenty of ongoing stimulus to the economy from the resources
boom, strong business investment and plenty of federal government election
spending that risks feeding further inflationary pressure.
A return to strong monthly employment results for July has helped underscore
this and why the RBA found it necessary to act on interest rates. Another 21,800
jobs created last month, most full-time, sees a quarter of a million new jobs
over the past year.
So the real economy is strong, but the current instability on financial markets
can't be ruled out as a potential influence on interest rates. The longer it
continues, the greater the chance that confidence among consumers and businesses
is dented to an extent that economic activity takes a hit. There's no great
evidence of that yet in Australia, but that concern must have weighed on US
central bankers who decided to keep rates steady over there this week.
A full insight into what the central bank is thinking on interest rates,
inflation and the economy will emerge over the coming week with the quarterly
statement on monetary policy due out on Monday and a parliamentary committee
appearance by RBA governor Glenn Stevens on Friday. There is also the release of
wages growth figures, an important indicator for inflation.
10 August 2007 - LMI providers exercise caution
The Sheet
Three providers of lender's mortgage insurance in Australia, PMI, Genworth and
newly licenced MGIC, are expected to reign in aggressive growth targets.
Genworth is believed to be planning to limit, and even completely stop, selling
insurance on mortgages in certain postcodes, mainly in south-west Sydney. PMI
has not announced any changes yet but its parent company in the US is
experiencing larger claims and a default rate of 0.29 per cent, up from 0.16 per
cent just a year ago. A sign that MGIC has not escaped the US sub-prime crisis
is the scrapping of its planned takeover of Radain Group. While early signs are
for a change of attitude to locations that have been hurting for years and only
for non-bank lenders the expectation is that they will seek to reduce risk even
further.
10 August 2007 - Bendigo and Adelaide tie the knot
The Australian
Bendigo Bank and Adelaide Bank have agreed to merge with Bendigo being the
senior partner. The new entity will be known as Bendigo and Adelaide Bank with a
market capitalisation of $3.9 billion. Bendigo reported a full-year profit of
$118.5 million, an increase of 15.6 per cent.
10 August 2007 - More good employment figures
The Australian
The unemployment rate has remained at its 32 year low of 4.3 per cent, helped
along by an increase of 21,700 jobs, most of which were full-time. Victoria
showed the strongest growth in jobs with their unemployment rate now at 4.4 per
cent. Unemployment is lowest in Western Australia at 3.3 per cent due to the
resources sector. Increased unemployment rates were recorded in two states: NSW
is now at 4.7 per cent and South Australia 4.9 per cent.
10 August 2007 - Sales pressure encourages risky lending
The Financial Review
Workers in the finance sector will today speak at a parliamentary committee
warning that pressure on sales staff could be leading to risky lending
practices. The House of Representatives snap inquiry into lending practices will
also hear evidence from lenders, regulators, consumer groups and others from the
financial system. A survey by the Financial Sector Union found that most
respondents felt obliged to try to sell a product even if they believed the
customer did not need it. A joint submission by the Reserve Bank and Australian
Prudential Regulatory Authority says that while innovation in the lending market
has led to increased risk the overwhelming effect has been to widen the range of
households that can get access to finance.
10 August 2007 - Consumers already hit by higher rates
The Financial Review
The major banks are acting quickly to pass on the interest rate rise to their
customers with Westpac and National already announcing higher rates and the
others expected to follow today. Offshore based institutions such as ING and
BankWest have already announced increases in their high-interest savings account
rates. Competition in the sector has seen interest margins almost halve since
the mid-1990's, from around 4.26 per cent to 2.21 per cent.
10 August 2007 - ASIC should have acted earlier
The Financial Review
ASIC has been criticised as doing too little too late to prevent the collapse of
risky property schemes. A parliamentary investigation said that strategies
announced by the regulator earlier this year should have been triggered by the
collapse of Westpoint in 2005 rather than waiting for the predicted further
collapses to occur. ASIC has pledged to undertake more scrutiny of investment
companies and their prospectuses, as well as greater investor education.
10 August 2007 - No disclosure of environmental risks
The Financial Review
Guidelines that were being considered by the ASX to increase the amount of
information sharemarket listed companies disclose to their investors have been
dropped. Business groups lobbied to stop the adoption of new rules that would
have forced companies to inform shareholders about environmental and other
non-financial risks. Changes that did make it through include a requirement for
companies to prohibit hedging unvested options and tightening the disclosure of
remuneration by listed trusts.
10 August 2007 - Fringe lenders prey on vulnerable borrowers
The Financial Review
A survey conducted by the NSW Consumer Credit Legal Centre has found that
borrowers who refinance their mortgage because of financial difficulty usually
do so to their own detriment. The additional costs of refinancing often mean
that consumers lose more of the equity in their home than they would otherwise
have retained. The survey also found none of the borrowers surveyed had their
own solicitor, but were referred to solicitors by the brokers and lenders
involved. THE NSWCCLC identified a small group of lenders, brokers, solicitors
and accountants who offer expensive loans to vulnerable borrowers with a view to
recovering the debt and considerable fees from the security property.
10 August 2007 - Report suggests housing near crisis point
The Financial Review
The latest release of ANZ's Australian Property Outlook has reported the housing
market nearing a "crisis point", and that while housing price growth is booming
and rental growth is strong, new building development remains scarce. The
Economics@ANZ team, led by author Paul Braddick, argues the current housing
conditions will apply additional pressures on buyers and renters, and
"deteriorate sharply" in the years ahead. The Australian Bureau of Statistics
reported capital city housing prices rising 9.2 per cent for the first half of
the year, while at the same time the Reserve Bank decided to increase rates by
25 basis points, two fundamental factors set to worsen the affordability crisis.
9 August 2007 - Losses to impact bank earnings
The Financial Review
All major banks have said that they expect loan losses to rise following the
latest rate rise. With a low exposure to sub-prime loans, Australian banks are
expected to initially experience defaults in credit cards and unsecured personal
lending. An analyst from JP Morgan said that even a modest escalation would
reduce bank earnings by more than 5 per cent. Bank stocks usually outperform the
broader market in the three months after a rate rise.
9 August 2007 - Floating to compete for staff
The Financial Review
Westpac is planning a partial float of its investment arm, BT Financial Group.
The bank is likely to retain a 55 per cent stake in the deal which would value
BT at almost $1 billion. The decision to sell was driven by a need to retain key
staff that are being attracted to boutique firms that can offer equity stakes.
The sale could put pressure on rival Commonwealth bank to look at a similar move
for its Colonial First State division.
9 August 2007 - Location key to home value
The Australian
The fifth rate rise since the 2004 election could put further downward pressure
on prices for houses in outlying suburbs around the country. According to
analysis by Australian Property Monitors, homes in the outskirts of Perth and
Darwin could fall by as much as 10 per cent, while those in Sydney's west and
southwest, and Brisbane's growth corridor could drop by 5 per cent. Established
and premium suburbs would be unaffected however, creating a two-speed market,
one of the have and have-nots.
9 August 2007 - Inflation key to future rate hikes
The Financial Review
In its biannual Statement on Monetary Policy which is released next Monday, the
Reserve Bank is expected to indicate that underlying inflation will remain in
the top half of its 2 to 3 per cent comfort zone, raising the prospect that
rates will be raised again in the early part of next year. Strong economic
growth has been keeping pressure on inflation and the RBA said that the board
had been worried about this for some months.
9 August 2007 - Home values push upwards
The Financial Review
The average house price across Australian capital cities was up by 3.2 per cent
in the June quarter and 9.2 per cent over the year according to data released by
the Australian Bureau of Statistics. Brisbane recorded the largest increase of
6.5 per cent for the quarter and house prices in Sydney improved with a 2.3 per
cent lift in June taking the average increase for the year to 3 per cent. After
strong growth over the last few years Perth house prices were down by 0.9 per
cent for the quarter Darwin saw a decrease of 1.4 per cent.
9 August 2007 - Business borrowing booms
The Financial Review
Business borrowing has grown by 18.7 per cent over the last year and was one of
the factors considered by the Reserve Bank when they raised rates yesterday.
Borrowing has contributed to an increase of 85 per cent in capital expenditure
over the last five years. In spite of this, Macquarie Bank economist Richard
Gibbs said that businesses would not be too troubled by the rate rise. "Balance
sheets of Australian corporates are in a very healthy state and even small to
medium enterprises, while they might have a bit more debt, they are not in a
parlous way in terms of debt weightings," he said.
9 August 2007 - Super choice is a super pain
The Financial Review
Employees are increasingly using their right to choose a superannuation fund but
medium sized businesses are struggling to cope with the various administration
of the funds. Over half of businesses surveyed with between 20 and 500 employees
reported that changing funds for an employee was either a 'significant' problem
or a 'moderate hassle'. A quarter of medium sized businesses now pay
contributions to over 20 funds which is up from only 8 per cent in 2005 and 4
per cent in 2003.
8 August 2007 - ING Direct reward savers
InfoChoice.com.au
Demonstrating the competitiveness of the Online Savings market, ING Direct has
also announced an increase in deposit rates for their Savings Maximiser from 6
to 6.15 per cent and their Business Optimiser from 5.90 to 6.10 per cent.
8 August 2007 - RBA increases cash rate to 6.50 per cent.
InfoChoice
The Reserve Bank of Australia has increased the official cash rate to 6.50 per
cent the highest level since November 1996. For each $100,000 borrowed a
borrower can expect to pay a further $17 per month in their repayments. The rise
is the fifth increase since the last election and will play a critical role in
the coming campaign. The quoted Standard Variable Rate will now move to 8.32 per
cent whilst InfoChoice forecasts the InfoChoice Benchmark Variable Rate
increasing to 7.78 per cent.
8 August 2007 - BankWest first to market with increased deposit rates
InfoChoice
In response to the Reserve Bank decision to increase the official cash rate by
0.25 per cent, BankWest has increased the twelve month introductory rate paid on
their TeleNet Online Savings Account to 7.00 per cent whilst increasing the
revert rate the full 25 points to 6.50 per cent. BankWest has also passed on the
increase to their Business TeleNet Saver to 6.60 per cent and to their AgriOne
account to 5.75 per cent.
8 August 2007 - Spending power surge
Sydney Morning Herald
The capacity of Australians to buy goods and services, save and invest has
increased by 50 per cent since 1991 according to figures released by the
Australian Bureau of Statistics yesterday. Price rises of goods such as cars,
household appliances, clothing and footwear have been less than the average 3
per cent increase in our annual incomes. Some of the increased prosperity is a
result of a higher workforce participation rate with 62 per cent of Australians
over the age of 15 now employed compared with 56 per cent in 1985.
8 August 2007 - Houses grow while households shrink
The Australian
Our houses are getting bigger while the number of people in a household shrinks.
Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows that in the 10 years to 2004
the average number of people per household dropped from 2.7 to 2.5. Households
with only a couple account for 26 per cent of households and people living alone
make up 25 per cent. At the same time, in 2003-04 57 per cent of new separate
houses bought for owner-occupier purposes had four or more bedrooms. This leaves
77 per cent of households with one or more bedrooms to spare and 97 per cent of
couple-only homes have a spare.
8 August 2007 - House values increase equity
The Financial Review
The average amount outstanding on mortgages increased by 61 per cent from 1995
to 2004 but this was more than offset by an increase in equity over the same
period of 72 per cent. The slower increase in principle outstanding can be
attributed to 85 per cent of people having bought their homes before September
2000 when house values started to rise quickly. The average value of owner
occupied home is estimated to have grown from $209,000 to $355,000 over the
period which equates to a growth of 6 per cent per annum.
8 August 2007 - New property price record
The Financial Review
A new record has been set for the sale price of a house in Australia. A mansion
in Sydney's Point Piper changed hands for $29 million dollars but the record may
not stand for long. Already larger offers have been made for other waterfront
properties in Sydney and in Perth where one property could fetch as much as $70
million. Melbourne too is setting its own records with a property sold last week
for $18 million.
8 August 2007 - Warning for DIY fund travellers
The Financial Review
People who invest in do-it-yourself superannuation funds should think carefully
before heading overseas for an extended period. Residency rules that apply to
DIY funds have changed and mean that if you are going to be out of the country
for two or more years the option of returning for 28 days to renew the fund's
residency status no longer exists. Now trustee-members must not make any
contributions while away and management of the fund must be conducted by someone
in Australia. When a fund loses compliance status the top personal tax rate will
be applied and not just for the latest year but on previous income as well.
8 August 2007 - Rates to rise here on back of US problems
The Financial Review
Regional banks and non-bank lenders often use residential backed mortgage
securities (RMBS) to fund their lending as they don't have the access to a large
base of deposit funds as the big banks do. The cost of funding through RMBS
issues is expected to increase as a risk premium due to the sub-prime crisis in
the US. One lender last week was forced to raise the pricing on a $500 million
RMBS issue in an attempt to generate any real interest but withdrew the issue
from market after the increase failed to garner sufficient support. If this
trend continues smaller lenders will be forced to charge higher interest rates
on loans to consumers.
8 August 2007 - Reserve raises rates to check inflation
InfoChoice
As widely tipped the Reserve Bank has increased the official cash rate by 0.25
per cent. The governor of the RBA Glenn Stevens said that the increased demand
in the economy over recent months combined with a continued decline in
unemployment were the key factors behind the decision. While the higher currency
exchange rate has had a dampening effect on the local economy the high CPI
figure for the June quarter indicated a less favourable near-term outlook. Also
taken into consideration were the global economy and financial markets with
credit markets a downside risk for the US economy.
7 August 2007 - Signatures could be obsolete
The Financial Review
Smart cards will soon replace the magnetic strip credit cards that we have been
carrying since the 1970's. ANZ has been issuing cards with chips since 2003 and
later this month Westpac will start adding a computer chip to their Visa and
Mastercard issued cards with the Commonwealth Bank expected to announce a
similar move shortly. The new cards will provide more flexibility than is
currently possible with the option of using a numeric code to allow transactions
at a point of sale rather than using their signature. Other additional
functionality that is being investigated includes retailer loyalty schemes,
prepaid accounts that can be used in place of cash for small purchases such as
public transport, or pre-approved additional credit that could be activated by
the consumer when required. Currently there are about 1.5 million smart Visa
cards in use around the country.
7 August 2007 - Welfare change to swell unemployment ranks
The Financial Review
The ANZ job ads survey has shown that in July the number of ads was down by 0.5
per cent but this is still 33 per cent higher than they were just one year ago.
However the unemployment rate is expected to be up when figures are released on
Thursday as changes to welfare could affect up to 90,000 people who will be
added to the total until they find work. Parents on welfare whose youngest child
is seven or older will have to work a minimum of 15 hours a week.
7 August 2007 - Insolvency risk if rates rise
The Financial Review
Liquidators have said that an interest rate rise tomorrow may be the straw that
breaks the camel's back as more companies are using higher property values to
borrow more money from banks. In the financial year to June 2007 12,000
companies entered insolvency which was less than in 2006 but higher than the
7,500 reported in 2000. The result was not as bad as it could have been due to
the mining boom in Western Australia which meant that insolvencies were down 50
per cent in the state. Personal bankruptcies are also up to 25,242 people, a
13.2 per cent increase on the previous year.
7 August 2007 - Most urban centres not affordable
The Financial Review
Labor has rejected calls to double the first-home-buyers grant and instead
believes that tax breaks to help people to save for a deposit would be more
effective. Kevin Rudd said that Labor was still finalising its housing
affordability policy but that it already includes $500 million which would be
used to cut state charges and red tape for buyers of new homes. The Urban
Development Institute has found that only 39 per cent of our urban centres could
be considered affordable and property developers have called for a ministerial
council to address the issue.
7 August 2007 - Sharemarket on the skids
The Australian
Over the past two and a half weeks the Australian sharemarket has lost 8 per
cent of its value and investors have been warned that it isn't over yet.
Analysts believe that until fears over the US sub-prime market have settled an
increased risk aversion will keep the sell-off running. The value of the All
Ordinaries was down by $20 billion yesterday as weakness in early European
markets wiped out gains that had been made earlier in the day.
7 August 2007 - ANZ turning green
The Financial Review
In a bid to reduce energy consumption and extend its technology purchasing
cycles the ANZ Bank is looking at switching a third of its computers to thin
clients. The technology means that processing is performed externally at central
servers and the terminals use so little energy that they can be powered through
their network connections rather than plugged into mains power. ANZ has
committed to become carbon neutral by the end of 2009 by purchasing carbon
credits to offset greenhouse emissions at a cost of around $5 million per year.
7 August 2007 - Unknown bug affects online bankers
The Australian
National Australian Bank customers were yesterday experiencing difficulties
while accessing phone and internet services, as the system was denying attempted
access. This follows complications faced by the Bank of Queensland, who reported
just days earlier of having similar troubles. Both banks have been struggling to
understand the cause of the problem, and have yet to narrow down the root cause.
6 August 2007 - Rate rise blame game
Sydney Morning Herald
The Minister for Finance Nick Minchin has said that while the Reserve Bank is
independent, he does not believe that there is a case for a rate rise this week,
saying that inflation is "under control" at 2.6 per cent. The Liberal Party has
launched a new advertising campaign that aims to place the blame for rising
interest rates on $70 billion in borrowings by the Labor state governments.
However Macquarie Bank interest rate strategist Rory Robertson said that
interest rate cuts over the past 5 years were at odds with interest rate
increases by the RBA. "The Federal Government has disengaged the automatic
stabiliser of increased tax revenue," he said.
6 August 2007 - Shares less appealing as rates rise
The Financial Review
The Reserve Bank looks set to raise interest rates despite recent problems in
the global credit and sharemarkets. The probability of a rise was put at 80 per
cent by futures traders last Friday. While consumer-credit growth might be
dampened business credit is unlikely to be impacted however banks may suffer in
another way. With at call deposit rates of up to 8 per cent now being offered
this could attract money away from riskier investments such as the sharemarket,
eating into bank share prices.
6 August 2007 - Higher tax on unregistered super
The Financial Review
Around 1.1 million superannuation accounts still do not have tax file numbers
registered. 230,000 of these have balances of more than $1,000 and will be
subject to rules that came into effect from July 1st that mean they will be
taxed at the top rate (plus Medicare levy) and won't be able to make after tax
or non-concessional contributions. A mailing campaign by the tax office has led
to an increase in the number of accounts with tax file numbers from 77 per cent
last October to 92 per cent now.
6 August 2007 - Fixed mortgage rates on the move
The Financial Review
While the sub-prime crisis in the US is not being repeated here it is having an
effect on the local market. As the cost of credit in wholesale finance markets
has been rising, fixed mortgage rates have been moving up. Lenders are expected
to place more emphasis on credit quality and focus on pricing for risk rather
than slashing margins to win business. The cost of residential mortgage-backed
securities is also expected to increase which would impact six lenders in
Australia: Liberty Financial, Bluestone Group, Pepper Home Loans, Mobius
Financial Services, Challenger and Adelaide Bank.
6 August 2007 - ACR investors to get more than half back
The Financial Review
The administrators of failed property investment group ACR say that investors
can expect to receive 60 cents in the dollar and lenders should be fully repaid.
Over 7,000 investors are owed $330 million and lenders are owed $238 million.
The value of the group's property portfolio had been put at $624 million at the
beginning of June but this was based on valuations on an 'as if completed' basis
rather than on an 'as is' basis. The administrators have since said that the
most recent valuations are lower and that they are investigating the reasons for
the reduction.
6 August 2007 - APRA checks sub-prime health
The Financial Review
The Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority has been asking questions of our
financial institutions to determine their exposure to the US sub-prime market
but has found little risk. The National Australia Bank chief executive John
Stewart said that the sub-prime crisis in the US is very serious and has a lot
further to go with about 20 per cent of the $1.5 trillion sector in arrears but
the Australian banking system does not face the same threat. While Australian
banks have warned investors to prepare for some rise in bad debts the local
equivalent of sub-prime loans, non-conforming, only makes up 1 per cent of the
market according to Reserve Bank of Australia figures.
3 August 2007 - Case strong for August rate rise
infochoice.com.au
It appears the time has come for interest rates, with a high chance that the
Reserve Bank will raise official rates by 0.25 percentage points in the coming
week in an early strike against inflation.
The RBA is on record as saying it expects inflation to accelerate into 2008 and
the low March quarter inflation result only gave it more time to assess that
threat. Well, more time has only revealed that the inflation jumped back up in
the June quarter more quickly than had been expected, making the last inflation
forecasts by the RBA looking too low now.
And there are plenty of economic indicators currently adding weight to the
threat of rising inflationary pressures. The RBA's own figures on private sector
borrowing can only serve to strengthen the case for a rate rise. Housing,
personal and business credit all showed sizeable jumps in June, a phenomenon
very rare in these figures.
Overall credit growth was 1.8 per cent in June for an annual rate of 15.4 per
cent after being steady in the 14 per cent range over the last year. A massive
3.6 per cent rise in personal credit must be a one-off but housing and business
borrowing also recorded the highest monthly growth in some years.
Add to that strong June figures for building approvals and retail sales, set it
all against a background of record business investment, a strapping rate of job
creation and a recovering rural economy and there is little to stand in the way
of higher interest rates. The RBA might be concerned about the instability on
share markets but what we've seen so far won't be enough to ward off a rate
rise.
A 0.25 per cent rate rise would add an extra $17 to monthly loan repayments for
every $100,000 in borrowings.
3 August 2007 - Fringe lenders to blame for defaults
The Financial Review
Mortgagee possessions were up by 10 per cent from 2005 to 2006 but the
Australian Banker's Association has denied that its members are driving the
growth. The ABA has asked the NSW Supreme Court to obtain more data which they
expect would show that it is fringe lenders, making loans with little regard to
the ability to repay, that are causing the problem rather than mainstream
lending practices. A similar request made to the court previously was rejected
as collating the data would require a review of every loan file and would be too
time consuming.
3 August 2007 - US economy to have a soft landing
The Financial Review
The International Monetary Fund has said that the most likely scenario for the
US economy is a soft landing, however risks remain. Growth in the US economy is
forecast to be 2 per cent this year, down from the 3.3 per cent achieved last
year but should recover to 2.8 per cent next year. Demand for American products
overseas is strong which is offsetting a fall in local consumer consumption
currently but the IMF said that consumption could weaken and financial market
conditions could tighten rapidly.
3 August 2007 - Ombudsman highlights online security concerns
The Financial Review
The Banking and Financial Services Ombudsman has warned banks and credit unions
that delaying settlement of disputed online transactions would lead to larger
compensation payments. As more banking services are conducted online banks can
issue credit without ever seeing a customer. This has led to situations where
the first a person knows about a credit card or loan being obtained fraudulently
using their name is when debt collectors come knocking. A recent case saw a bank
paying $4,300 to a customer after it had given out personal information which
resulted in an adverse credit listing. NAB is looking at the viability of voice
recognition technology to improve customer identification at call centres but
said that such innovations had to remain customer-friendly.
3 August 2007 - Healthy recovery for Aussie market
News.com.au
The Australian stock market bounced back yesterday with the S&P/ASX200 index
rising by 70.6 points. Whether this will hold or not remains unclear as
investors continue to watch the direction of US markets. Stocks in all of the
major banks recovered with NAB up by 92 cents to $38.00 and Commonwealth up 95
cents to $53.20. A total of 2.13 billion shares were traded with a value of
$7.93 billion.
3 August 2007 - Public housing plan upsets state relations
Sydney Morning Herald
The NSW Premier Morris Iemma has warned the Prime Minister that he is not
comfortable with proposed changes that would force state governments to compete
with private developers for public housing funding. Mr Iemma said that the
federal government has not consulted the state and territory governments and
that the move undercuts the co-operative approach that had been established. The
acting Minister for Housing in NSW Linda Burney said that the plan could place
327,000 NSW tenants in jeopardy.
3 August 2007 - Rich getting richer
The Age
Results of a survey conducted by the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed that
the gap between the wealthy and the poor continues to widen. The richest 20 per
cent of households have 61 per cent of the country's wealth while the bottom 20
per cent own only 1 per cent. The top 20 per cent have average net assets of
$1.7 million while the bottom 20 per cent have average assets of $27,000. Over
the past two years the richest group has increased the average asset figure by
over $300,000 while the poorest group's average assets only increased by $4,000.
2 August 2007 - Market jitters cause wipe-out
Sydney Morning Herald
Concerns about global economic conditions led to $51 billion being wiped from
the value of the Australian sharemarket. The ASX200 index was down 3.3 per cent,
or 200 points. Investment banks were hardest hit with Macquarie alone losing
$2.4 billion from its market capitalisation following news that investors in one
of its funds that is exposed to the US sub-prime mortgage crisis will lose up to
25 per cent of their investment. Over the last week the Australian stock market
has fallen by a total of 8 per cent.
2 August 2007 - Less LMI equals higher rates
The Australian
APRA has announced a reduction in the concessions in regulatory capital
requirements for loans that are protected by Lenders Mortgage Insurance that are
granted to financial institutions. The chief executive of insurer PMI, Ian
Graham, has warned that with less incentive to use LMI, lenders would be more
likely to apply higher interest rates for loans with greater risk such as low or
no deposit. The changes apply to banks, credit unions and building societies.
2 August 2007 - CBA expands equities presence
The Australian
The Commonwealth Bank has made a bid to purchase online broking and investment
portfolio services company IWL. IWL is Australia's largest independent discount
broker and the offer of $6.57 per share values the business at $373 million. If
the purchase is successful it would take banks' share of the equities market
from CommSec's 4.4 per cent to over 5 per cent. Yesterday IWL announced a
pre-tax profit of $31.9 million.
2 August 2007 - BankWest ready for expansion plans
Sydney Morning Herald
HBOS Australia, parent company of BankWest, has announced a half-year pre-tax
profit of $368 million, an increase of 16 per cent, despite costs rising by 30
per cent. The result ensures that the bank is well placed as it begins its
aggressive push into the eastern states, although 50 per cent of its assets are
already outside Western Australia. Lending in the half year was up by 28 per
cent contributing to achieving a 4 per cent share of the national market, up
from 1 per cent 4 years ago. The monthly target for take-up of the 8 per cent
Regular Saver deposit account was achieved in just one day.
2 August 2007 - High fuel prices to return
The Financial Review
Families on low and middle incomes face the prospect of financial pressure on
two fronts with a rate rise looking likely next week and petrol prices tipped to
rise again. While the average price of petrol in Australia was at a 16-week low
of 124.9 cent last week, the price of oil on international markets is hitting
record highs. Higher fuel prices would feed into inflation and increase the
chances of further rate rises.
2 August 2007 - Food prices climbing
The Financial Review
The value of retail sales was up by 1.4 per cent in June. While sales volumes
were down by 0.2 per cent for the month higher prices, particularly in food,
resulted in an increase in value of 6.7 per cent on a year ago. Price increases
were highest for groceries as the drought reduces supplies, pushing food prices
up. Imports were up by 0.8 per cent for the month while exports sunk by 3.4 per
cent leaving a trade deficit of $1.75 billion.
1 August 2007 - HSBC targets travellers
Sydney Morning Herald
HSBC has said that it aims to double its customers over the next five years but,
instead of the branch expansion strategy adopted by BankWest, will focus on
Australians who do business overseas and travel regularly. HSBC will leverage
its network in Asia and around the world. Currently HSBC has 470,000 Australian
customers and estimates this could reach almost 1 million by 2012. The
Australian division of the bank announced yesterday that it is on track to
produce a full-year profit of over $US100 million by February with the result
for the last 6 months up 4 per cent on the same period last year to $US51
million.
1 August 2007 - More rate pressure as debt balloons
The Australian
Private debt grew by $27.4 billion in June, further strengthening the case for a
rate rise when the Reserve Bank meets next week. A large contributor to the debt
blow-out was an increase in personal debt of $5.5 billion instead of the usual
$2 billion growth each month. This is believed to be due to high-income earners
borrowing to buy shares and managed fund units to put in to superannuation
before 30 June. Borrowings for homes in June totalled $12.1 billion, the largest
monthly increase since March 2004. Business lending was also up with $9.9
billion in new debt, adding to an increase of 18.7 per cent over the past year.
1 August 2007 - House approvals edging up
The Australian
Yesterday the Australian Bureau of Statistics released new home approval figures
which show a slow recovery after a drop caused by interest rate rises last year.
Total new dwelling approvals were up by 7.5 per cent in June but new apartment
approvals which can vary greatly from month to month contributed to the result.
Trend analysis from the ABS shows approvals for private houses growing by only
0.2 per cent in the month and apartments by 0.8 per cent.
1 August 2007 - Consumers reject biometrics
The Financial Review
Despite the promise of better security for our financial transactions a dislike
for intrusive technology, such as biometric scanning, has slowed its
introduction and some believe that we will never accept it. Two years ago the
head of technology at Westpac, Michael Croomer, said that we would be using
thumbprints and iris scans to identify ourselves by now. However he has conceded
that there are emotional issues around privacy but also that the technology to
support such systems is not yet commercially viable.
1 August 2007 - House prices out of reach for many
The Financial Review
Research from the Property Council of Australia shows that workers on the
average wage of $55,000 cannot afford to buy a median-priced home in any of the
16 metropolitan suburbs surveyed. The Council warns that this will have an
impact on society as key workers such as teachers and nurses are denied access
to the housing market and that the option of a single-income family is no longer
viable. One example in the report is a primary school teacher and an
administrative assistant on a combined income of $95,000 would pay 39 per cent
of their income to buy a three bedroom home on the Gold Coast, 48 per cent in
Rockdale, 30 per cent in Footscray and 41 per cent in Queens Park in Perth.
1 August 2007 - No sub-prime fallout here
The Financial Review
The sub-prime loan crisis in the US will not necessarily be repeated in
Australia. Although banks have warned investors that there will be some rises in
bad debts here, this would be off a very low base and are half the level of
arrears in the US market. Non-conforming loans, the Australian equivalent of
sub-prime loans only make up 1 per cent of outstanding loans, compared with 15
per cent in the US.
28 September 2007 - US rate cut holds mixed fortunes for Australian rates
InfoChoice.com.au
This week has seen signs that the global financial markets might be returning to
normal following the shakeout caused by the sub-prime lending crisis in the US.
If this is the case, there are mixed fortunes for Australian borrowers and their
home loan interest rates. There are two factors playing on interest rates
currently, generally pulling in opposite directions. As one risk threatening
higher rates recedes, the other rises.
The risk of smaller lenders here having to raise interest rates for borrowers
(because the global credit crunch is lifting their costs of raising finance) on
variable loans may now start to recede but we are not totally out of the woods
yet. No lender wants to be seen to be raising rates when its competitors aren't.
Most lenders are not expected to raise rates, and those that do by small
margins.
The risk of all lenders having to raise interest rates because the Reserve Bank
increases official interest rates has, however, returned now that the global
credit crunch is settling down. There is no real chance the RBA will lift rates
as soon as its October meeting this Tuesday. But the significant 0.5 percentage
point cut in interest rates by the US Federal Reserve has served to settle
nervous world financial markets very nicely and reduced the risk that the US
will go into recession, hitting world growth.
This means Australia's strong economic growth is less threatened and likely to
continue, a situation that already has the RBA concerned over inflation. It is
possible therefore that we will see an interest rate rise late this year or
early next. The soonest a 0.25 per cent hike could come is early November,
following the release of the all-important quarterly inflation figures in late
October, although the chances don't appear high at this stage.
28 September 2007 - Interest rates bite households and government
News.com.au
Over half the respondents in a survey of 1,530 people said that they would have
trouble meeting their home loan repayments if interest rates rose by 1 per cent.
The survey, conducted by polling firm Coredata, also found that those in the
lower income group are worst affected by the cost of housing with one quarter of
that group of borrowers reporting that mortgage repayments consumed 60 per cent
or more of their household income. High loan-to value ratios are also causing
problems with 13 per cent of all respondents saying that they think that their
mortgage is now larger than the value of their home. One quarter of respondents
who voted for the Coalition in 2004 said that they now intend to vote against
the government at the next election because of recent interest rate rises.
28 September 2007 - High vacancies to lower unemployment rate
The Australian
Data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows that job vacancies in the
year to August rose by 11.9 per cent and a total of 172,700 job vacancies in the
quarter to August. An equities economist at CommSec, Martin Arnold, said that
the high level of job vacancies should see the unemployment rate slip below 4
per cent from its current 4.3 per cent as good business conditions encourage
employers to put on more staff. He said that there are now less than three
unemployed people for every vacancy. Vacancy rates were up by 31.8 per cent in
Western Australia, followed by the ACT which was up 31 per cent. The only state
where vacancies fell was Queensland which was down by 3.3 per cent.
28 September 2007 - Mergers would allow local banks to grow
The Australian
Chief executive of the ANZ, John McFarlane, has said that the next challenge for
the Australian banking system is overseas expansion, but that mergers between
the major banks would need to be allowed to enable this. He said that the Asian
region was the "natural province for Australian banks", but in Singapore the
major banks were roughly the same size as Australia's big four and China had the
largest banks in the world by market capitalisation. Mr McFarlane was speaking
on the eve of his retirement, after 10 years at the helm of ANZ.
28 September 2007 - Plan to regulate brokers
The Financial Review
A draft consultation bill is being prepared that will subject finance and
mortgage brokers who issue high-risk loans to strict licensing requirements and
the possibility of tough penalties. The bill is believed to include a single
licensing regime which would allow brokers to operate across state borders and
it is also likely to encompass the reverse mortgage market. Penalties under the
new legislation will include criminal fines, infringement notices, and
conditions being imposed on operating licences or even withdrawal of licence.
Under the new regime brokers will be responsible for assessing the capacity of
individuals to meet loan repayments, will have education requirements imposed,
will be required to disclose commissions and relationships with credit
providers, and have to join a dispute resolution scheme.
28 September 2007 - Reverse mortgages reviewed by ASIC
The Financial Review
The Australian Securities and Investments Commission is expected to release the
findings of its investigation into the reverse mortgage market in the next two
months. The results of the study will be used as the basis for negotiations with
lenders about product design. ASIC's executive director of consumer protection,
Greg Tanzer, said that disclosure of costs and risks associated with the loans
should be improved. "We think that consumers, when they go into this, must think
about it as a long-term product and do long-term planning," he said. "People may
well need to get specific advice about them. Advice in this area is not
generally regulated." The Seniors Equity Release Association recently introduced
a code of conduct for reverse mortgage providers which includes a 'no negative
equity guarantee' that ensures borrowers will not have to pay back more than the
value of their property.
28 September 2007 - AFG delays IPO
The Financial Review
Australian Finance Group has delayed its planned public float due to concerns
about the poor state of the credit market. AFG is Australia's largest mortgage
broker and had planned to float the company in the last quarter of 2007 with an
expected value of more than $200 million. Managing director, Brett McKeon, said
"When you see listings like RAMS going from $2.50 to 55 cents in a few weeks of
listing and financial services companies are a bit on the nose because of
funding issues in the US, we have the concern that our business - even though it
doesn't have any funding issues - that we would get caught up in the smell". AFG
posted an annual net profit of $6.7 million for the year ended June 2006,
compared with $5.9 million in the year before.
27 September 2007 - Big banks chase Sunday trading
The Australian
The ANZ is aiming to introduce full-service banking seven days a week by 2010 in
capital cities and selected regional areas. The bank already has one seven day
branch in Melbourne with another in Brisbane. Yesterday it announced that the
first branch of this type in NSW would be opened in Lismore, taking the total
number of new ANZ branches since 2004 to 80. The Commonwealth Bank is seeking
approval to open all of its branches in NSW on Sundays between 9.30am and 4pm.
Westpac has 15 branches open on Sundays but these can only be used for home loan
enquiries.
27 September 2007 - APRA watching bank balance sheets
The Australian
The Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority has said that it is working
closely with local banks to monitor the impact of the credit market problems.
The regulator is paying particular attention to the way that banks can use the
commercial market for asset backed securities to keep housing loans off their
balance sheet. An APRA spokesman said yesterday "Australian banks remain well
capitalised with very low levels of impaired assets. In recent months, APRA has
stepped up its monitoring of ADI's (authorised deposit taking institutions)
funding positions and maintains a close eye on any impacts caused by exposures
to securitisation vehicles which are fully disclosed to APRA."
27 September 2007 - Australia best for new businesses
The Australian
In a study of 178 countries conducted by the International Finance Corporation
and the World Bank, Australia has been crowned as the easiest place in the world
to start a new business. The report said that a non-liability company can be set
up in Sydney in just two days and that business registration fees had been
reduced by 50 per cent in NSW last year. Australia has always been in the top
three positions since the first annual study was conducted five years ago.
27 September 2007 - Rate rise tipped for February
The Financial Review
The inflation figures due out on 24 October are shaping up as the key
determining factor for the interest rate outlook. Investors are currently
putting the chance of another increase in interest rates by the RBA before the
end of the year at 30 per cent and in February next year at 53 per cent. The RBA
has made it clear that, if it were not for the global credit problems, the
August rate increase would have been followed by another in September. The
governor of the Reserve, Glenn Stevens, said last week that the economy seemed
to be at least as strong as when the bank decided to lift rates in August.
27 September 2007 - Skilled vacancies fall
The Financial Review
Wages pressure may ease with skilled vacancies down by 1.7 per cent in
September, the second consecutive monthly decline. Figures from the Department
of Employment and Workplace Relations showed that there was a 12 per cent drop
in position advertisements for manufacturing, wiping out a 9.6 per cent increase
in the construction and building sector. However a survey of 7,185 businesses
conducted by recruiting firm Hudson found that over 95 per cent intended to
increase or maintain their employment levels of the next three months.
27 September 2007 - Bank stocks support market
The Financial Review
Bank stocks helped to limit falls on the local sharemarket yesterday as resource
stocks dropped on the back of a weaker higher Australian dollar and weaker
copper and oil prices. The S&P ASX200 was down 1.6 points to close at 6481.4
after climbing above 6500 points earlier in the day. Rio Tinto shares shed $2.04
to $106 and BHP lost $1.44 to $43.16 while in the financial sector Westpac
gained 49 cents to $27.80 and ANZ was up 23 cents to $28.92.
26 September 2007 - St George to expand ATM presence
InfoChoice.com.au
St George Bank has announced that it will partner with BP to install 200 of the
bank's ATMs in prominent BP service stations across Australia. The arrangement
means that St George customers will have better access to their own bank's ATMs,
potentially reducing charges incurred by using machines belonging to other
banks. Once the initial rollout is complete other opportunities for ATM
installation will be considered with a focus on Western Australia, Queensland
and Victoria. St George has also introduced an ATM locater service where
customers can SMS their current suburb and state to a number which will then let
them know where the closest ATM is.
26 September 2007 - Special accounts used for tax not drought
The Australian
The average balance of a farm management deposit account rose to a record
$68,600 in the June quarter, up $2,600 or 4 per cent from a year earlier. The
scheme was created by the federal government with the aim of giving farmers tax
breaks so that they would be encouraged to put money away in good years and will
draw on it to get them through the bad. Official figures released last week show
that while $500 million was drawn out of the accounts in the September quarter
last year, this was offset by a $450 million increase in deposits in the June
quarter, suggesting that the accounts are being used for tax benefits rather
than managing drought. Tax on income paid into the accounts can be deferred
until the funds are accessed.
26 September 2007 - RBA says record debt levels OK
Sydney Morning Herald
The Reserve Bank of Australia has said that it is not concerned about our
increasing debt levels as most has been taken on by higher-income and
middle-aged households. The deputy governor of the RBA, Ric Battellino, said
yesterday that rather than blaming increasing debt on young couples trying to
buy their first home, the growth is driven by older, higher-income households
that are trading up to higher-quality or better-located homes, buying investment
properties and taking out margin loans to buy shares. "These are all signs of
rising affluence," he said. Outstanding household debt as a proportion of gross
domestic product has climbed from 20 per cent in the 1970's to 100 per cent now.
26 September 2007 - Drought assistance for farmers and businesses
Sydney Morning Herald
In a package of drought assistance announced by the federal government
yesterday, the largest component the allocation of $170 million to assist 1,000
farmers who decide to walk away from their land. In a total package of $714
million other measures include lifting the off-farm assets threshold from
$473,000 to $750,000, a doubling of the amount that farmers or their spouses can
earn off-farm to $20,000, and irrigators in the Murray Darling Basin will
receive grants of up to $20,000 to help cope with low water allocations.
Assistance will also be provided to all small businesses in towns of up to
10,000 residents which rely on farmers for income. Expenditure on drought relief
has totalled over $3 billion since 2001, with $1.1 billion of that announced in
the last week in recognition of widespread winter crop failures. Farmers on over
half of the nation's agricultural land are now subsidised with special
assistance drought payments.
26 September 2007 - More scrutiny for home loan funding
The Australian
The Reserve Bank of Australia yesterday signalled that there was a need for
greater scrutiny of bank funding. The deputy governor of the RBA, Ric Battellino,
said that the US sub-prime crisis and the broader credit market turmoil that has
followed has highlighted the widespread use of so-called conduits, or special
vehicles, to take housing loan liabilities off the balances sheets of banks
globally. "Around the world, banks have been able to make housing loans and fund
them through these conduits without having to hold any capital, and I'm sure
this will be discussed very deeply by regulators," he said. An unnamed banking
industry insider said that APRA should be keeping a close eye on balance sheets
to ensure that the phenomenon did not cause banks' capital adequacy ratios to
deteriorate. "APRA should be asking how their capital adequacy has changed," he
said.
26 September 2007 - Bank profits growing strongly
The Financial Review
Bank profits continue to climb as three interest rate increases in the last year
have not slowed our demand for home loans. The 53 banks licensed to operate in
Australia posted a combined profit of $21 billion, up by 12 per cent on the year
before, according to figures released by the Australian Prudential Regulatory
Authority.
26 September 2007 - SME lending to ease: Westpac
The Financial Review
Westpac has predicted that business credit growth will slow from the current
annual rate of 15 per cent. Group executive of the bank's business financial
services arm, Peter Hanlon, said that they expected that credit growth for
businesses with a turnover of less than $100 million would tail off slightly
over the next year, based on industry information and the level of forward
orders, but it should still achieve growth of 14 per cent. Mr Hanlon said that
growth in manufacturing SME's was still strong and Westpac's services to mining
companies was also doing well. "In terms of geographies, obviously with growth
in Queensland and Western Australia, they are [both] strong growth states for
us. We have seen recovery for our segment in New South Wales, so it's not as
much a gloom and doom situation," he said. "Victoria is not bad, but it's not a
Queensland that's for sure."
26 September 2007 - No buyer for RAMS yet
The Financial Review
While the chief executive of RAMS Home Loan Group, Greg Kolivos, said that he is
not aware of any bank taking a stake in the non-bank lender, he declined to
comment on whether any merger talks had been held recently. Shares in the
company hit a peak of $1.02 yesterday as rumours circulated that NAB was about
to make a move on the lender but had dropped back to 95 cents by the close of
trading. Mr Kolivos acknowledged that the business had some problems due to its
dependence on wholesale capital markets for funding but that they had found ways
of competing in a changing financial services industry in the past. "How that
plays out going forward, some of that is going to depend on how those markets
are going to operate over the next few months so I wouldn't say we've formed any
conclusive views at the moment," he said.
25 September 2007 - NSW is repossession capital
The Financial Review
While the national rate of people falling behind in their home loan repayments
is a low 0.41 per cent, in NSW this figure increased to over 0.6 per cent.
Figures from the Reserve Bank of Australia show that the Liverpool-Fairfield
area has the highest rate of home repossessions in the country with 0.5 per cent
of all dwellings in the area seized in 2006, compared with a state average of
0.23 per cent. In NSW last year 3,600 writs for repossession were issued and
figures show that over 4,000 are likely to be issued this year. The RBA said
that the unemployment rate in western Sydney has risen slightly and property
prices have decreased. "In addition, a disproportionately large number of
borrowers in this part of Sydney took out investment housing loans around the
peak of the house price cycle," it said.
25 September 2007 - Super returns to slow
The Financial Review
While average superannuation returns hit 14.2 per cent for the year to August,
research house SuperRatings has warned that we are likely to see a retreat to
single digit gains. Recovering from losses on global sharemarkets early in
August, balanced super funds managed to generate a 1.31 per cent return for
August. SuperRatings managing director Jeff Bresnahan said that he doubted that
super funds would be able to generate returns over 10 per cent this year. "These
gains have been dictated by markets and I can't see markets sustaining that sort
of growth...you would have to expect some kind of back-off from the levels we
have seen over the last four years," he said.
25 September 2007 - New record for stockmarket
The Australian
The Australian stockmarket has rebounded to hit a new record high with resource
stocks leading the way. The Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource
Economics yesterday forecast that commodity values will rise by 4 per cent this
year, driving up share prices for companies such as BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto,
Fortescue Metals and Woodside Petroleum. The S&P/ASX 200 was up 93.6 points,
closing at 6,451.5, and the All Ordinaries was up 89.9 points to close at 6461.1
points. The Australian dollar is also being pushed higher, reaching US86.72
cents last night.
25 September 2007 - Credit crisis not over yet
The Australian
In its latest review of the financial system the Reserve Bank of Australia has
said that the relative calm in money markets over the past few weeks may not
last. The report said that the cost of credit remains high so lenders are either
absorbing the increased cost or passing it on to consumers, although standard
rates for prime mortgages have not moved up yet. While most borrowers are
positive about their personal finances according to the report there are pockets
of Australia, particularly western Sydney where this was not the case. One
indicator of the financial stress being felt is a 75 per cent increase in the
value of superannuation policies being redeemed early. Analysis conducted by the
RBA identified regions in NSW, Victoria and Queensland where mortgage repayments
are taking more than 30 per cent of household income but in western Sydney there
are areas where this figure is over 40 per cent.
25 September 2007 - IMF forecasts slower growth
The Financial Review
The International Monetary Fund has predicted that world economic growth will
remain high next year but at lower levels than in 2006 and 2007. At a seminar
yesterday the managing director of the IMF, Rodrigo Rato, said "Credit markets
are correcting, but slowly. We aren't at a stage of normality." However Mr Rato
said that most countries should be able to cope with financial conditions. "It
has an effect on the real economy which will be felt in 2008, with greater
intensity in the United States, less in other areas," he said.
25 September 2007 - Record population growth
The Financial Review
Australia's population increased by 307,100 in the year to the end of March, the
largest rise ever recorded in a 12 month period, taking total population to an
estimated 20,948,900. All states and territories recorded population growth with
Queensland leading the way, growing by 2.3 per cent. Western Australia had the
next fastest growth rate of 2.2 per cent, followed by Northern Territory with 2
per cent, Victoria and the ACT grew 1.5 per cent, South Australia and New South
Wales 1 per cent, and Tasmania grew 0.6 per cent. The most populous state is New
South Wales with 6.87 million residents, then Victoria with 5.18 million and
Queensland has 4.16 million.
24 September 2007 - Government has plenty of land in reserve
The Financial Review
Victoria has accused the federal government of sitting on enough land for around
30,000 new homes in the latest bout of the blame game around housing
affordability. The Victorian Planning Minister, Justin Madden, said that the
review of federal landholdings identified about 2,100 hectares that could be
released around Melbourne. Mr Madden warned that if the government was to use
the land it would have to consider selling it below market value. "You can't
simply flog off surplus land to the highest bidder as the Howard government has
been known to do in the past," he said. "This does nothing to encourage the
development of affordable housing."
24 September 2007 - Queensland to regulate mortgage brokers
The Financial Review
The Queensland government will go ahead with plans to regulate the mortgage
broking industry even though national regulation will be introduced in 2009.
With around 40 per cent of all new home loans originating via brokers, the
federal government is considering a proposal to impose strict laws on the $165
billion non-bank lending industry and the thousands of mortgage brokers. The
Queensland rules will require brokers to disclose the costs of services, provide
a statement saying why a recommended product is appropriate, and be barred from
accepting client commissions before securing credit or lodging a caveat over a
property to secure payment. Brokers will also be required to run an internal
dispute resolution process and comply with confidentiality and privacy
obligations. Western Australia is the only state which regulates its mortgage
broking industry currently.
24 September 2007 - Property lot production too low
The Financial Review
Production of property lots in Sydney is predicted to increase by 25 per cent
through 2008-09 but, in the nation's largest city, this is from a base that is
around the same level as in Adelaide over recent years. Only 2,800 new lots were
released in Sydney in 2005-06 which was less than half the rate of releases in
the late 1990's. Lot production almost tripled in Perth from 4,700 in 1996-97 to
13,900 in 2005-05, but this is expected to drop by 38 per cent in the three
years to 2008-09. Forecaster BIS Shrapnel said that while housing affordability
is not improving, population growth is creating strong pent-up demand in most
markets.
24 September 2007 - Tenancy laws would make eviction easier
The Financial Review
NSW is proposing changes to its residential tenancy laws which it says are aimed
at increasing the appeal of property to investors and improve the availability
of rental properties. The most controversial of the proposed measures would make
it easier for landlords to evict tenants for unpaid rent which can currently
take up to three months. Spokesman for Australians for Affordable Housing, David
Imber, has said that investors decide where to invest based on value rather than
their interpretation of tenancy legislation and that there was no evidence that
such reforms would increase the supply of rental property. The proposal does
include some changes in favour of tenants including 30 days notice in the event
of a mortgagee sale.
24 September 2007 - Reverse mortgages booming
The Australian
The reverse mortgage market is growing strongly according to figures from
advisory firm Trowbridge Deloitte. Outstanding loan balances were up by 67 per
cent in the year to June, now totalling $1.81 billion. Over the same period the
number of loans increased by 13 per cent to 31,544. The average size of a loan
is now $52,000 and borrowers have an average age of 73. Almost a quarter of all
borrowers drew down additional funds in the first half of this year. Most loans
are taken as a lump sum, with only 15 to 20 per cent taking the option of having
the funds payed to them in instalments.
24 September 2007 - ETrade grows market share
Sydney Morning Herald
Online broking firm ETrade is expected to report a better than forecast profit
following a significant increase in trading over the last quarter. Since being
bought by ANZ the broker has increased its market share with market researcher
AC Nielsen saying that ETrade has attracted 25 per cent of personal traders
signing up for online broking, 3 percentage points ahead of CommSec and over 18
points ahead of the company in third position. Briefing documents from ANZ show
that ETrade is expected to double its number of clients in the two years to the
end of this month and currently has 362,000 customer accounts.
24 September 2007 - No inquiry into ASIC
The Financial Review
The federal Treasurer Peter Costello has denied that investors need more
protection despite 20,000 people losing a total of around $500 million over the
last two years due to the collapse of Westpoint, Bridgecorp, Fincorp, and
Australian Capital Reserve. Mr Costello said that the government's role is to
ensure that investors make investments with full knowledge of the risks involved
but does not regulate the returns. He also said that there was no need for a
royal commission into ASIC's failure to protect investors from the development
company collapses. Mr Costello said "The important thing of course is if you
keep a growing economy, most investments will give good returns and we've seen
good returns in the economy generally. In this area of the property market I
think increased transparency and disclosure is very much the way to go."
21 September 2007 - Home sellers ask saint for help
News.com.au
As homes in America become harder to sell with buyers drying up and credit
becoming scarce, some desperate sellers are seeking divine intervention. St
Joseph is the patron saint of home sellers so people looking to move property
are burying a statue of the saint in the garden then asking him to intervene on
their behalf to find a buyer. One shop that stocks religious paraphernalia has
reported a doubling in the number of statues of St Joseph it sells over recent
months. With houses sitting on the market for over 30 days that would previously
have been sold before they were built, a real estate agent in Washington said
that while they wouldn't force the idea on a client, if the client asks about
appealing to St Joseph they would definitely tell them to get a statue and bury
it.
21 September 2007 - Another month, another card debt record
The Age
Australia's total credit card debt topped $41 billion for the first time at the
end of July, an increase of $256 million from the previous month. The ratio of
debt to income also reached a new record of 161.3 per cent in the quarter to the
end of June, according to data from the Reserve Bank of Australia. Unchanged
from the previous quarter was the 11.9 per cent of our disposable income that is
committed to meeting interest payments.
21 September 2007 - PM says no housing crisis
Yahoo.com.au
The Prime Minister, John Howard, has said that there is no housing crisis. Mr
Howard said that while there are the beginnings of a housing crisis in the US
the main problem we have in Australia is that wages are not increasing as fast
as housing costs and said that the use of the term 'housing crisis' by the
opposition was not helpful. "A true housing crisis in this country is when there
is a sustained fall in the value of our homes and in house prices and for the
leader of the opposition to use careless language is only aggravating, rather
than helping, the situation," he said.
21 September 2007 - Home sales slump
News.com.au
New home sales across the country were down by 8.6 per cent in August according
to the Housing Industry Association. With the August rate rise starting to bite
the largest fall was 19.1 per cent in Victoria, followed by a drop of 8.5 per
cent in Western Australia, and 7.6 per cent in Victoria. South Australia and
Queensland escaped relatively unscathed with falls of 1.8 per cent and 0.4 per
cent respectively. Chief economist at the HIA, Harley Dale, said that the
outlook for new home sales remains flat because of uncertainty about interest
rates and the stability of global financial markets. Mr Dale said "The fact that
we're going to continue to see talk about the potential for another interest
rate rise is in itself going to mean that you get, at best, flat indicators of
new home building through the rest of the year and possibly a modest
deterioration in those forward indicators."
21 September 2007 - Government wants ATM's away from pokies
Sydney Morning Herald
The federal government has called for ATM's to be removed from all venues where
there are poker machines. Treasurer Peter Costello said that restricting the
availability of ATM's in gambling venues would help to reduce the incidence of
gambling addiction. "The ATM does represent a real temptation for a problem
gambler with a fixed sum of money, gone through it, and now found that it's easy
to go to the ATM to continue their addiction," he said.
21 September 2007 - Credit pressure forcing up interest rates
Financial Review
The global credit crunch is forcing some lenders to increase their interest
rates. The latest rate movements include the Commonwealth Bank which has lifted
its one-year guaranteed home loan by 0.15 percentage points to 7.34 per cent for
new loans. A spokesman for the bank said that fixed rate products were always
under review and the increase reflected movements in the international money
markets. Mariner Financial also lifted the rates on some of its loans by 15
basis points but on one product was able to reduce the rate by 5 basis points.
21 September 2007 - Payday lenders challenged over interest rates
Financial Review
Payday lenders can charge an effective annual rate of over 1000 per cent. Not
all states have caps on the interest rates that can be charged but in NSW there
is a cap of 48 per cent per annum. Even in states where caps exist there are
ways around the laws. One example is Safrock which uses a promissory note
arrangement as bills of exchange and promissory notes fall outside the rate cap
restrictions. Consumer groups have criticised the rates as being excessive, but
the short term lenders say that they need to charge high monthly rates to cover
their costs. Cash Converters general manager, Ian Day, says "We provide nearly
30,000 financial service transactions monthly in Queensland. An interest cap of
48 per cent [means charging] 4 per cent a month, so you could be lending $100
for $4, inclusive of all the due diligence you have to do on an individual."
20 September 2007 - Finding a loan may get tougher
The Australian
Lenders will tighten their policies in the wake of the US sub-prime crisis
according to the chairman of Wizard Home Loans, Mark Bouris, warning that it was
going to get harder for borrowers to get loans at 100 per cent and 85 per cent
of property value. "There have been a lot of bad lending practices in this
country and the US, but on the other side there are also borrowers around who
were happy to take as much money as they possibly could and buy things which
they knew, deep down, they couldn't afford," he said. Mr Bouris said that it was
politically convenient to blame lenders for the sub-prime fallout but that
borrowers had to accept some of the responsibility as well.
20 September 2007 - Non-bank lenders good for competition
The Australian
The deputy governor of the Reserve Bank, Ric Battelino, has come out in support
of non-bank lenders saying that the growth of the sector had been positive for
consumers. Mr Battelino said that a competitive financial sector could reduce
the cost of loans for consumers and businesses. "Take the housing market. The
development of wholesale capital markets provided funding for non-bank lenders
and allowed them to compete with deposit-taking institutions in housing
lending," he said. Mr Battelino said that this had lead interest margins for
home loans dropping from around 400 basis points 15 years ago to 100 basis
points now.
20 September 2007 - Rate cut makes markets jump
The Financial Review
Australia's benchmark S&P/ASX 200 jumped up 2.6 per cent yesterday and the US
Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 2.5 per cent following the US Federal
Reserve's 50 basis point cut in official interest rates. The Fed's action was
aimed at calming fears that the financial market problems would magnify the
weakness in the US sub-prime market and could tip the US economy into recession.
Most economists had predicted that the cut would only be 0.25 percentage points
but inflation data, indicating a slowing economy, prompted a larger cut in an
attempt to stimulate growth.
20 September 2007 - Explosive growth in financial markets
The Financial Review
Financial market activity leapt by 20 per cent in the last year with trades
totalling $120 trillion as more investors use derivatives to gain exposure to
interest rate markets. A report by the Australian Financial Market's Association
found that trades in shares were up by 35 per cent to $1.3 trillion in the
2006-07 financial year. This growth was fuelled by a strong corporate reporting
season and mergers and acquisitions, as well as increased flows resulting from
movements of funds as individuals took advantage of the one-off opportunity to
invest superannuation funds at tax-effective rates. Futures and options trading
on the Sydney Futures Exchange was up 33 per cent to $37 trillion.
20 September 2007 - Pressure on interest rates remains
The Financial Review
While it is unlikely that interest rates will rise again before the end of this
year, some economists have warned that the Reserve Bank of Australia could lift
rates as early as November if strong growth in our economy keeps inflation close
to 3 per cent. Another rate increase would be unwelcome news for the federal
government in the lead up to the election. Treasurer Peter Costello has said
that, while some mortgage originators will have to increase interest rates to
cover the higher cost of credit, there was no justification for the major banks
to lift their mortgage rates unless there is an increase in the official cash
rate.
20 September 2007 - ANZ sees deposit surge
The Financial Review
ANZ has reported strong growth in its deposit volumes and believes that a
"flight to quality" will trigger an increase in its mortgage sales also. Deposit
inflows to the bank are a few hundred million dollars ahead of target over the
last few months according to the head of personal banking, Brian Hartzer. "We
have concluded, but have no evidence to prove, that some of the increase in
deposits is coming from people saying 'I'd rather put my money with one of the
big banks'," he said. At an update to analysts yesterday ANZ said that it was
targeting a 1 per cent increase in its share of the mortgage market and a
minimum 10 per cent annual profit growth by 2010.
20 September 2007 - Borrowers seek safety
The Financial Review
Mortgage brokers have reported a significant increase in inquiries as consumers
become concerned about the global credit crunch and its possible effects on
interest rates. Aussie Home Loans chairman, John Symonds, said that their
brokers were writing a greater proportion of loans for the major banks than
previously. "[About] 85 per cent minimum would end up with the banks anyway, and
that's probably now going to over 90 per cent," he said. Aussies also reports an
increase in the number of people opting for fixed rate loans from around 15 per
cent to between 15 and 20 per cent.
19 September 2007 - US Reserve cuts rates for first time in 4 years
New York Times
The US Federal Reserve has cut its benchmark interest rate by 0.5 percentage
points, surprising markets which had expected a cut of only 0.25 percentage
points. In a statement about the cut the Fed said "Developments in financial
markets since the committee's last regular meeting have increased the
uncertainty surrounding the economic outlook". Further rate cuts may be
necessary in coming months with the Fed saying that it would "continue to
assess" the economic outlook and "act as needed to foster price stability and
sustainable economic growth".
19 September 2007 - Oz markets jump following US rate cut
Sydney Morning Herald
The Australian sharemarket has responded positively to news that the US Federal
Reserve has cut interest rates by half a percent. At 10.20 am today the S&P/ASX
200 was up by 2.4 per cent at 6338.2 points. The news has also helped to push
the Australian dollar higher, jumping to 85.3 cents. Local bank stocks which
have been hit with heavy falls over the past few days are busy making up the
lost ground with NAB up $1.11 to 38.36, Commonwealth up 85 cents to $55.85, ANZ
82 cents higher at $28.62 and Westpac up by 48 cents to $27.28.
19 September 2007 - Reserve governor warns more trouble ahead
Sydney Morning Herald
The governor of the Reserve Bank, Glenn Stevens, has warned that there may be
further tightening in Australian financial conditions as investors around the
globe continue to reassess their appetite for risk. "Risk pricing in general is
going to look more like historical norms in the future than it has been in the
past few years. From the point of view of the economic expansion that's actually
a good thing," he said. Mr Stevens identified lessons to be learned from the
sub-prime crisis including the need to ensure that investors understand the
nature of investment products and how market supervisors should respond to a
sudden shortage of liquidity in markets.
19 September 2007 - Credit cards hide mortgage stress
The Australian
The number of households defaulting on mortgage repayments or at significant
risk of default is predicted to grow from 70,000 now to 113,000 by the end of
the financial year according to a report by JPMorgan and consultancy firm
Fujitsu. The report also forecasts that the number of households which need to
curb their spending to meet mortgage repayments will explode from 170,000 to
487,000 over the same period. Fujitsu's managing consulting director, Martin
North, said "Severe stress has spread from the traditional battlers to middle
Australia. In addition, a wide range of households are now under mild stress,
requiring them to max out their credit cards to keep afloat." JPMorgan banking
analyst, Brian Johnson, warned that credit card debt is masking the level of
mortgage stress. "Average credit card outstandings have grown from the
equivalent of one month's disposable income in 1997 to the equivalent of three
month's income in 2007," he said.
19 September 2007 - Banks may use credit crunch to fight for market share
The Financial Review
The Commonwealth Bank and Westpac are likely to take advantage of the tightening
credit market to claw back market share lost over the past decade to rivals ANZ
and NAB. A report by JPMorgan and Fujitsu Consulting says that CBA's large
deposit base and Westpac's lower level of discounting and smaller proportion of
lower-margin fixed rate mortgage sales mean that they are more insulated from
current credit conditions. JPMorgan banking analyst, Brian Johnson, said "I
think CBA and Westpac will be very aggressive in not repricing, so to the extent
that NAB and ANZ do reprice, even more market share will go to those two banks".
19 September 2007 - Young are cool on property
The Financial Review
A survey has found that people under the age of 35 are less willing to invest in
property than their elders. Galaxy Research surveyed 1,051 people and found that
while most residents in eastern states believed that now was a good time to buy,
young people cited high interest rates and property being tool expensive as
reasons not to buy property. Around half of all respondents under 35 thought it
was a good time to invest, compared with 57 per cent of 35 to 49 year-olds, and
55 per cent of those over 50.
19 September 2007 - Magnetic strips out of fashion in Europe
The Australian
Australians travelling in Britain and parts of Europe may find that they have
difficulty using their credit card. Britain has moved to a system where cards
contain a chip and a PIN is used to authorise payments so Australian cards that
have only a magnetic strip may not be accepted. One traveller has reported that
a gold credit card from NAB was refused by a grocery store, two petrol stations
and a restaurant chain. ANZ was the first Australian bank to introduce chips and
has already issued 1.7 million chipped cards and the Commonwealth Bank is
issuing all replacement cards with chips.
19 September 2007 - Adelaide Bank rumours unfounded
Sydney Morning Herald
Adelaide Bank shares fell 7 per cent yesterday to $13.71 as investors reacted to
unsubstantiated rumours that it had turned to the Reserve Bank for funding after
experiencing trouble with loans raised on US debt markets. Denials from both the
Reserve and Adelaide Banks were not sufficient to stop a sell-off which saw 2.6
million shares change hands. The deputy governor of the Reserve, Rick Battellino,
said "The bank is able to confirm that the rumour is false. There's no request
for funding been submitted by any bank". Shares in other banks were also down
yesterday, including Bendigo Bank, the potential suitor for Adelaide, losing 77
cents to close at $13.34.
18 September 2007 - Bendigo not disturbed by Adelaide's woes
The Financial Review
Bendigo Bank remains comfortable about its proposed merger with Adelaide Bank
despite the pressure of the credit crunch on Adelaide's business model.
Bendigo's chief executive Rob Hunt said, "It's very important that when you're
doing mergers like this that single events - albeit it's a large event in the
overall credit market - don't have you dodging at shadows". Adelaide Bank funds
only 57 per cent of its lending from deposits, while Bendigo can almost entirely
fund its lending from its deposit base. Shares in Adelaide Bank were down
yesterday by 6.1 per cent to close at $14.74.
18 September 2007 - Banks prefer to avoid bond markets
The Financial Review
The Commonwealth Bank and NAB are avoiding raising funds on the bond market for
now, preferring instead more traditional funding such as private placements to
investors. According to a NAB spokesman the bank has raised around $1.6 billion
since mid-July through private placements. CBA said that it has sufficient
capital to see it through for some time but would look at private placements and
other fund-raising strategies if necessary. Last week GE, Westpac and ANZ raised
a combined $1.65 billion on bond markets, but at premiums over government bonds
that are significantly higher than only six months ago.
18 September 2007 - Tougher regulations to fight predatory lending
The Australian
A parliamentary inquiry has recommended that regulation of the mortgage industry
should be controlled at the federal level rather than relying on the existing
state regulations which have failed to keep up with the industry. The inquiry
said that while most of the mortgage industry maintained high standards there
was a minority that did not. "A small sector... preys on vulnerable people
through the practice of predatory lending," the committee report said. Predatory
lending is when a borrower is charged excessive fees and commissions to
establish a loan, the lender then forecloses on the loan at the first sign of
trouble and the loan must be refinanced or the house sold.
18 September 2007 - Dangers of side-stepping consumer protections
The Financial Review
The Uniform Consumer Credit Code has been criticised for failing to keep up with
the evolving mortgage industry since its introduction in 1994. The code is
difficult to amend as it is state based so all state must agree to changes.
Also, the code does not cover small-business borrowers or individual investors
which make up an increasing proportion of low documentation loans from mortgage
brokers and non-bank lenders. The Consumer Credit Legal Centre said "As a result
of these exclusions, some fringe lenders side-step the requirements of the UCCC
by requiring borrowers to complete a 'business purpose declaration', even when a
loan is for a private purpose". Non-bank lender Liberty said that it was in its
own best interests to meet the obligations of the UCCC and ensure its customers
had the ability to pay, "otherwise we wear the consequences".
18 September 2007 - Hackers target home computers
The Financial Review
Hackers are ignoring corporate computer networks in favour of home computers
according to a report into internet security by Symantec. Managing director
David Sykes said, "End users are the easiest way in to compromise privacy. They
exploit vulnerabilities in web browsers and in PC applications - 95 per cent of
specific, targeted attacks are aimed at the home user." Credit card details
account for 22 per cent of all advertisements on underground economy servers and
bank accounts were a close second on 21 per cent. Spam increased by 2 per cent
in the last year and now makes up 61 per cent of all monitored email traffic.
18 September 2007 - Rismark wins patent for shared equity
The Financial Review
Patents have been taken out on the shared equity loan product invented by
residential property funds group Rismark. Under these loans the lender takes an
exposure to movements in house prices and it is believed that the major banks
are watching the sector closely with a view to creating their own shared equity
products. The patents will make it harder for competitors to enter the market.
Rismark's lawyer, Stephen Stern, said "Any potential infringer of Rismark's
intellectual property faces the prospect of a long, drawn-out court case".
17 September 2007 - Roses Only hit by data thieves
The Financial Review
Online florist Roses Only has advised consumers that its payments system may
have been compromised earlier this year with credit card numbers believed to be
amongst the data that was stolen. The chief executive of the Australian Bankers
Association, David Bell, has said that any customers who have had money stolen
would get it back. The NSW Police Force has set up a special unit to investigate
the attack while Roses Only have changed their online payments system so that it
no longer stores any credit card data.
17 September 2007 - Westpac shifts jobs to India
The Financial Review
Westpac is moving 25 back-office data processing jobs from its operations centre
at Concord in NSW to a third party in India. A previous plan to shift 475 loan
processing jobs offshore last year was abandoned after the NSW government
threatened to withdraw its business. The Finance Sector Union's Geoff Derrick
said "The jobs that are going handle very sensitive customer details, including
credit card details, as well as undertaking the very important service of
providing special approvals on large or urgent cheques". Westpac spokesman David
Lording said that customer data would be kept on servers in Australia and that
they would ensure the protection of data. "We have stringent privacy
requirements for any offshore provider," he said.
17 September 2007 - Banks use technology to drive up card usage
The Financial Review
Banks and credit card companies are relying on new products including
chip-enabled cards to drive growth in the credit and debit card market. There
are already 13.5 million credit and charge cards on issue in Australia, plus
26.5 million debit cards (including around 5 million scheme debit cards that
provide the same functionality as a credit card). The total value of purchases
and cash advances in 2006-07 was up by 8.8 per cent to $181.5 billion, made up
of $98.3 billion spent on credit and charge cards and $83.2 billion on debit
cards. Over the last three years growth has been significantly lower than in the
late 1990's and early 2000's when annual growth was running at around 30 per
cent.
17 September 2007 - Loan default rates climb
The Financial Review
Credit check company Veda Advantage said that the number of bills not paid for
60 days was up by 28.6 per cent in the 2006-07 financial year. Tasmania reported
the biggest increase in defaults of 59 per cent, while Northern Territory was up
49 per cent, Western Australia by 44 per cent, Queensland by 41 per cent, NSW by
40 per cent, ACT and South Australia by 35 per cent while the best performing
state was Victoria where defaults only rose by 10 per cent.
17 September 2007 - Austcorp debentures downgraded
The Financial Review
Austcorp Property Group has had its debentures downgraded from "investment
grade" to "not approved" by research firm Lonsec. The company issued a report on
Austcorp's "Series II Debentures" which said the reasons for the downgrade were:
the narrowing premium between the interest rates offered to investors and the
official cash rate; the exposure to larger and early-stage development projects;
and the relatively low interest rates offered "for bearing the level of risk".
Austcorp has around $44 million in debentures on issue and Lonsec recommends
that investors exit their investment at maturity.
17 September 2007 - No public input for bank fees investigation
The Financial Review
The senate committee investigating Family First's proposed bank fee legislation
will report today without having held any public hearings. Senator Steve
Fielding is disappointed by the lack of public consultation and said that the
government is overlooking serious issues because of its leadership problems. The
legislation would mean that banks can only charge for cost recovery.
17 September 2007 - IMF concerned about household debt
The Australian
The International Monetary Fund has highlighted the housing sector as a weak
point in the Australian economy. In a report last week the IMF noted that
mortgages were equivalent to 160 per cent of household income and interest costs
were at 12 per cent. The fund said "There are a number of potential risks,
including heavy exposure of banks to highly indebted households, which warrant
close monitoring of household finances". The Reserve Bank of Australia has a
different point of view saying that the greatest level of debt is held by those
best able to bear it and that the financial assets are more then three times
larger than household debt.
14 September 2007 - Breathing space for home loan borrowers
InfoChoice.com.au
Home loan borrowers may be getting some respite from higher interest rates from
an unusual quarter, amid buoyant economic conditions that might normally warrant
further rates hikes.
The Reserve Bank (RBA) is likely to be more inclined to hold fire on further
interest rate rises currently, given the tighter conditions prevailing in
lending markets following the collapse in the US sub-prime lending market. Apart
from the general uncertainty and potential dent in economic confidence, it has
also caused banks to be very wary about lending to each other and they've raised
wholesale interest rates to compensate.
This has to flow on to retail and commercial lending in some way and is already
pushing up business loan rates, especially for shorter term financing, where
interest rates are on the rise independent of any RBA moves in the official cash
rate. For the business sector, there has already been the equivalent of an extra
rate rise following the August official rise across the board by the RBA.
This may be in fact just the way RBA would prefer it at the moment - higher
interest rates for business but not for home borrowers. Afterall, it's
businesses driving our stellar rate of economic growth at the moment, not the
housing market which has remained sluggish this year in the face of
debt-burdened households and low housing affordability.
Monetary policy, the adjustment of official interest rates, is a very blunt
instrument of economic management - one adjustment of rates impacts on virtually
the entire economy. But in the current situation, the RBA is enjoying the luxury
of seeing interest rates moving higher in that part of the economy that it wants
to rein in, leaving more vulnerable parts alone (except probably the poor old
farmers).
There is talk of lenders eventually having to raise home loan interest rates
too, but this is less than certain. There is no more competitive lending market
than that for home loans and, while some increases have already been seen, banks
and smaller lenders alike will generally be trying and see through the credit
crunch before hiking rates. There are no guarantees, however, and the longer the
tight credit market conditions continue the harder it will be for lenders to
contain home rates.
14 September 2007 - ANZ offers fee refund for online failure
News.com.au
The ANZ Bank has apologised for a software glitch that caused its online banking
service to be unavailable between 7am and 5.50pm on Wednesday. Customers were
unable to pay bills and make other payments after a piece of software that
tracks payment activity malfunctioned. ANZ spokesperson Mairi Barton said "We
will be refunding fees if anyone has incurred a fee as a result of the internet
banking issue (and the inability to make payments)". Anyone seeking a fee refund
should contact the bank by telephone or at their local branch.
14 September 2007 - Predatory lender watch list
The Daily Telegraph
Wizard Home Loans chief, Mark Bouris, has called for the creation of a 'red
list' that would inform borrowers which banks and non-bank lenders have been
identified as using dodgy lending practices. A Fujitsu Consulting report
commissioned by Wizard found that around 0.56 per cent of all households were
victims of predatory lending. The study covered 26,000 consumers and identified
those where brokers and lenders had talked borrowers into accepting unfair or
inappropriate loan conditions. The managing director of Fujitsu Consulting,
Martin North, said "The research shows that the 70,000 households who are under
the most mortgage stress in Australia were more likely to be subjected to
predation."
14 September 2007 - Westpac chases business banking share
The Australian
Westpac plans to expand its business banking division, increasing its staff by
one third and opening 11 new business centres. The bank's group executive for
business banking, Peter Hanlon said that his aim is for the division to surpass
the 17 per cent market share of the Commonwealth Bank and claw back some of
NAB's 22 per cent market leadership. Westpac has been lagging the business
banking market but their share of 13.5 per cent in 2005 has increased to over 15
per cent now. Competitors have accused Westpac of reducing margins to buy market
share but Mr Hanlon said that the bank's annual result in November would prove
them wrong.
14 September 2007 - New home starts fall
The Australian
The number of new homes being built nationally fell by 4 per cent to 36,512 in
the June quarter according to the Australian Bureau of Statistics. NSW recorded
its lowest number of homes being built for 23 years of only 6,514 seasonally
adjusted, down 20 per cent for the quarter. Nationwide housing stats were down
3.4 per cent for the year to June, with a drop of 6.6 per cent in Western
Australia but an increase of 14.6 in South Australia.
14 September 2007 - Mortgage funder increases rates
The Financial Review
ANZ Bank's subsidiary Origin Mortgage Management Services which offers wholesale
funding for residential loans has increased its interest rates. Origin supplies
$7 billion in 40,000 loans to around 25 mortgage managers who may be forced to
lift their rates by 0.10 to 0.15 percentage points. The increased rates will
vary between lenders and will only apply to new business. The move is a result
of the global credit crunch which has forced bank bill rates to their highest
point in 10 years.
14 September 2007 - ACR investors agree to liquidate
The Financial Review
Creditors of collapsed property investment group ACR look set to have 60 cents
in the dollar returned. At a meeting yesterday they voted to put parent company
Estate Property Group and 24 affiliated companies into liquidation. Becton
property group will pay $533 million to purchase 18 properties from ACR and will
retain 20 employees from across Estate Property Group. If the transaction
proceeds as proposed on September 21 the 7,000 investors in ACR's unsecured
deposit notes should recover around 60 cents in the dollar.
14 September 2007 - ATO eyes small business
The Financial Review
The Australian Tax Office is targeting small businesses with two new compliance
programs. With three new businesses starting up every hour the ATO will spend
$40 million over the next four years making 30,000 calls and visits to help
small businesses with compliance. Debt collection will also increase including
an investment of $42 million in external debt collection agencies over the next
four years. Tax Commissioner Michael D'Ascenzo said "Small businesses with a
turnover of less than $2 million account for about two-thirds of outstanding
collectable debt".
13 September 2007 - Higher credit costs being passed to consumers
The Financial Review
Interest rates are starting to creep up as short-term bank bill rates hit their
highest point in the last 10 years. Adelaide bank has stopped discounts on
mortgages sold under other brands after announcing a 0.30 percentage point
increase in its low doc rates less than two weeks ago. Other lenders who have
raised rates by more than the 0.25 percentage point RBA increase include
Macquarie Bank, Bluestone and AMP Banking. The ANZ Bank has lifted the rate on
its margin loans by 0.05 percentage points to cover the higher cost of funding.
13 September 2007 - St George and Suncorp clear of sub-prime problems
The Financial Review
St George Bank and Suncorp have both moved to reassure investors that they have
no exposure to the problems in the US sub-prime credit market. At an investment
conference in New York St George Bank's chief financial officer, Michael
Cameron, said that the bank would not need to bring any funding vehicle assets
onto their balance sheet as the market has been very willing to refinance the
conduit on a daily basis. Mr Cameron also said that the bank has $20 billion
locked in for an average of four years so has no need to launch a securitisation
program. Suncorp's chief executive, John Mulcahy, said that they have no
exposure to the US sub-prime market and only a very small percentage of low doc
home loans in Australia.
13 September 2007 - No demutualisation for IMB
The Financial Review
The chairman of building society IMB has issued a statement saying that it is
not aware of any information that would explain recent levels of share trading.
Chairman Russell Fredericks said "The board is concerned that IMB shareholders
and/or members of the public considering buying IMB shares have mistakenly
formed the view, or have been influenced by speculation in the media, that IMB
may be about to commence a process of demutualisation". IMB shares had a
weighted price average of $3.25 last week but traded as high as $3.99 on Monday.
13 September 2007 - Consumer sentiment charging ahead
The Financial Review
Consumer sentiment is rising despite higher interest rates and sharemarket
uncertainty. In a result which may cause the Reserve Bank to raise rates again,
the Westpac-Melbourne Institute index of consumer sentiment is up 4.2 per cent
this month, 14.3 per cent higher than a year earlier. The index of confidence in
economic conditions over the next 12 months was up 7.3 per cent for the month
and 27.1 per cent higher than a year ago, while expectations for the next five
years were up 6 per cent for the month and 27.5 per cent higher for the year.
Interestingly, confidence amongst Labor voters was up 9 per cent while the
increase for coalition voters was only 1.9 per cent.
13 September 2007 - Brisbane: a property boom just waiting to happen
Courier Mail
House prices in Brisbane could rise by up to 40 per cent over the next three
years according to Frank Gelber, chief economic forecaster at BIS Shrapnel. Dr
Gelber is also predicting two or even three interest rate rises over the next
year, but says that this would only delay a housing boom and that demand is only
being suppressed currently due to a continuing shortfall in the construction of
new dwellings. "Governments are charging $15,000 to $170,000 per residential lot
on the extremities of the city (so) it's going to cost (developers) $300,000 to
turn the lot," said Dr Gelber. "It's going to take something like a 30 to 40 per
cent rise in housing prices across the board in order to encourage enough of
that land to be brought on to satisfy the 'greedy' developers and landowners."
13 September 2007 - Land releases to ease affordability
The Australian
The federal treasurer, Peter Costello, has said that large parcels of
commonwealth-owned land will be released for residential development in a bid to
counter Labor's campaign on housing affordability. Mr Costello has stressed that
land availability is the key to improving affordability and rejected the concept
of using tax reforms to promote investment in low cost housing. "If you get
further investment into the housing market, you could actually push housing
prices up," he said. According to Mr Costello the government has completed an
audit of commonwealth-owned defence and CSIRO land which has identified
substantial blocks around cities that he hopes can be on the market soon.
12 September 2007 - Positive about credit reporting
The Financial Review
The Australian Law Reform Commission has put forward a range of proposals to
amend our privacy laws including positive credit reporting. The ALRC president,
David Weisbrot said "If credit reporting agencies are able to gather a wider
range of information, this may encourage improved lending practices and make it
easier for some people on low incomes to obtain finance". The proposed changes
would allow agencies to collect information about credit accounts such as the
type of account, the dates accounts were opened and closed, as well as their
credit limits. The Australian Bankers Association said that it had not yet had
time to discuss the proposal with its members but that there were mixed views on
the desirability of the system.
12 September 2007 - Banks aim for customer advocacy
The Financial Review
Financial institutions around the world are starting to change their focus from
customer satisfaction to customer advocacy. The idea is that a customer is not
just happy with the service they receive, but is so fulfilled that they actually
become an advocate for the bank. Canadian banks have proven to be excellent at
driving loyalty through retention and cross-sell strategies with one finding
that a customer who is a net promoter would increase a bank's business by more
than 20 times compared with someone who was not. ANZ's Steve Sargent says "If we
have a [customer] detractor, within 24 hours, a staff member will call and ask
why they gave us a low rating - and we may refund a fee. If they are in our
commercial business we go out and visit them. That in itself blows the customer
away - and gets you to the root cause analysis of a problem."
12 September 2007 - E*Trade focus on technology improvements
The Financial Review
Online broker E*Trade, recently purchased by ANZ Bank, is making significant
investments in its technology platform and plans to leverage off the larger
supporting technology environment offered by the bank. Initially E*Trade will
make use of the underlying infrastructure of the bank rather than any immediate
move to integrate the disparate technology of the two organisations. In the
short term E*Trade will continue to focus on developing its online trading
platform having recently released its second generation options trading system.
12 September 2007 - Tight market driving up rents
The Financial Review
The vacancy rate in Sydney's rental market has remained at less than 2 per cent
for the twelfth month in a row. Vacancies were up slightly to 1.5 per cent in
August, from 1.3 per cent in June according to the Real Estate Institute of NSW.
Figures from the institute show that over the past year Sydney the median rent
for a three bedroom house has risen by 5.7 per cent in the year to June. Rents
for two bedroom apartments were up by 10 per cent for the year and 3.1 per cent
for the quarter.
12 September 2007 - ACCC gives green light for Bendigo/Adelaide merger
Sydney Morning Herald
The proposed merger between Bendigo Bank and Adelaide Bank has been given
approval by the Australian Consumer and Competition Commission. The ACCC said
that its main area of concern was any possible reduction in competition
resulting from the merger but as there was very little overlap between the two
companies' operations this was no problem. Due diligence has been completed in
the last few days so now the only hurdle left is a vote by Adelaide's 28,500
shareholders which will take place in November.
12 September 2007 - First victim of credit crunch in UK
Sydney Morning Herald
The credit crisis has claimed its first scalp in Britain with subprime
specialist Victoria Mortgages going into administration. The lender is one of
the smaller players in the UK market and was dependent on wholesale markets for
funding but the lack of liquidity there has pushed up the cost of borrowing for
lenders. Subprime mortgages in Britain account for only 8 per cent of the market
compared with 20 per cent in the US.
11 September 2007 - Overnight rates threaten mortgages
Sydney Morning Herald
The rate at which banks lend to each other reached a 10 year high of 7.07 per
cent yesterday, threatening to increase the cost of loans to consumers. An
economist from Macquarie Bank, Brett Redican, said that if rates stayed this
high it would only be a matter of weeks before banks decided to raise mortgage
rates to compensate for the higher cost of funds. The Reserve Bank continues to
pump additional funds into the system in an attempt to ease the pressure on
overnight rates but nervousness about liquidity seems to be causing institutions
to either hoard cash or lend it at high rates.
11 September 2007 - Westpac looks on the bright side of credit crunch
Sydney Morning Herald
The chief of Westpac, David Morgan, warned yesterday that the future of
Australian interest rates depends on how long the US subprime housing loan
crisis continues and whether it tips the North American economy into recession.
Dr Morgan said that local banks like Westpac were well placed to take advantage
of the difficulties being experienced by some non-bank lenders as borrowers have
"no appetite" for some of the more exotic loan products previously offered.
Westpac assured the market that it has minimal exposure to the global credit
problems even though it does have funding commitments to one American lender
with around $120 million of subprime loans on its books.
11 September 2007 - One in five home loans with non-bank lenders
Sydney Morning Herald
Non-bank lenders currently account for one in five new home loans, twice as many
as in the 1990's, but down slightly from the housing boom peak. A total of
63,599 new loans were written in July, down 4.1 per cent from the previous
month, and this may fall further as the effects of the August rate rise are
felt. Less than 15 per cent of the new borrowers opted for a fixed rate meaning
that around 55,000 were hit with a rate increase in the first or second month of
their loan.
11 September 2007 - Housing slump not over yet
The Financial Review
The housing slump that started in 2002 continues with loans to owner occupiers
dropping by 3.3 per cent in July and loans to investors down 6.8 per cent. The
overall value of home loans was down by 7.4 per cent in July, wiping out most of
the 9.6 per cent rise in June. An analyst at ANZ, Paul Braddick, said that
housing finance had surged in the last month of the 2006-07 financial year with
investors rushing to take advantage of changes to superannuation rules, and that
this was always likely to be followed by a slowdown.
11 September 2007 - Banks lead sharemarket lower
The Financial Review
The local sharemarket was down yesterday, the S&P/ASX 200 losing 87.2 points to
close at 6191.2 and the All Ordinaries down 86.9 points, closing at 6209.6.
Banks were among the hardest hit as concerns continue over the US subprime
crisis and the possibility of a broader downturn in the US economy. National
Australia Bank was down 93 cents to $38.07, Commonwealth Bank was 27 cents lower
at $54.40 while Westpac only lost 10 cents to close at $26.55.
10 September 2007 - Home repossessions climbing
Sydney Morning Herald
The number of properties being repossessed by lenders in NSW is escalating with
2,300 writs issued in the first six months of this year, almost as many as in
the whole of 2005. Sydney's west is being hardest hit with 41 repossessions in
Blacktown, 32 in Guildford and 30 in Merrylands. Another indicator of the number
of families who are unable to service their mortgage is a record 1,400 auctions
in the west and south-west of Sydney in the year to 31 March, double the number
in the whole of 2005. This is expected to increase as the effects of the rate
rise in August start to bite.
10 September 2007 - More market troubles as US jobs fall
Sydney Morning Herald
There are fears that there will be another sharemarket sell-off today as the
possibility of the US sliding into recession grows. Following news of 4,000 job
losses in August, Wall Street was down on Friday with the Dow Jones index losing
1.9 per cent. Economists believe that the US Federal Reserve will cut the cash
rate by 0.25 points when it next meets on 18 September, but also that the state
of the US economy could be poor enough to justify a 0.50 point reduction. The
nervousness in the markets has not been helped by former Fed chairman Alan
Greenspan telling a US conference that the current conditions were "identical"
to the lead-up to the 1987 crash.
10 September 2007 - Paperless signature system
The Financial Review
AMP has adopted an e-signature system that will allow their 1800 financial
planners to move to a completely paperless system when dealing with clients.
Each planner will have an electronic signature pad which will allow users to
sign on a scanner with linked pen and then have that signature linked to the
specified portion of a document they needed to sign. Once signed, documents can
be electronically transmitted to AMP's head office, saving postage time and
back-office work. To help prevent forgeries the system not only verifies the
shape of a signature, but also the speed with which it was written.
10 September 2007 - CFD market launch delayed
The Financial Review
Financial market volatility has caused the ASX to delay the launch of its
contracts for difference (CFD) market. The ASX said that the launch is now
scheduled for November, one month later than originally planned, due to a
variety of factors including the problems of a new product trying to compete
with extreme market uncertainty. Of the 3,500 participants who attended
nationwide introductory seminars on CFD's 60 per cent said that they were new to
the product. A trading simulator for CFD's will be made available later this
month to help traders learn about the new products.
10 September 2007 - Westpac accused of pushing debit cards
The Financial Review
Westpac has been accused of aggressively steering customers toward its
Mastercard debit card to try to boost profits. The charge comes from members of
the Australian Merchant Payments Forum which is concerned that debit cards,
which earn card issuers higher interchange fees, may end up replacing cheaper
Eftpos cards. A Westpac spokesperson said that they were not aware of any
force-issuing of debit cards and that Eftpos cards were still available. However
the bank made its debit cards standard issue in May when it introduced new
savings and transaction accounts. Card issuers pay merchants an interchange fee
of around 4 cents per transaction.
10 September 2007 - Values up for northern rural properties
The Financial Review
Values of rural properties across northern Australia are climbing as cashed-up
cattle barons seek to expand. Property advisers Herron Todd White (HTW) have
estimated that prices for cattle properties have grown at 25 per cent each year
since 1999. HTW said that there was a new wave of confidence in the northern
pastoral industry due to the current abundance of feed. Demand is being driven
by local, financially strong families who have made money out of the beef
industry and who can average out the purchase costs over their other holdings. A
property manager from Elders Real Estate in North Queensland said that it was
probably the greatest undersupply of property for sale he had seen in 18 years.
6 September 2007 - Rates steady despite strong economy
InfoChoice.com.au
The Reserve Bank (RBA) left interest rates on hold this week and can be expected
to hold off again next month at least, despite the flow of economic data showing
an economy going gangbusters.
Employment and overall economic growth figures underscore a very strong economy
in 2007. Another 30,000 new jobs were created in August, 20,000 full-time, with
unemployment remaining at a low 4.3 per cent. Meanwhile, June quarter GDP came
in at 0.9 per cent. This puts the annual rate of economic growth to the end of
June at a strong 4.3 per cent. But remember, this rate averages out a
surprisingly weak rate of growth at the end of last year with surprisingly
strong growth this year. Looking at GDP this year so far gives an annualised
rate of 5.4 per cent.
When you add other indicators such as healthy retail sales and business
investment readings out last week, you'd be forgiven for thinking another
interest rate rise is not far away. But it's not quite the case, for a few
reasons.
One, the latest batch of strong figures largely pre-date the August rate rise
and the RBA is unlikely to act on rates until it sees some early signs of what
impact that first strike is having. Second, no matter how strong the economic
data is, the RBA is only worried if high growth triggers rising inflation. It
will likely want to see the inflation result for the current quarter, out in
late October, before seriously considering any further moves on rates.
Finally, the turmoil on world financial markets over the past month or so has
introduced new risks to the world economy and Australia. The RBA will be a
little more cautious on rates while the risk of a possible spillover to economic
activity around the world remains. If that doesn't happen, and the inflation
threat hangs around, it is quite possible we will see another 0.25 percentage
point interest rate rise. But this would be late this year at the earliest, and
more likely in early 2008.
6 September 2007 - Money markets keep pressure on interest rates
The Australian
The pressure on lenders to increase rates continues to build with interbank
finance rates running at around 7 per cent, an increase of 0.2 points in the
last week. If rates remain at this level lenders will have no choice but to pass
on the increased cost of funding which would mean that the total rate increase
for the last month would be 60 or 70 basis points, despite the Reserve Bank
deciding to not increase the official cash rate yesterday. To avoid increasing
mortgage rates banks are likely to remove discounts for new customers and not
lend to people considered a high risk.
6 September 2007 - New car sales record
The Australian
Sales of new cars continue to surge despite the increase in interest rates last
month. The number of new vehicles sold in August reached a new record of 88,206,
8 per cent higher than in the same month last year. Total sales so far this year
have hit 700,000, up 9 per cent on last year, meaning that the market is on
track to top the million mark this calendar year for the first time. Compact and
luxury SUV's are leading the way with sales increases of 33 per cent and 23 per
cent respectively.
6 September 2007 - Australia attractive to international investment
The Financial Review
The Economist Magazine has ranked Australia as the ninth best place to do
business out of the world's 82 largest economies. Since the 2002 - 2006 survey,
Australia has moved up three places in the rankings which take into account
performance in 10 categories including political and economic conditions,
competition and investment policy. The ranking now puts us on par with Sweden
and the United Kingdom, and ahead of Germany and Ireland. The study forecasts
that, over the next four years, an average of $46 billion per year in foreign
investment will be directed toward Australia.
6 September 2007 - IMB chief parts company
The Financial Review
The chief executive of building society IMB, Wayne Morris, will depart at the
end of this year when his current contract expires. Mr Morris is understood to
be one of the strongest opponents of the organisation listing on the stock
exchange, a move favoured by Perpetual Investments which holds a 4.9 per cent
stake in IMB. Perpetual says that public listing would allow the company to
access better funding, grow the business, improve service delivery and pay
higher dividends to shareholders. IMB chairman Russell Fredericks indicated in a
letter to members last week that it may be becoming more amenable to sharemarket
listing saying, "The board has for some time been discussing and investigating
specific concerns raised by a number of members, which from time to time come
into conflict. A number of those areas are under a more detailed review and
directors will communicate policies and views to members as appropriate".
6 September 2007 - Big banks more likely to eat each other
The Financial Review
Outgoing chief executive at the ANZ Bank says that a merger between the big
four, or a tie-up with an international bank, is more likely than a takeover of
St George. While such a move would require dismantling of the four pillars
policy, or regulatory approval for foreign investment, Mr McFarlane still
believes that these are the more likely options, as any major bank acquisition
of a regional bank would be earnings dilutive. Mr McFarlane says that a big bank
merger would take the same amount of time as a smaller bank merger but would be
7 or 8 per cent accretive, therefore a much more attractive option.
6 September 2007 - New Westpac site hiccups
Courier Mail
Westpac has launched a new website, but customers were not impressed that it has
been out of action for the past two days. Westpac has offered no explanation for
the outages, preferring instead to focus on the new look of the site. A message
on the site says that while customers should be on the lookout for internet
scams such as fake sites claiming to be Westpac, the new refreshed site is the
real thing. While the main site was down, visitors were presented with a
temporary page that had links to internet banking and broking facilities.
5 September 2007 - NAB braces for staff poaching
The Financial Review
BankWest has said that its recruitment program for its east coast expansion
plans is going well, with over half the people needed for the first tranches of
branches coming from the financial services sector. The head of change
management at BankWest, Andy Weir, said "We are offering competitive reward
packages for anybody that comes on board, but I wouldn't say we are paying over
the odds". NAB's head of retail banking, Andrew Thorburn, said that they believe
that it's only a matter of time before their staff are targeted by BankWest,
that competition in the eastern states means that a poaching war is likely, but
that the bank has a new remuneration scheme for its most successful branch
managers. "We haven't lost and[managers], recently, but I'm sure if BankWest are
going to hit the ground fast they are going to get people and they will get them
from existing banks," said Mr Thorburn.
5 September 2007 - Savings and Loan expansion plans
The Financial Review
South Australia's Savings and Loan credit union has announced that it plans to
open three branches in Melbourne, taking the total number to 30. The credit
union posted an increase in annual profit of 8.2 per cent, to $16.1 million.
Assets under management grew by 20 per cent in the year to $2.6 billion, with
residential lending up by 15.7 per cent.
5 September 2007 - Lower fees and new account options at NAB
InfoChoice.com.au
NAB has responded to consumer concerns by announcing reductions to their
exception fees as well as a new range of deposit accounts that can be free of
monthly service fees. From early next year exception fees, which include
dishonour and over limit fees, will no longer apply to holders of a NAB
Concession Card Account and will be reduced for other account holders. In
October the bank will launch four new accounts, eBanking, Classic, Gold and
Clear Banking. The accounts don't charge for electronic and branch transactions
(except eBanking which is online focused and charges $3 for a branch
transaction), and the monthly service fees can be avoided by depositing between
$2,500 and $5,000 per month, depending on the account. Many consumers would be
able to enjoy banking completely free of fees by having their salary paid into
the account and sticking to the free options for transactions.
5 September 2007 - Aussies pay more for banking than Brits
Sydney Morning Herald
Research by research group Oxera has found that the typical median-income
Australian family pays $222 each year for a transaction account, while an
equivalent family in Britain only pays $48. The news is better on the credit
card front though: our average interest free period of 35 days ranked in the
middle of the 11 countries surveyed and our rates are not particularly high
after taking into account differences in the cash rate. Penalty fees for late
payment, overdrawing accounts or exceeding card limits can be up to $150 in
Britain but are usually less than $40 here. Australian consumers are also
offered a wider choice of account types which means that fees can be minimised
by taking a basic bank product or higher fees can be paid for a product with
more features.
5 September 2007 - Coalition stalks predatory lenders
The Australian
A new coalition of mortgage providers and consumer groups has been formed to
push for uniform legislation and the closure of legal loopholes that may be used
by fringe lenders to exploit those desperate for finance. The coalition believes
that there are a small number of lenders who sign up homeowners to mortgages
that they have no hope of servicing, with the expectation that when they default
on the loan they could repossess the property and take the owner's equity. The
Mortgage & Finance Association of Australia's Phil Naylor said, "Predatory
lending relies on that equity and victims end up losing their family home and
their equity". The most serious loophole allows the lender to pressure the
borrower to declare that the loan is for business purposes which leaves them
outside the consumer credit code.
5 September 2007 - Business investment pushes GDP up
The Financial Review
The economy grew by 4.3 per cent in the year to June, and was up by 0.9 per cent
in the quarter, placing further pressure on interest rates. Contributing to the
result was an increase in business investment of 4.9 per cent in the quarter and
13.1 per cent annually, with the ratio of business investment to GDP at its
highest ever, about 28 per cent. The drought continues to take its toll on
economic growth with output in the rural sector falling by 11 per cent in the
June quarter, and down 26 per cent on a year ago. Financial markets now put the
chance of another rate rise in the next six months at 70 per cent.
5 September 2007 - Consumers have money to burn
The Financial Review
Consumer spending was up by only 0.6 per cent in the June quarter, but this
followed growth of more than 1 per cent in the December and March quarters,
contributing to an annual increase of 3.9 per cent. Nominal disposable income
for the year to June rose by 7.5 per cent, in line with an increase of 5 per
cent in average wages and a 2 per cent employment increase. Consumer spending
makes up around 60 per cent of the Australian economy which, if it grows too
fast, can easily place more pressure on the Reserve Bank to lift interest rates.
4 September 2007 - House prices still climbing
InfoChoice.com.au
The latest information from RP Data-Rismark shows that the Australian property
market continues to power ahead with 6.6 per cent growth in prices during the
first six months of 2007. The median cost of a house is now $459,402, up 8.2 per
cent on June last year. Houses in Sydney are most expensive with a median price
of $559,770, with Perth not far behind on $505,115. Comparatively less expensive
cities are Brisbane ($411,491), Melbourne ($402,817) and Adelaide ($359,504).
Prices for units are also headed north with an 8.5 per cent increase over the
year, led by an astonishing 21.9 per cent increase in Adelaide.
4 September 2007 - Virgin holds rates, for now
The Australian
Virgin Money are going to resist passing on to their customers any increases in
funding costs for now, accepting reduced margins instead. Virgin's home loans
are funded by residential-backed mortgage securities from Macquarie bank which
has a 10 per cent stake in the company. If the current level of expense in
credit markets persists for a long period Virgin said that it would have to
consider raising rates. The company also said yesterday that its credit card
business was very profitable despite offering some of the lowest rates in the
country.
4 September 2007 - Growth stunted by drought
The Financial Review
National accounts due out today will give an update on the state of the economy,
but the continuing drought is expected to delay any rural recovery and impact
forecasts of economic growth. If there is no rain in the next month the national
wheat crop could be as low as 10 million tonnes instead of the 22 million tonnes
forecast. The National Farmer's Federation said that, if the drought does break,
there will still be the challenges of replacing 80,000 workers that have been
lost over the past five years, and growing red-tape that is taking an
increasingly large portion of farm income.
4 September 2007 - Challenger grows broking arm
The Financial Review
Challenger Financial Services Group has paid more than $300 million to buy
Australia's largest mortgage broking aggregators, Choice Aggregation Services
and PLAN Australia, as well as a minority stake in FAST. The move means that
Challenger now has around 5,400 brokers with a combined loan book of about $64
billion. Mortgage aggregators charge a fee for independent brokers to use their
loan application platform, provide back office support, and negotiate
commissions with lenders on behalf of brokers. Nearly half of all new mortgages
are sold by brokers.
4 September 2007 - Prospects good for Bendigo / Adelaide merger
The Financial Review
The chief executive of Bendigo Bank, Rob Hunt, has said that the due diligence
process being conducted into the proposed merger with Adelaide Bank is almost
complete. While there had been concerns about Adelaide Bank's exposure to the
low-doc sector Mr Hunt said that "good bank underwriting standards" had been
applied and it had withdrawn from areas in which margins evaporated. Mr Hunt
said that the two institutions had found that they have very complementary
strengths which would produce a more diverse revenue base and a broader funding
capability. A report recommending that the merger proceed could be presented to
the board of Bendigo as early as Monday.
4 September 2007 - US homeowners struggle to meet repayments
The Financial Review
Mortgage defaults in the US for homeowner with private insurance surged by 28
per cent over the past year. The number of mortgages more than 60 days behind in
repayments was up by 8.2 per cent in July alone. Lenders sent out a total of
179,599 notices of repossession, default or auction in July, nearly double the
number of a year ago. The US government is implementing a plan to bail out about
80,000 individual borrowers by refinancing through the Federal Housing
Administration, but said that it will not provide assistance to lenders or
speculators.
4 September 2007 - RBA told to drop regulation on card fees
The Financial Review
The Australian Bankers Association has called for an end to regulation of
interchange fees on debit and credit cards by the Reserve Bank of Australia.
Instead the association says that interchange fees should be set on commercial
terms by the market, helping to restore regulatory certainty, and reducing the
risk of sub-optimal levels of investment and innovation. In its submission to
the review of payments system reforms American Express said that they had given
merchants a significant and ongoing financial benefit, estimated to be at least
$2.2 billion since 2003, but that there was no evidence of any decrease in the
price of goods and services resulting from this.
3 September 2007 - Lower fees for other bank ATM transactions
The Financial Review
The abolition of ATM interchange fees could mean lower charges to consumers. The
removal of the fee, typically $1 per transaction, should lead to a substantial
reduction and perhaps even abolition of the fees that consumers are charged when
using another bank's ATMs. From October next year, the owners of ATMs must
disclose fees charged, increasing transparency of any charges.
3 September 2007 - BoQ aims for Home
The Financial Review
The Bank of Queensland has launched a friendly take-over bid for Western
Australia's Home Building Society. The deal would be worth $592 million and
follows a failed takeover bid by BoQ for Bendigo Bank. BoQ currently has 6
branches in WA which would increase by 29 if the bid is successful, with the
Home brand being retained in the short term while ramping up the rollout of BoQ
owner-managed branches across the state. The managing director of Home said "The
combined financial strength of BoQ and Home will provide the Home business with
greater financial strength and enhanced product offerings, and this gives us
great confidence about taking our WA market share to a new level".
3 September 2007 - Electronic conveyancing scheme deserted
The Financial Review
The major banks have pulled out of a Victorian pilot scheme for an electronic
conveyancing system called ECV, instead favouring a national system. The banks
had supported the Victorian project as it was to be used as the basis for
national implementation, but withdrew from the project as Victoria has not yet
made the software available for testing to determine its suitability as a
national platform. Attorney-General Philip Ruddock said "I am extremely
disappointed that Victoria's failure to co-operate has sabotaged a project that
would reduce costs for home buyers".
3 September 2007 - Exchange for structured products
The Financial Review
The Australian Stock Exchange is planning to launch a new market aimed at
encouraging structured product and managed fund providers to offer their
products to the public. The AQUA market is expected to be operating by the
middle of next year and will allow investment banks and fund managers to trade
or quote their products on the exchange. The market would also provide trading
of capital-protected products, long-dated equity-linked products,
exchange-traded funds and securitised assets.
3 September 2007 - ANZ outlook not so rosy
The Financial Review
Analysts have downgraded their earnings outlook for ANZ following advice from
the bank last week that both revenue and expense rates had come in at the top
end of target ranges for the first 10 months of the financial year. While the
bank's New Zealand and personal divisions remain buoyant, earnings growth in the
institutional division was below management expectations as debt markets and
business banking experienced poor growth.
3 September 2007 - Australia at risk from US sub-prime fallout
The Australian
Analysis of the effects of the US sub-prime mortgage sector problems by The
Economist Intelligence Unit has found that there is a 30 per cent chance of the
US falling into a recession, and that Australia is one of three countries most
at risk of following the US into a recession. The research says that the most
serious fallout from the crisis is the repricing of risk and, for any given
level of risk, financing will be more expensive and will be rationed. The report
also says that affordability in Australia could be strained for all house owners
as a result of high interest charges, already among the highest in the world,
and which may rise.
3 September 2007 - Internet job ads booming
The Australian
Job advertisements on the internet in August were up by 2.91 per cent from July
to a record of 359,959. The figures from recruitment agency Olivier showed that
the online job market has increased by 50.81 per cent in the last 12 months. Job
ads rose in 14 out of the 21 industry sectors with healthcare, medical and
pharmaceutical recording the largest increase of 9.62 per cent for the month.
The cultural sector which has enjoyed a 127.08 per cent increase over the last
year was down by 12.89 per cent in the last month. Information technology job
ads grew by 46.47 per cent over the year, and increased by 4.51 per cent in
August.
31 October 2007 - Dragon reports strong growth and record profit
infochoice.com.au
St George Bank has announced an after tax profit of $1.16 billion for the year
to the end of September, 13.1 per cent higher than the previous year and a
record for the bank. The result was helped by strong growth in home loans,
deposits and wealth management. The home loan book grew by 10.4 per cent over
the year to total $69.2 billion, giving the bank a 9 per cent share of the
market at the end of August 2007. Retail deposits were up by 10.9 per cent to
$47.8 billion for a market share of 8.2 per cent but the second half was much
stronger which, if annualised, grew at 13.2 per cent. Superannuation changes
helped to increase funds in the Wealth Management division by 26.7 per cent to
$49.7 billion. St George continues its expansion with five new branches opened
in Western Australia over the year and four in Queensland.
31 October 2007 - Westpac and ANZ battle for third
The Australian
Westpac has overtaken ANZ in terms of market share to become the country's
third largest bank. ANZ Bank shares have been sliding since last week's annual
profit announcement and yesterday lost a further 26 cents to close at $29.69.
Westpac shares gained 7 cents to $29.95 putting its market capitalisation at
$55.86 billion compared with ANZ's $55.36 billion.
31 October 2007 - ANZ pressures wealth venture
The Australian
While the ANZ Bank may be frustrated about its relative weakness in the wealth
management market, its joint venture with ING Australia is likely to continue
beyond the current agreement's 2012 expiry date. The new chief executive at
ANZ, Mike Smith, said that INGA is now delivering improved returns but that
ANZ was still underweight in wealth compared with its Australian peers so the
bank will "sweat (INGA) a bit harder". INGA's annual profit was up 28 per cent
to $311 million for the year driven by growth in fund under management of 18
per cent to $46 billion. Strong growth in sales and profit terms was recorded
for all key business units which include personal investments, employer
superannuation, life risk and direct insurance. The joint venture now has the
third largest group of aligned advisors after increasing their numbers by 189
to 1334.
31 October 2007 - Escalating defaults in regional NSW
The Australian
The latest credit default figures show an alarming increase of 35.5 per cent
in NSW across credit cards, personal loans and mortgages. Regional areas hit
by drought are suffering most with a 60 per cent rise in defaults over the
last financial year with some parts of the state seeing increases of as much
as 77.2 per cent. According to analysis by Veda Advantage mortgage belt areas
of the state such as western Sydney and the central coast are being hit hard
where defaults increased by 43.5 per cent. NSW Farmer's Federation
vice-president, Alan Brown, said that regional NSW was at a crisis point with
the rise in defaults reflecting a collapse in farm incomes after years of
drought.
31 October 2007 - Staff shortage curtails growth
The Financial Review
In the latest National Australia Bank quarterly survey almost 65 per cent of
firms said that difficulty finding staff was limiting their ability to grow.
Of the 900 businesses surveyed 27 per cent of respondents said that lack of
staff was a major constraint, highlighting just how much the skills shortage
is slowing economic growth, while only 13 per cent said that low sales or
orders was slowing their business. Labour shortages are not feeding through to
higher wages however with labour costs increasing by 0.8 per cent in the last
quarter to give an annual growth rate of 3.4 per cent.
31 October 2007 - Super funds brush off market turmoil
The Financial Review
Despite one of the most turbulent quarters in memory, the average
superannuation fund managed to generate a return of 2.01 per cent for the
three months to September according to research firm SuperRatings. The average
return for the month of September was 1.71 per cent, while the average over
the past five years is 12.8 per cent and 9.9 per cent for the last 10 years.
Managing director of SuperRatings, Jeff Bresnahan, warned that there could be
a backlash against the super industry as, after 4 years of 13 per cent plus
returns, many people may expect the same going forward. "CPI plus 3.5 per cent
is generally normal over a five-year rolling period," he said. Catholic Super
was the best performing fund for the year to September with a 19.6 per cent
return, followed by 19.1 per cent for MTAA Super. According to SuperRatings
the best performing asset class over the past year was Australian equities
which were up by 29.5 per cent, followed by property which returned 15.8 per
cent.
31 October 2007 - Dollar dips as markets watch US rates
The Financial Review
After reaching a high of US92.72 cents on Monday, the Australian dollar
yesterday dipped as low as US91.53 cents as speculation grew that the US
Federal reserve may not cut rates when it announces its decision tomorrow.
Traders had reduced the probability of a cut in rates to 80 per cent, down
from 112 per cent on Monday. The greater than 100 per cent probability implied
that investors believed there was a small chance of a 50 basis point cut
instead of 25, but some analysts say that a 50 basis point cut is still
possible.
30 October 2007 - Adelaide to expand funding sources
Sydney Morning Herald
Bendigo Bank will seek to broaden the funding base of its merger partner
Adelaide Bank to reduce the impact of global credit availability on Adelaide's
profit. With one of the highest levels of exposure to wholesale mortgage
markets Adelaide Bank has already been forced to increase the interest rates
on its mortgages with some borrowers paying rates that are 30 basis points
higher than those charged by its competitors. At yesterday's annual meeting
the chairman of Bendigo, Robert Johanson, defended the decision to merge with
Adelaide Bank but conceded that that the merged group would look to source its
funding from a "much broader range of options". Without the global credit
market shortages the wholesale business of Adelaide Bank would have
contributed up to 10 per cent of the earnings of the merged company.
Shareholders of Adelaide Bank will vote on the proposed merger on November 12.
30 October 2007 - Wide Bay outbids Bank of Queensland
The Australian
Building society Wide Bay Australia has trumped the Bank of Queensland's
takeover bid for Mackay Permanent Building Society. Wide Bay had originally
offered MPBS a deal which valued the rival building society at $46 million but
this was beaten by a $53.2 million bid from BoQ. The new offer from Wide Bay
values MPBS at $56.6 million with each share receiving 0.65 Wide Bay shares
plus $1 cash. The managing director of Wide Bay said that shareholders should
look beyond current share prices and consider all relevant information
including the cultural alignment and complementary agency networks of the two
societies. "In short, we believe that a combined Wide Bay and MPBS would be
the financial institution of choice for residents of fast-growing central and
north Queensland," he said.
30 October 2007 - Dollar heading for parity
The Australian
The Australian dollar was valued at over US92 cents for the first time in 23
years yesterday and economists believe that it could reach parity with the US
dollar, perhaps as soon as Christmas. Fears of a recession in the US is
eroding the value of the greenback and has driven the price of gold to its
highest point in 20 years as investors seek safe havens. Interest in the local
currency is being fuelled by the probability that the Reserve Bank of
Australia will raise interest rates next week and the US central bank cutting
rates this week. The S&P/ASX200 closed at a new record of 6792.1 after gaining
91.5 points on the day.
30 October 2007 - Confidence proves resilient
The Financial Review
While business confidence has eased slightly companies still believe that
trading conditions will be good in the December quarter despite the rising
dollar and prospect of an interest rate rise. The latest National Australia
Bank business confidence index was down 2 points but remains significantly
higher than the long term average. Conducted between late August and the end
of September the latest survey of 1,550 large, medium and small businesses
found that confidence levels were highest amongst those with an annual sales
turnover between $3 million and $5 million. The result contributes to fears
that inflationary pressure is building due to sustained strength in the
economy and further increases the probability that the Reserve Bank will lift
interest rates at its meeting next week.
30 October 2007 - Building industry skills shortage
The Financial Review
A lack of skilled workers in the building industry is putting upward pressure
on costs. The availability of workers declined in 10 of the 13 main
construction trades in the September quarter and the cost of contractors rose
in 9 categories. The largest price increase was 3.9 per cent for general
building while the cost of plasterers was up by 3.5 per cent. Over the year to
the end of September the cost of bricklayers was up 14 per cent, joiners 7.8
per cent, and plasterers 7.1 per cent. The industry has renewed its calls for
reform of the apprenticeship and training system including introducing shorter
qualification periods for sub-trades such as paving, form-work and timber
framing.
30 October 2007 - St George staff free to surf
The Financial Review
In a bid to attract and retain talented young staff St George Bank will allow
its employees to use social networking and role playing websites. The bank's
head of architecture, Greg Booker, said that instant messaging applications
are being provided for all staff as "they are already chatting all day... but
they are using email and your resources to store it". "What we have come to
find is if you want to hire people, and keep them, then the organisation they
work for needs to be at least in line with what they are used to doing
outside," he said.
29 October 2007 - Strong growth in low doc loans
The Financial Review
The value of low-doc home loans written in the year to June 30 rose by 26 per
cent to $8.37 billion, up slightly from the 25 per cent growth rate of the
previous year, according to the latest data from the Market Intelligence
Strategy Centre. The proportion of borrowers obtaining loans for more than 80
per cent of the value of the property hit 26 per cent compared with 15 per
cent in September 2005. Some lenders have increased the rates on their low doc
loans by more the Reserve Bank's cash rate increases reflecting a perceived
higher risk level for the loans.
29 October 2007 - Case builds for rate rise next week
The Financial Review
Rising oil prices are adding to pressure on the Reserve Bank to increase the
official cash rate when it meets next week. With tensions between the US and
Iran escalating and concerns that the conflict between Turkey and Kurds in the
north of Iraq could worsen. The price of a barrel of crude oil hit a new
record of $US92.97. If this level holds Australian motorists could be hit by a
10 cent per litre fuel price increase within two weeks. Figures on retail
turnover are due out this week with economists forecasting a 1.6 per cent
increase in sales for the September quarter. Futures markets currently have
the probability of a rate rise at the RBA's next meeting at 85 per cent and
have factored in another rise before May 2008.
29 October 2007 - No plan means low growth for SME's
Daily Telegraph
A survey has found that 74 per cent of small businesses do not have a business
plan, citing a lack of time, assistance and being unable to see the value of a
plan as the main reasons. However the study, conducted by accountancy group
RSM Bird Cameron, has found that those businesses that do have a plan report
higher rates of growth. According to the report almost twice as many
businesses that do plan have grown more than 50 per cent per year for the past
two years. The most common reason given for not having a plan, by 41 per cent
of respondents, was concern that the business was too small for a plan to be
necessary. A business plan does not need to be a 80 to 100 page document but
could be as simple as three of four pages with dot points.
29 October 2007 - Fines for misuse of super funds
The Financial Review
A couple who illegally accessed their superannuation funds to pay off a
business debt have been fined $30,000 and ordered to pay $35,000 in costs. As
trustees of their own super fund the couple had sold a property which was
owned by the fund and used the proceeds to pay a private debt. The Federal
Court found that, while the $115,000 involved was not a large sum, the action
had been deliberate and significant as it stripped the fund of its main asset.
The Australian Taxation Office has reminded trustees of self-managed super
funds that the main purpose of super funds is to provide for retirement and
that funds cannot be used for other purposes.
29 October 2007 - Cost blowout increases tension at ANZ
The Financial Review
At an internal meeting on Friday the new chief of ANZ Bank, Michael Smith,
heavily criticised some of the bank's most senior executives after a
disappointing second-half performance. Speculation is building that there will
be a shake-up in the bank's management, particularly in the institutional
division. Analysts are concerned that the ANZ Bank will struggle to deliver
earnings per share at a similar level to rivals after reporting an increase of
7.6 per cent in its costs over the past year. The bank's costs increased by
7.6 per cent, compared with a rate of 5 per cent for Westpac and 5.9 per cent
at St George. Merrill Lynch analyst Matthew Davison said that it is difficult
to get excited about ANZ due to slow growth in its personal division and other
headwinds that the bank faces.
29 October 2007 - Westpac staff fight sales pressure
Sydney Morning Herald
With talks on a new wages agreement between Westpac and the Financial Sector
Union due to commence, the bank's staff are pushing for the right to not sell
financial products to customers who are unable to meet their repayments. Staff
feel that, with household debt at record highs, the link between their pay and
the sale of loan products should be removed. The FSU's national secretary,
Leon Carter said "Our members want banks to be profitable but they're
increasingly uncomfortable pushing debt in the current climate, where people
are struggling to finance loans, even though bank profits are now in the
billions". It is likely to be an uphill battle however as industrial relations
laws prevent the negotiation of 'conscience clauses' or engaging in action
that disrupts management's rights to run a business.
26 October 2007 - Home borrowers hit by 37.5% increase in rates
Infochoice.com.au
Analysis conducted by InfoChoice shows that Australian mortgage borrowers have
seen their home loan interest bill rise by more than 37 per cent over the last
five years, a situation which may be about to get worse. General Manager Denis
Orrock said that while the focus has been on the five rate increases since the
last election, there have been nine since the current upward trend began in
2002. Over this time standard variable rates have increased from 6.07 per cent
to 8.32 per cent which means that the interest bill for home-buyers has
increased by 37.5 per cent. On an average sized mortgage of $270,000 borrowers
are paying $350 more in interest than they would have five years ago, and if
rates go up again in November this figure will be closer to $400. On top of
this are warnings from some banks that their increased cost of funding will
force them to raise their mortgage rates above any increase in the cash rate
by the Reserve Bank.
26 October 2007 - Howard and Costello warn RBA
The Financial Review
In an attempt to prevent a rate rise in November Prime Minister John Howard
and Treasurer Peter Costello have reminded the Reserve Bank of a 2003
agreement on the RBA's independence. Mr Howard said that the RBA should only
consider the Consumer Price Index when setting interest rate policy and Mr
Costello added that the current annual CPI rate of 1.9 per cent was below the
target range of between 2 and 3 per cent. However analysts believe that the
Reserve will stick to its guns as the underlying rate, which strips out
volatile items and one-off changes is too high. The bank's decision will also
be influenced by an OECD report that shows that growth in labour costs is
outstripping productivity increases.
26 October 2007 - Growing pains for Melbourne
The Financial Review
The vacancy rate for rental properties in Melbourne hit a 25-year low of 1.2
per cent in September. Melbourne is the fastest growing city in the country
with its population growing by about 4,000 people every month and the growing
pressure on properties has seen rents increase by 1.4 per cent in the
September quarter and 4.7 per cent over the last 12 months. The situation is
not much better in regional Victoria with vacancy rates of just 2.3 per cent.
The population growth is being attributed to higher fertility rates, increased
immigration and less people moving to northern states.
26 October 2007 - Strong growth in ANZ result
The Financial Review
Personal banking has contributed $1.442 billion to the ANZ Bank's profit
result for the year to September, an increase of 16 per cent over the previous
year. The retail division of the bank achieved a 12 per cent growth in
mortgages, credit cards grew by 7 per cent and deposits were up by 13 per
cent. The net interest margin that ANZ was able to achieve was down to 2.3 per
cent, 1 basis point lower than last year's result. Profit from the
institutional division was up by 6 per cent to $1.448 billion, helped by a 27
per cent rise in deposits as companies sought more conservative havens for
their cash during the global credit crisis.
26 October 2007 - Investors not happy with ANZ
The Financial Review
Investors hammered ANZ's share price following the bank's profit announcement
yesterday despite reporting a 13.3 per cent rise in annual profit to a record
of $4.18 billion. While revenue increased by 9.7 per cent, costs grew 7.6 per
cent, higher than the bank's target of no more than 5 to 7 per cent.
Provisions for bad debts were up by 39 per cent to $567 million, mainly due to
problem corporate loans being written off, but there were also rising losses
in the bank's credit card and home loan portfolios. Investors were also
concerned that a merger with a similar sized offshore bank could be on the
cards after new chief executive, Michael Smith, said that he wants to turn ANZ
into a "super regional" bank. The bank's share price was down 3.7 per cent, or
$1.15, to close at $29.96.
26 October 2007 - Banks and government disagree over rates
The Australian
On the election trail Prime Minister John Howard and Treasurer Peter Costello
continue to argue that there is no reason for Australian banks to increase
their interest rates outside of any move in the official cash rate but some of
our leading bankers disagree. NAB's chairman, Michael Chaney, has said that
that the Treasurer's insistence that Australian banks were immune to higher
credit costs on global markets as they could rely on local deposits was not
entirely true. "All banks have a very significant proportion of their funding
in the wholesale market. If wholesale funding costs have risen permanently,
then banks will have to raise their lending rates as well," he said. ANZ's
chief executive, Michael Smith, said that while they were absorbing the higher
cost of funding for now, it was not a situation that could go on forever.
26 October 2007 - Has inflation peaked?
The Australian
With government policies encouraging more people into the workforce,
economists believe that we could almost be at the peak of the current
inflation cycle. The Commonwealth Bank's chief economist, Michael Blythe said
that an increase in the official cash rate to 6.75 per cent would be more
restrictive for the economy and the increased labour participation rate would
help to ease the economy's supply-side constraints. A Senior strategist with
TD Securities, Joshua Williamson, agreed with Mr Blythe's inflation outlook
but said any easing would be due to more infrastructure projects coming on
line which will increase our level of exports.
25 October 2007 - Markets confident of rate rise, and could be more
The Australian
With the market putting the probability of an increase in interest rates when
the Reserve Bank meets in November at almost 90 per cent, the Australian
dollar gained 0.7 of a cent to close at US89.84 cents while the All Ordinaries
Index was down 25.4 points on the day to 6652.10. Economists from ABN AMRO and
Westpac have warned that another rate rise could happen as early as December
depending on what happens with global financial markets. Macquarie Bank's Rory
Robertson said "The RBA has raised nine times in five years, so that is a
moving average of one or two a year. It can be a gradual process, so I would
say they will tighten in November and keep their tightening bias."
25 October 2007 - Quick fix would save money
The Australian
If the Reserve Bank does increase rates by 0.25 per cent at its next meeting
in November repayments on a mortgage of $500,000 will increase by $84 per
month. Borrowers should consider fixing all or part of their home loan now as
the banks will move quickly to pass on any increase in rates. Standard 3 year
fixed rates for the major banks are around 7.80 per cent so fixing would save
0.77 per cent compared with the new standard variable rate which would be 8.57
per cent and even lower fixed rates can be found with other lenders. Variable
rates for margin lending will rise to around 9.65 per cent and credit card
rates will be as high as 20 per cent.
25 October 2007 - Housing, electricity and pets cost more
Sydney Morning Herald
Contributing to the CPI rate announced yesterday was an increase of 1.8 per
cent for housing rents in the September quarter, to give an annual rise of 5.8
per cent. The cost of electricity is up by 5.6 per cent over the last year
while the cost of buying a house has increased 3.5 per cent for the year.
Pets, pet food and supplies have grown 6.7 per cent more expensive over the
year while hospital and medical bills are up by 5.3 per cent. Offsetting some
of these increases are falls in the prices of electronic equipment which were
down 5.6 per cent and the value of the dollar keeping a lid on petrol prices.
25 October 2007 - Costello wants more competition on fees
The Financial Review
Banks have been asked to reduce their fees by the Treasurer, Peter Costello.
With the costs of deposit and loan facilities increasing by 2.2 per cent in
the September quarter and 3.5 per cent over the last year, Mr Costello said
that he had written to the Australian Bankers Association the level of fees
being charged. "You have to look at the fact that most of the banks have got
their 'exception' fees, which are the fees banks charge when cheques bounce,"
he said. "The fees they were charging bore no relation to the actual cost to
the bank." While some banks, including ANZ and NAB have moved to reduce
penalty fees for credit cards and NAB has introduced new deposit accounts with
no monthly service fees Mr Costello said that there was still room for more
competitive products.
25 October 2007 - Basis fund units hit 1 cent
The Financial Review
The value of units in Basis Capital's Yield Fund has been cut to 1 cent
instead of the 20 cents that investors were hoping for. The valuation by
Macquarie Bank has come after it was told that no further price updates would
be issued for the troubled fund. Another Basis fund, the Australia Rim
Diversified Fund, which has $355 million from Australian investors, has lost
half of its value and Basis has asked investors to allow the separation of the
problematic credit assets from the high-yielding securities for which they
would receive shares in a new structure.
25 October 2007 - Housing crunch in regional areas
The Financial Review
The slow rate of house construction in regional centres has caused high rates
of housing stress for both renters and buyers. Research from the Australian
Housing and Urban Research Institute shows that, at the 2001 census, over 23
per cent of renters and 14 per cent of home-buyers in non-metropolitan areas
were experiencing housing stress. These figures are only expected to get worse
as the pace of construction lags that of population growth. The report says
"Housing policy, including housing assistance, needs to respond to demand in
particular locations, especially those in higher demand locations such as the
regional cities and coastal regions".
24 October 2007 - Inflation hike heralds election rate rise
InfoChoice.com.au
The chances of an unprecedented election campaign interest rate rise are now
very high after quarterly CPI figures released today show underlying inflation
breaching the 2-3 per cent tolerance band set by the Reserve Bank.
Although the headline figure for the CPI in the third quarter came in at 0.7
per cent - giving an annual rate of inflation of just 1.9 per cent in the year
to September - the RBA prefers to look at adjusted measures of inflation which
take out volatile items and one-off price movements.
The two adjusted measures it uses don't make for pretty reading, now at 2.9
per cent and 3.1 per cent, up from 2.8 per cent. These figures weigh more
importantly than any other in the minds of the members of the Reserve Bank
board in considering interest rates - curbing inflation is their key priority
in setting rates.
The latest inflation reading suggests that the economy is struggling to
contain prices in the wake of solid economic growth this year and capacity
constraints which don't allow businesses to raise supply to the levels
necessary to meet demand. The wholesale or producer price index released
earlier this week told a similar story.
The RBA board meets in less than two weeks - on Melbourne Cup Day - to
consider interest rates. It will have to assess how much these latest CPI
figures threaten an inflation breakout and weigh that risk against the
possibility of recession in the United States and the hit to business activity
in Australia from the fallout from the US sub-prime lending debacle, which is
already nudging up interest rates around the world.
It would be a brave move to raise rates during the heat of an election
campaign, something never done in living memory, although the RBA only took
over responsibility for setting rates from the government of the day in 1996.
RBA governor Glenn Stevens however said earlier this year elections would have
no bearing on interest rate deliberations.
Borrowers on variable rate mortgages should prepare for a rise of 0.25 per
cent in their interest rate in November, lifting repayments by $17 a month for
every $100,000 borrowed.
24 October 2007 - November rate rise almost certain
Sydney Morning Herald
With the September quarter Consumer Price Index rising by 0.7 per cent, and
the underlying rate of inflation running at 1 per cent, a rate rise when the
Reserve Bank meets in another two weeks seems a certainty. Before the CPI
announcement markets had put the probability of the cash rate increasing from
6.5 per cent to 6.75 per cent in November at 60 per cent but this has now shot
up to 83 per cent. If the RBA does lift rates it will be the first time this
has happened during an election campaign.
24 October 2007 - Tax Office warns on super rules
The Financial Review
The tax office has warned that the 8 per cent of superannuation funds that
still do not having a tax file number attached will be taxed at 46.5 per cent.
Personal contributions cannot be made to super funds which do not have a TFN
so also miss out on any government co-contribution. The ATO is also assisting
people who mistakenly paid over the $1 million into their super account this
year which, if not rectified, would be taxed at 46.5 per cent. Assistant
commissioner Stuart Forsyth said "People who may have inadvertently breached
the cap because of special circumstances should write to the Tax Office or
give them a call as soon as they become aware of the problem".
24 October 2007 - Treasury predicts strong growth ahead
The Financial Review
In its Pre-election Economic and Fiscal Outlook report Treasury has forecast
that the Consumer Price Index will grow by 2.75 per cent both this financial
year and next, near the top of the Reserve Bank's 2 to 3 per cent comfort
band. The economy is expected to grow by 4.25 per cent in the current
financial year and 3.5 per cent in 2008-09. However Treasury has warned that
there is a risk that, if the financial market problems are resolved in a
benign fashion then the rate of growth could be even stronger which could
increase pressure on prices and wages.
24 October 2007 - Homepath profit hit by credit squeeze
The Financial Review
Online lender HomePath, which is owned by the Commonwealth Bank, reported a
drop in net profit of 10.8 per cent to $7.7 million for the year to June. This
is despite a 23 per cent increase in revenue to $107.5 million with rising
finance costs impacting the profit result as most of the lender's book funded
by securitisation. Total outstanding loans grew from $1.42 billion to $1.62
billion over the year, but still a small proportion of the CBA's total
mortgage portfolio of $143 billion.
24 October 2007 - IWL confirms support for CBA offer
Sydney Morning Herald
Online broker IWL has had an independent expert review the Commonwealth Bank's
$350 million takeover offer to see if it is still fair after posting higher
than expected first-quarter profits. Pre-tax profit for the September quarter
was $10.2 million, double the result for the same period last year and 15 per
cent higher than the previous quarter. The bumper profit result was due to
increased trading levels in the quarter which have since dropped off as
markets have settled down. The review said that, as the results should not be
regarded as sustainable, the value of $311 million to $346 million reflected
the long term earnings potential of the company. IWL has urged investors to
vote in favour of the $6.45 share offer at the scheme of arrangement meeting
next Wednesday.
24 October 2007 - Banks lead sharemarket up
The Australian
The Australian sharemarket bounced back yesterday, recovering more than half
of the losses incurred on the previous two days. The ASX 200 climbed 83.6
points to 6660.9 helped by strong gains in bank stocks. Macquarie Bank
experienced the biggest gain of $2.08 to close at $81.73, NAB was up by 68
cents to $41.25, Westpac rose 51 cents to $28.82, while ANZ gained 46 cents to
$31.21 and Commonwealth was up 44 cents to $59.01.
24 October 2007 - Property valuations vital
Sydney Morning Herald
When considering buying or selling a property there are several ways to work
out how much it is worth apart from looking at prices for similar properties
in the street. Automated valuations (AVM's) are available from several sources
including Australian Property Monitors. AVM's can use historical data on the
property itself along with selling the sale prices for other properties in the
area to come up with a market value, but this method does not take into
account all factors such as age and condition of the properties. If you are
selling your property then it is worth getting a real estate agent to go over
it and give you a quote, but this would not work for buyers. The other option
is to engage the services of a professional valuer who will thoroughly examine
the physical condition of the property and take into account geographical
characteristics, historical data and how appealing the layout of the home is.
This is the most expensive option at around $300 to $350 but for buyers is a
worthwhile investment.
24 October 2007 - Variable Rate Loans are just that - Variable
infochoice.com.au
Recent comments from leading Australian banks that variable rate home loans
may be forced to increase beyond or outside of any Reserve Bank movements have
reinforced the fact that variable rates are indeed liable to change, and that
Australian borrowers have been accessing cheap credit for much of the past
decade.
Despite the Federal Treasurer Peter Costello maintaining that the banks have
no reason to move their variable rate home loans outside of Reserve Bank
movements, and suggesting that they not use the US sub-prime fall out as an
excuse to increase price, the reality is that credit, and more importantly
risk, has been repriced and the lenders including the major banks in the
Australian market will be looking to maintain existing margins and in some
cases increase margins to offset risk.
If the Treasurer is insistent that mortgage rates not be increased while
personal loan, business loan and credit card interest rates have been
increased over and above the August RBA rate increase, the narrow focus on
mortgages appears to be a cynical exercise in electioneering and discriminates
against Australians that do not have a mortgage but may have other debt
facilities. If borrowers are looking for certainty on rates then they should
be looking towards the fixed rate market that even today is offering
competitive three year rates as low as 7.59 per cent or 73 points below the
quoted standard variable rate of 8.32 per cent.
Lending conditions are forecast to tighten as the credit situation continues
to unfold and perhaps lending criteria may shift to a tighter approach with
high LVR loans and borrowing capacity calculations to come under scrutiny.
Many will argue that this is a good thing but if the maximum LVR was to drop
to 85 per cent a first home buyer in Sydney would require a deposit in excess
of $75,000, furthering denting the home ownership aspirations of thousands
whilst placing increased upward pressure on rental demand.
In 2007 there has been a lot said about Housing Affordability by both
political parties, conferences held, and committees appointed, but we are yet
to see any concrete plans put forward by either parties to assist not only
first home buyers but young families as they struggle to make ends meet and
strive to achieve their goals.
23 October 2007 - Banks under pressure to increase rates
The Financial Review
The chief of National Australia Bank, John Stewart, has warned that banks will
have to increase their rates above any rise in the cash rate as the price of
credit remains high. Mr Stewart said that while there was pressure on variable
mortgage rates it was unlikely that they would be lifted as they are the most
sensitive rates for consumers. Yesterday ANZ increased rates on its fixed loan
products by 10 basis points saying that it was due to the higher cost of
funding on wholesale markets. Australian banks obtain around half of their
funding from wholesale markets.
23 October 2007 - Ex-CBA chief supports four pillars
The Australian
The former chief of the Commonwealth Bank, David Murray, has said that the
industry had not yet articulated a case that the abolition of the four pillars
policy would benefit consumers. Mr Murray, now chairman of the Future Fund,
has broken ranks with the recent statements from other major bank CEO's who
have been saying that it is time to change a policy which is outdated and
preventing local banks from competing globally. According to Mr Murray it is
the four pillars policy that has seen industry profits fall to the benefit of
consumers. "If anybody wants Four Pillars to change, they'd better build a
very solid argument about what's going to happen to that competition and the
interests of Australian consumers," he said.
23 October 2007 - Technology upgrade for Federal Police
The Financial Review
The Australian Federal Police have improved their ability to keep up with
internet criminals with the creation of a new technology research and
development unit. The new unit will have an oversight role to review
technology purchases and has a budget to fund science and technology projects.
At the same time the AFP is looking for the latest technology that allows the
bugging of online chat rooms and internet phone calls. While the use of
encryption and the distributed nature of the internet has made eavesdropping
more difficult, the range of information that police want access to has
increased to include images from mobile phones and communications through
wireless networks.
23 October 2007 - Middle-class not so stressed
The Financial Review
The Australia Institute says that mortgage stress is overstated and, rather
than struggling financially, most Australian families are doing "very well". A
study conducted by the Institute found that only one third of middle-class
families had a mortgage and even then only 8 per cent of those had a mortgage
over $200,000. For the purposes of the study a 'typical family', which
comprises 41 per cent of the population, was defined as a couple with at least
one dependent child and led by one person of prime working age. The
Institute's Clive Hamilton said "There is considerable evidence that
middle-class Australians focus not on what they have but on the gap between
what they have and what they want, creating a sense of deprivation in a time
of plenty".
23 October 2007 - Index hints at rate rise
The Financial Review
The Producer Price Index, which tracks business production costs, was up by a
higher than expected 1.1 per cent for the September quarter. The correlation
between the PPI and the Consumer Price Index, due out tomorrow, has been
increasing in recent times and after the result announced yesterday markets
increased the probability of a rate rise in November from 40 per cent to 52
per cent. Leading the PPI increase was strong growth in new house prices of
1.2 per cent in the quarter, and 3.9 per cent higher over the last year. House
purchase prices make up 8 per cent of the CPI.
23 October 2007 - Local markets follow US
The Australian
The local market shed 130 points yesterday, or 1.9 per cent, following the 2.6
per cent fall experienced by Wall Street on Friday. Shortly after opening the
Australian All Ordinaries Index had lost 2.4 per cent but picked up during the
day. Other markets were not immune with the Hang Seng plummeting 3.7 per cent
and the Nikkei down 2.24 per cent.
22 October 2007 - Inflation danger rising
Sydney Morning Herald
The Australian economy has entered an inflation danger zone according to
forecaster Access Economics. An Access report has said that our balance of
trade will not improve until the economy slows and demand reduces, which is
not likely until 2009-2010. This is also when falling commodity prices are
expected to pull the Australian dollar back from its current high levels which
will drive up the cost of imports. Another factor to consider is that, until
now, China has effectively exporting deflation through the low cost of
manufactured goods. Access warns that this will not continue as inflation
rises in China itself meaning that prices for goods imported from China will
be rising.
22 October 2007 - Housing in a vicious circle
The Australian
Economic forecaster BIS Shrapnel says that the undersupply of housing will
rise by around 8.4 per cent over the current financial year, after increasing
by 5.2 per cent last financial year. Rents make up 5.3 per cent of the
Consumer Price Index so could add 0.2 per cent to the inflation rate,
increasing the chances of further interest rate rises and creating a vicious
circle as any rate increase will further delay a recovery in the housing
sector. Flat demand will maintain upward pressure on rents which will
eventually underpin a recovery in housing starts as more tenants decide to buy
and investors are attracted by higher returns.
22 October 2007 - Big banks' earnings to increase 14 per cent
Financial Review
Merrill Lynch has forecast a 14 per cent increase in earnings growth per share
for the nation's largest banks despite concerns that their results for the
year would be impacted by the higher cost of funding. Profit increases to be
reported over the next few weeks are expected to be ANZ by 10 per cent, and St
George, Westpac and National Australia Bank all up by 13 per cent. While
interest margins may be slightly reduced this has been more than offset by an
18.8 per cent increase in business lending and a 13 per cent increase in home
loans.
22 October 2007 - Duelling tax policies
Financial Review
The battle of the tax cuts is heating up with Labor announcing its policy on
Friday followed by the Treasurer, Peter Costello, responding with additions to
the package offered by the Coalition earlier in the week. In its first phase
to be implemented in 2010, the Labor cuts would raise the current $75,001
threshold to $80,000 while cutting the 40 per cent tax rate to 37 per cent. 'Aspirational'
goals for 2013 are to apply the 30 per cent rate to all with incomes between
$37,001 and $180,000 and cut the 45 per cent rate for those in the top bracket
from 45 to 40 per cent. In addition that ALP's plan will allow taxpayers to
claim half of their children's education costs in their 2008-2009 tax returns.
After Labor's announcement Mr Costello said that the Coalition would deliver
further tax cuts in five years. The threshold of $37,000 for the 15 per cent
tax rate would be lifted to $41,000; the top of the 30 per cent threshold
would rise from $80,000 to $90,000; and the top tax rate would be cut from 45
per cent to 42 per cent in 2010, then cut again to 40 per cent in 2012.
19 October 2007 - CPI figures: Crunch time for interest rates
InfoChoice.com.au
The chance of another interest rate rise before Christmas remains a
possibility, and hangs very much on the release of the September quarterly
inflation figures released this coming Wednesday. If the figure for underlying
inflation is like the one we got last quarter then we can expect the Reserve
Bank to lift official rates a quarter of a per cent two weeks later in early
November.
The RBA says it expects inflation to be on the up next year so any further
rise that sees the underlying rate nudge 3 per cent will worry it. We've
already had one rate rise in response to last quarter's CPI jump, and that is
still working its way through the system. But it's hard to see that has had a
great effect yet, given consumer confidence and retail spending remain
healthy.
The recent spike in the oil price is not likely to pose much of a threat to
inflation and interest rates if the experience of the last couple of years is
anything to go by. Western economies like Australia's are less oil-reliant
these days and much more competitive, preventing businesses from passing
through the costs of fuel to consumer products and services.
A 0.25 percentage point rate rise in November would add an extra $17 to
monthly loan repayments for every $100,000 in borrowings. This would not be a
good look in the housing market and among first homebuyers, already suffering
as home loan affordability falls to record lows. Higher interest rates and
enormous capital city house prices have seen the monthly repayment on the
average first-homebuyer loan rising another 4 per cent to $2600, or almost 32
per cent of income.
19 October 2007 - Less people able to save
Sydney Morning Herald
An ING Direct-Melbourne Institute survey of 1,200 households has found that
the proportion of families able to save has fallen from 54 per cent one year
ago to only 46 per cent. At the same time, the number of households that are
running into debt has gone from 4 per cent to 7 per cent. ING Direct
Spokesman, Michael Smolders, said "Higher interest rates, bigger mortgages,
record levels of credit card debt, larger grocery bills and the general rise
in the cost of living are affecting our inclination and capacity to save." The
survey found that the number of people willing to commit to saving for home
renovations was down to 14 per cent from 24 per cent while those who would
save toward a new home was down to 14 per cent from 17 per cent.
19 October 2007 - Pepper cuts product range
The Australian
Low doc mortgage provider Pepper Homeloans has adjusted to the tougher credit
conditions by dropping its lowest margin loan options and making it harder to
qualify for a loan. Pepper said that it will no longer offer its Xpress, Mega
Express, and 12 month discounted honeymoon rate loans, while at the same time
decrease the maximum loan-to-value ratio it would be willing to lend from 90
to 85 per cent. Pepper is the third largest low-doc lender after Liberty
Financial and Bluestone.
19 October 2007 - Affordability crisis getting worse
The Financial Review
Housing affordability has plunged to a new low according to the Housing
Industry Association-Commonwealth Bank's index which was down by 2.1 per cent
in the September quarter. Contributing to the result was an 11.4 per cent
increase in house prices as well as the August interest rate rise. First-home
buyers who are on the average national combined income of $98,000 now have to
commit 31.7 per cent of their income to service their mortgage, up 0.7
percentage points from the June quarter. For first-home buyers the typical
monthly loan repayment was up by 4 per cent or $100 over the quarter to
$2,606.
19 October 2007 - Credit card repayments increase
The Financial Review
The latest figures from the Reserve Bank of Australia show that more consumers
are trying to reduce their credit card debt with an average balance in August
of $2,999, down slightly from the previous month, but still 5.7 per cent
higher than a year ago. A record $18.1 billion was repaid onto our cards which
is $1.4 billion more than the same month last year. Still, total spending on
cards was over $18 billion making the total outstanding debt in August $41.1
billion.
19 October 2007 - Future grim for US economy
The Financial Review
Concerns about the state of the US economy have been reignited as the latest
data on their home loan market shows that there was a 10.2 per cent fall in
housing starts in September. This is not expected to improve any time soon as
building permits which give an indication of future activity were down by 7.3
per cent. Economists are concerned that the weak housing market and tougher
credit conditions will cause consumers carrying debt to spend less. The
current housing down-turn is the worst since the early 1990's.
19 October 2007 - Suncorp branch expansion to fight rivals
The Financial Review
Suncorp is aiming to grow and will expand its branch network in Queensland
over the next three years in response to new branches being opened by
competitors ANZ and BankWest. The changes will also mean trialling the
outsourcing of some back-office functions with some going to local financial
services vendor Perpetual, and others going overseas to India. However,
Suncorp chief, John Mulcahy, said that the new arrangements would not reduce
total staff numbers. "For every back-office job that is outsourced, we would
expect that our investment in our customer service network will allow us to
create one new customer-facing role, resulting in no net job losses over the
period," he said.
19 October 2007 - Land for auction on eBay
The Financial Review
In a first for Australia a developer has placed a lot on his estate up for
auction on eBay. The property in Melbourne's Point Cook was listed on the
online auction site on Tuesday and after 350 visits and six bids the price has
reached $350,000. The auction will close at midday today and a late flurry of
bidding is expected. A database of 500 bidders was created but there were
extensive identification requirements to qualify.
19 October 2007 - Finance companies stable but risks increasing
Sydney Morning Herald
While increased borrowing by consumers is helping to drive asset growth for
finance companies, the risk of losses due to bad debts is also on the way up.
A survey by KPMG has found that assets are growing at a rate of 7.1 per cent
and that profits are stable for the market sector. However the cost of bad and
doubtful debts is rising while profits on second-hand cars are decreasing. The
performance of the finance sector is driven by their link to the motor
industry with most lending money for consumers and businesses to purchase
cars, financing motor dealers' stock and providing fleet management services.
18 October 2007 - ASX to offer listed CFD's
The Financial Review
Contracts for Difference are expected to list on the Australian Stock Exchange
in early November. The ASX is expecting strong interest in the 66 that it
plans to offer initially, however established CFD providers say that they are
not concerned about losing their clients as they offer a much wider range of
options than will be available through the ASX. Around 3,500 people registered
for education seminars conducted by the ASX to promote the new product and of
those that completed feedback forms one quarter had already traded CFD's but
the majority had not. The ASX plans to use price to attract investors and has
said that the cost of their listed CFD's will be up to half that of an
unlisted CFD.
18 October 2007 - X Inc to expand through merger
The Australian
X Inc Finance will merge with the mortgage broking arm of the Ray White Group.
The combined entity will have a loan book worth $8 billion with 500 brokers
across the country writing around $600 million of new loans every month. A
public listing may be considered further down the track but is not planned yet
according to the chief of X Inc, Jennifer Neilsen. "I don't think it's a good
time for a mortgage broker to be talking about listing anyway," she said. The
group has a target of achieving a loan book totalling $30 billion in three
years and would contemplate listing then.
18 October 2007 - Lower dollar means higher petrol prices
The Australian
A 2 per cent fall in the value of the Australian dollar could means that
consumers will be hit by petrol price rises within the next two weeks. So far
we have been cushioned from increasing petrol price by the rising value of the
dollar, but recent falls could add 5 cents per litre or more to the price of
petrol. The price of crude oil was $US87.76 on the New York Mercantile
Exchange, down slightly from a record $US88.20 that was reached on Tuesday.
18 October 2007 - Shareholders want electronic voting
The Financial Review
The government has received many responses to a call for submissions to a
federal inquiry into shareholder engagement which will review voting, director
nominations and corporate governance practices. The Investment and Financial
Services Association, representing institutional shareholders, has said that
there should be an electronic voting system that can "provide a meaningful
audit trail so superannuation funds, investment managers and other appointed
proxies are able to confidently declare how they voted". Investor groups and
advisory firms are concerned that proxies are not always used and can be lost
so votes do not always truly represent the wishes of all shareholders.
18 October 2007 - Economy keeps growing strongly
The Financial Review
The Westpac Leading Index is predicting that the economy will grow strongly
over the next nine months. The Index reports that the economy expanded at an
annualised rate of 5.6 per cent in August compared with a long term average of
4.3 per cent. Driving the increased expansion rate is consumer spending,
business investment and strong employment growth. Figures released yesterday
show that we have more money than ever with private sector wealth up by 6.1
per cent in the June quarter, taking wealth per capita to $408,000, an
increase of $22,000 from the previous quarter. The Westpac Index has forecast
that underlying inflation for September will have grown by 0.9 per cent in
September which is widely thought to be sufficient to prompt the Reserve Bank
to increase interest rates.
18 October 2007 - No deductions for agricultural schemes
The Financial Review
The Australian Tax Office has reconfirmed its view that investments in
agricultural schemes are of a capital nature and therefore are not tax
deductible. The ATO said that the deductions were not possible as such
investments were paying for an income producing asset and the ruling will
apply after June 2008. The move is being challenged with industry body
Agricultural Investment Managers Australia submitting a proposed test case to
the ATO. The case would use an almond project that has been purposely built to
test common features of all managed investment schemes. Forestry schemes will
be able to continue as long as they meet certain conditions, however if the
ruling stands non-forestry schemes will be wound up before the end of the
financial year.
17 October 2007 - New chief says ANZ will evolve faster
The Australian
The new chief executive of the ANZ Bank, Mike Smith, has been in his job for
less than three weeks but it is already clear that he favours big bangs rather
than quiet, incremental change. Within the bank he has talked about the need
for a greater sense of urgency and more "edge". The main focus for the
immediate future will be delivering on Smith's vision for ANZ to become a
"super-regional" bank linking resource-rich Australia with its Asian
customers. He has also acknowledged a weakness in ANZ's wealth management
capabilities that needs to be addressed but is likely to not go as far as
adopting a full scale bancassurance model.
17 October 2007 - Care needed when choosing debentures
The Financial Review
The Australian Securities and Investments Commission has warned investors to
be cautious, particularly with risky, offshore products, after New Zealand
company Asset Finance advertised debenture rates of up to 12 per cent without
lodging a prospectus. The website that investors were directed to did contain
a New Zealand prospectus but it does not comply with our disclosure
requirements. ASIC executive director, Greg Tanzer, said "If you take up an
offer of securities from an overseas entity that has not complied with
Australian law or deal directly with an overseas broker, you may lose the
protections provided by Australian law". Asset Finance, which has 21 branches
in New Zealand, has said that it will not make any further offers that don't
comply with Australian law and did not raise any funds from the
advertisements.
17 October 2007 - Labor land release much like Coalition's
The Financial Review
The Labor leader Kevin Rudd has again been accused of stealing the Coalition's
policies after yesterday announcing that, if elected, Labor would release
surplus commonwealth owned land in an attempt to improve housing
affordability. Under the policy land releases would have to be carefully
managed so that it did not affect the value of properties in surrounding
suburbs. Mr Rudd said that the gaff made by Prime Minister John Howard on
Monday night, where he made an error in quoting the official cash rate, was
further evidence that Mr Howard was out of touch with ordinary home buyers. Mr
Howard hit back at Mr Rudd by saying that the Labor land release policy was
Treasurer Peter Costello's idea.
17 October 2007 - Now not the time to buy shares
The Financial Review
During the worst of the sharemarket correction in August, calls on margin
loans hit their highest point in six years. Most were able to make up any
shortfall in their position with cash but CommSec's general manager of
quantitative research, Ron Bewley, has warned that investors should think
carefully before using borrowed funds to bet on a sharemarket rebound. Mr
Bewley said that the Australian market, as measured by the S&P/ASX 200
Accumulation Index, is well into an exuberance bubble and investors who plunge
themselves into the market are likely to face another correction. CommSec's
volatility index showed its eighth consecutive positive return last week and
the exuberance measure stood above 6 per cent, a level which has previously
triggered corrections. "As far as its potential for another correction is
concerned, the market is now in a danger zone," said Mr Bewley. Investors
would be better off waiting for the correction to occur and buying stocks at
lower prices than can be had today so that they can benefit from the rally
that would follow.
17 October 2007 - Acquisition tax only applies to new deals
The Financial Review
The federal government has backed down on the timing of a change in the tax
treatment of corporate takeovers after experts warned that, if effective from
12 October, would have jeopardised up to $28 billion in merger and acquisition
deals. Listed companies and their advisers hit the government with a barrage
of calls saying that the unexpected capital gains tax bill would force them to
defer or shelve takeover bids. The timing adjustment means that the changes
will not be applied to companies that had made an announcement to the ASX, or
if unlisted had made a takeover bid, before 13 October.
17 October 2007 - Citigroup up front about credit problems
The Financial Review
The world's largest bank, Citigroup, has posted a 57 per cent fall in
quarterly profit. It also prompted concern that the worst of the US market
problems may not be over by saying that US consumer credit would "continue to
deteriorate" and that mortgage delinquencies accelerated in September. The
bank wrote off $US6.5 billion in losses on troubled loans and at the end of
September had $US57 billion of leveraged loans that it could not sell.
Analysts are concerned that while Citigroup has been open about its losses,
other have not, leaving investors to guess at how bad their problems could be.
16 October 2007 - Non-bank lenders say they are the cheapest
The Australian
While the big banks have been bragging about their relative insulation from
the effects of the global credit squeeze Challenger Financial, which funds a
range of home and commercial loans for non-bank lenders, has pointed out that
the figures from the Reserve Bank show that the non-bank sector has
"consistently" offered lower mortgage rates than the banks over the past 13
years. Challenger's chief executive, Mike Tilley, said that recently the banks
have simply disguised their rate rises by keeping their headline rates at the
same level but ceasing the practice of offering discounts for new loans. Mr
Tilley also said that the perception that non-bank lenders were riskier as
they concentrated on low doc loans was incorrect as, over the longer term,
loss rates on low doc loans were 0.039 of total advances compared with 0.045
for fully documented loans.
16 October 2007 - NAB holds line on rates
The Australian
The National Australia Bank has flagged its intention to win back market share
by not lifting its rates while some other banks and non-bank lenders have
increased theirs due to the global credit market turmoil. NAB's retail chief,
Andrew Thorburn, said "But I don't think we'll be doing it aggressively,
through discounting". However he did go on to say that he could not see
competition for home loans easing and that, over the next 3 to 5 years, we are
likely to see lenders accepting reduced margins in order to win business.
16 October 2007 - Booming economy may push up rates
The Australian
The mid-year budget update, brought forward from Christmas Eve to yesterday
for the election, shows that the government has $59 billion more to spend than
when the budget was announced in May. The booming job market sees income tax
receipts being $2 billion more than expected for 2007-08, and as a result
savings of over $1 billion in unemployment payments. Treasury has now forecast
growth over the financial year to be 4.25 per cent, up from 3.75 per cent, and
jobs growth to jump from 1.5 per cent to 2.25 per cent. All this good news
places further pressure on the Reserve Bank to raise interest rates sooner
rather than later, with the predicted 5.25 per cent growth in private demand
well above the "three-point-something" that the RBA governor has said is a
sustainable growth level.
16 October 2007 - Record trade volumes boost broker profits
Sydney Morning Herald
Quarterly earnings for online broker IWL have hit $10.2 million, more than
double the result for the same period last year. The profits bonanza has been
driven by a huge increase in trading due to the global liquidity crisis. Rival
CommSec, which plans to purchase IWL for $357 million, has also reported
record trade volumes, peaking on August 16 with 120,892 trades for the day
with a total value of $1.3 billion. A scheme of arrangement meeting will be
held in two week's time where 75 per cent of IWL's shareholders will need to
support the proposed sale to the Commonwealth.
16 October 2007 - PM pledges tax cuts for all
The Financial Review
The Prime Minister John Howard yesterday fired the first salvo of the election
campaign by promising to cut taxes by $34 billion over the next three years.
The cuts are designed so that every tax payer benefits and those on average
earnings would get an extra $20 per week from next June, increasing to $35 per
week by 2010. The top marginal tax rate would be eventually be reduced to 42
per cent while the tax-free threshold for low income earners will be increased
to $16,000. Implementation of the changes is being staggered to reduce the
impact of the cuts on inflation. Mr Howard also said that there was an "aspirational
goal" of cutting the top tax rate to 40 per cent and raising the tax-free
threshold to $20,000 by 2013, but these would be dependent on reforms
encouraging 65,000 people into the workforce by 2011.
16 October 2007 - Banks move to bolster credit markets
Reuters
Three of America's largest banks have announced a plan to build a fund that
can be used to ease credit shortages caused by the sell-off of billions of
dollars of bonds and other debt that is linked to sub-prime mortgages. US
Treasury officials have assisted in creating the fund which is expected total
$US80 billion but the government will not be committing any taxpayer funds.
However analysts believe that bailing out investment funds that have made bad
decisions will simply roll over the problems into a new structure.
16 October 2007 - PayPal moves into traditional credit card territory
The Financial Review
In a challenge to credit cards online payments company PayPal is expected to
launch a service sometime in the next few weeks that will allow Australian
customers to make payments for prepaid mobile accounts online. After
negotiations with Prepaid International, Paypal has been given access to many
high-traffic websites and the deal will allow prepaid customers of Optus,
Virgin, 3, Boost Mobile and Dodo to use PayPal to recharge their phone rather
than Visa or Mastercard. PayPal estimates that it currently has over 3 million
customers in Australia.
16 October 2007 - CBA performing well but shares fall
The Financial Review
In its first quarter update to investors the Commonwealth Bank has reported a
7 per cent increase in deposits and a 3 per cent rise in lending. A Deutsche
Bank analyst, Ross Brown, said that while the market gains had been evident
for most of the past year, the retail bank's revenue only increased by 4 per
cent in the second half. The implication being that "the financial benefits of
improved market share are yet to materialise" according to Mr Brown. CBA
shares touched a record high of $60.45 yesterday but fell to close at $59.38
as investors found few positive surprises that would support recent increases
in the bank's share price.
15 October 2007 - Sharemarket pushes higher but is it overheated?
The Australian
The Australian sharemarket is expected to move further into record territory
today following a strong session on Wall Street on Friday with the Dow Jones
index gaining 78 points to 14,093. Other factors that will affect local
markets this week are the announcement that a federal election will be held on
November 24 and a speech to the Economic Club of New York tonight by the
chairman of the US Federal Reserve Ben Bernanke. Some investors are becoming
concerned that the recent rally has caused our sharemarket to become
overheated. MFS Investment chief Guy Hutchings said that he believes that the
local market rally has run ahead of itself short term and may be vulnerable to
any pessimistic news flow in coming months.
15 October 2007 - Business will remain strong over next five years
The Australian
In its latest report economic forecaster BIS Shrapnel says that business
investment will remain at high levels for the next five years, driving growth
in employment, income and spending. However they have also warned that higher
interest rates would reduce the unprecedented level of investment in Australia
for a brief period next year. Total business investment is forecast to grow by
10 per cent in 2007-08 to total $168.8 billion, but then ease by 1 per cent in
2008-09. While BIS Shrapnel expects that there will be another rate rise,
possibly in the March quarter, there could be rate cuts in 2009.
15 October 2007 - Absolute Capital future uncertain
The Financial Review
In financial accounts lodged with the Australian Securities and Investments
Commission, fund manager Absolute Capital has said that it has concerns about
its ability to continue if an attempt to restructure its flagship credit fund
failed. The $200 million Absolute Capital Yield Strategies Fund reported an 11
per cent loss in the June quarter. The firm is confident however that credit
markets had picked up and that plans to restructure the fund would be approved
by clients. A meeting has been scheduled for late November where clients will
be asked to approve changes to the fund's constitution that will be in the
interests of those that wish to withdraw and those who wish to continue their
investment.
15 October 2007 - ING Direct broadens horizons
The Financial Review
Online bank ING Direct is planning to expand its product range to offer full
service direct banking. In the pipeline are a mortgage insurance product, a
transaction account slated for next year, and mutual funds some time after
2008. However the bank does not plan to follow the lead of BankWest which is
expanding its branch network to drive growth. ING chief executive Eric Drok
said "I see banks opening branches on weekends, but if you make banking simple
with easy products, why is there the need to use a branch?" The bank may also
use a third party to provide its customers with ATM access.
15 October 2007 - Another low-doc fraud conviction
The Financial Review
A Newcastle broker has been found convicted on two counts of fraud for
arranging a low-doc mortgage for an unemployed woman. The application for the
loan stated that the woman was an accountant and consultant who earned
$101,000 per year. The broker worked for Global Home Loans which received
$1,876 in commission and a percentage of that went to the broker, Mark
Shalimov, who is a director of the parent company, Future Management Group.
The conviction follows a similar case earlier this month where a borrower was
paid $30,000 in compensation after a broker was found to have engaged in
misleading and unconscionable conduct for lodging loan applications with false
information.
12 October 2007 - Jobs high may bring rate rise nearer
Infochoice.com.au
The news of unemployment slipping to a new 32-year low is further good news
for the economy and John Howard, but not so good for borrowers for whom it may
portend another hike in their home loan interest rate. Unemployment fell to
4.2 per cent as jobs increased by another 13,000 in September. The jobs market
continues to defy gravity with the participation rate going up and up in
recent years, yet jobs being created for just about all of them.
This can only increase the chances of a further rise in interest rates,
perhaps bringing it forward from next year to this year. If the inflation
figures for the September quarter out later this month weren't crucial already
to the question of a November rate rise they certainly are now. Anything close
to a 1 per cent rise in the CPI for the last quarter is likely to force the
hand of the RBA, even in an election campaign. That would turn the
government's good economic news into a liability.
But a Melbourne Cup Day rate rise is no sure thing. The economy has shown
itself pretty resistant to inflation pressures so far. And the RBA will also
currently be trying to gauge the impact on the economy of tightened credit
conditions from the US sub-prime lending shock, which have worked like a rate
rise for some businesses and home borrowers.
Housing finance approvals rose 1.6 per cent in August, largely on the back of
refinancings and purchases of existing homes. Approvals for loans to buy new
dwellings fell marginally and is in keeping with the flat housing construction
market.
The owner-occupier segment appears fairly healthy, excluding NSW, but a 4.5
per cent drop in the value of fixed loans, mainly the preserve of investors,
is further evidence of one important driver of the housing market
underperforming. Investors are certainly not crazy about property at the
moment, the reality check from the last investment boom still fresh for some
and the superannuation changes making this the retirement investment of choice
for many now.
With high employment and immigration, the shortage of new housing stock is
only getting worse, and the outlook for rents is only up.
12 October 2007 - Aussie Dollar hits new 23 year high
smh.com.au
The Australian dollar has breached another 23 year high in overnight trading
touching 90.61 US cents, surpassing the previous high of 90.50 US cents
reached in June 1984; however the dollar still has some way to go before
passing its highest level post the 1983 currency float of 96.68 US cents set
in March 1984. At the close of the overnight session the currency had lost
some momentum and finished lower at 90.07 US cents.
12 October 2007 - Jobless rate falls to 33 year low
news.com.au
The good news on unemployment with the national jobless rate falling to 4.2
per cent is tinged, with a bitter twist for Australian borrowers as the news
will place pressure on the central bank to increase rates at either the
November or December meetings. Male unemployment has dropped below 4 per cent
to 3.8 per cent whilst female unemployment remains slightly higher at 4.7 per
cent. Economists fear the strength in employment markets will ultimately
deliver significant wage acceleration and coupled with continued strength in
consumer spending, an inflation cocktail is likely to be starting to brew with
many tipping December as the most likely month for an increase noting the RBA
will not meet in January.
12 October 2007 - Bank Of Queensland profits up 22 per cent
smh.com.au
Bank of Queensland has beat expectations reporting a 22 per cent increase in
profits and expressing confidence that the bank will see off the global credit
crunch by forecasting earnings growth of 10-12 per cent in the current year.
The bank reported a headline profit of $129.8 million which included a one off
after tax profit of $29.1 million from the sale of the banks credit card
business to Citigroup. The bank reported 27 per cent growth in loans under
management, 31 per cent growth in housing lending activity, whilst the bank
also reported strong growth of 33 per cent in deposit accounts.
12 October 2007 - Bank Of Queensland acquisitions to assist further
growth
Sydney Morning Herald
Despite being jilted by Bendigo Bank in June, the bank is focused on growth by
acquisition with a number of Building Societies set to become part of the
bank, subject to shareholder approval. Bank of Queensland purchased Pioneer
Permanent Building Society last year for around $50 million and will soon add
Home Building Society ($600 million) and Mackay Permanent Building Society
($55 million).
12 October 2007 - ATO appoints debt collection agents
The Sheet
The Australian Tax Office (ATO) has appointed four debt collection agencies to
assist in collecting delinquent tax debts. The four agencies appointed are
D&B, Baycorp Collection Services, National Credit Management and Recoveries
Corporation Group. The Australian National Audit Office estimated a compound
growth rate of 19 per cent in the level of collectable tax debt. The ATO told
a parliamentary committee last month that the rate of growth of collectable
debt slowed in the 2007 financial year.
11 October 2007 - Branch banking leaps into 21st century
The Daily Telegraph
BankWest is not the only one giving branch banking a make-over with the
Commonwealth Bank's Rouse Hill branch offering its customers free internet and
phones for banking. Apart from tellers staff are located on the floor rather
than behind a counter. NAB is also moving to a more open plan design for its
branches and initiatives such as child play areas have been trialled in some
branches for the past year. Westpac said that its branches too are changing to
a less formal layout in recognition that customers now usually only visit a
branch to discuss major financial transactions such as a home loan or seeking
financial advice. Some banks in the US and UK even sell their own brand of
coffee or offer exercise classes after hours.
11 October 2007 - Record numbers back out of home loans
Sydney Morning Herald
A record $2 billion worth of home loan applications were cancelled in August
as the rate rise and concerns about the effects of turmoil in global credit
markets grew. Around 8,500 borrowers decided not proceed with their loan
despite having it approved and borrowers with a further $35 billion in loans
did not make up their minds within the month to use their loan, an increase of
29 per cent over August last year. Total home lending was down 0.3 per cent in
the month and the number of wholesale loans, mostly issued through non-bank
lenders, was down 8.5 per cent to 7,194. In contrast, loans issued by banks
were up by 2.2 per cent to 51,115.
11 October 2007 - Consumers wary of further rate increases
The Financial Review
Despite recovering from an 8.1 per cent fall in August after the Reserve Bank
increased interest rates, the Westpac-Melbourne Institute index of consumer
sentiment showed a 0.3 per cent fall in October. A Westpac economist said that
increasing rents, food prices and finance costs have all conspired to ensure
that interest rates remain foremost in people's minds. Markets now put the
chance of another rate increase in November at 45 per cent and December at 71
per cent. Key to the RBA's decision will be the September-quarter inflation
figures, due out on 24 October and expected to be strong.
11 October 2007 - Sydney still priciest but others catching up
The Australian
Sydney remains Australia's least affordable city but prices in Melbourne,
Brisbane and Adelaide are all shooting up quickly with increases of 18.9, 18.6
and 16.7 per cent respectively expected this year. Values have increased more
slowly in Sydney since an 'affordability crunch' in late 2003 and the same
situation occurred in Perth late in 2006. To become as unaffordable as Sydney
however, other capital cities would require a further 15 to 20 per cent
increase in their house prices.
11 October 2007 - Westpac reckons RAMS offer is a good deal
The Financial Review
Westpac's chief executive David Morgan has said that without its offer to
purchase RAMS the lender would have had to shut down. "I think [RAMS chairman]
John Kinghorn was very open and honest when he put to shareholders the Westpac
proposition and was very open and honest by saying the alternative was that
the doors would close - so measured against that reality this is a very good
deal for [RAMS] shareholders," he said. Mr Morgan said that it was unlikely
that a rival bidder would emerge and that by paying a fair price for the
distribution system as well as giving RAMS access to ongoing funding the
bank's offer was compelling for shareholders who will have to vote on the
deal.
11 October 2007 - Sharemarket climbs higher and higher
Brisbane Times
The local sharemarket is continuing to post new records with the ASX200 up
60.5 points to 6738.3, beating Tuesday's 6677.82. The All Ordinaries index was
56.9 points higher, closing at 6744.6. Resource and bank stocks were again the
big winners with BHP Billiton recording the largest gain of $1.02 to $45.50.
In bank stocks the Commonwealth was up 92 cents to $58.80, NAB gained 29 cents
to $41.80 and St George hit a new high of $37.91 after putting on 89 cents.
Prices for the proposed merger partners of Bendigo Bank and Adelaide Bank were
both up too, by 9 cents and 11 cents respectively.
10 October 2007 - World growth forecasts ease
The Financial Review
The International Monetary Fund has cut its economic growth forecasts for
2008. The projection of world growth of 5.2 per cent made in late July has
been reduced to 4.8 per cent and its forecast for US growth has shrunk from
2.8 per cent to 1.9 per cent. Growth forecasts from Standard and Poor's put
world economy expansion at 3.6 per cent in 2007 and 3.5 per cent in 2008 but
US economic growth at only 2 per cent in both years.
10 October 2007 - Sharemarket achieves new record
The Financial Review
The sharemarket continued to climb yesterday with the All Ordinaries up 20.5
points to hit a new record of 6687.7 and the S&P Index up 23.5 points to
6677.8, also a record. Financial institutions dominated the list of those that
grew the most with NAB up 67 cents to $41.51 and Westpac adding 39 cents to a
new record for its share price of $29.71.
10 October 2007 - Aussie gets personal
The Australian
Aussie home Loans has expanded its assault on the major banks by launching new
personal and car loans and said that other products will follow. The non-bank
lender already offers credit cards and insurance, as well as its traditional
mortgage products. Aussie founder John Symond said that the new loans were
being introduced as he believes these loan sectors are currently
under-serviced. Rates on used car loans will be between 8.29 and 9.99 per
cent, while general purpose personal loan rates will range from 10.99 to 12.99
per cent, pricing which is as much as 2 or 3 per cent less than the major
banks. The lender hopes that its brand awareness and lower rates will help it
to grab 2 or 3 per cent market share in the first year.
10 October 2007 - Borrowers get more support from MFAA members
The Australian
The Mortgage and Finance Association of Australia has amended its code of
practice to provide more support for home loan borrowers that are having
difficulty meeting their repayments. The new provisions mean that member
organisations must now consider varying the terms of repayment once they
become aware that a borrower is in financial difficulty. Members can suspend
action to recover repayments and choose whether to delay the recording of a
default against the borrower until a resolution has been determined. The MFAA
represents over 13,000 mortgage brokers, bank and non-bank lenders, mortgage
managers and originators. Non-bank lenders, mortgage managers and brokers
write around 100,000 loans per year, or 55 per cent of the total market.
10 October 2007 - Bankruptcy rate climbs
The Financial Review
A new record may be achieved for bankruptcies this financial year with 8,001
people becoming insolvent in the three months to September. The figures which
include bankruptcies and debt agreements are 5 per cent higher than for the
same time last year. Increasing numbers of people are applying to access their
superannuation early on grounds of "financial hardship" but the Consumer
Credit Legal Centre has warned that this is only a temporary solution and is
likely to result in worse financial problems at a later stage. A financial
counsellor at Credit Line said that some people are using their credit cards
to pay mortgages that were larger than the value of their property and that
some financial institutions were issuing credit cards with limits up to
$30,000. Last financial year nearly 32,000 people became insolvent.
10 October 2007 - BankWest branch revolution
The Financial Review
BankWest opened two branches in Sydney yesterday, the first of its planned 160
branch east coast expansion. The new branches, one in Parramatta and the other
in Mount Druitt, offer a radically different banking experience with the focus
on creating a relaxed environment where people want to spend time. As well as
coffee, internet access, financial books, plasma TV screens, and toys for the
kids, the branches have adopted a unique layout for staff service areas.
Tellers sit in 'pods' and 'kiosks' rather than behind bullet-proof glass with
security concerns addressed by cash deposits being transferred away from the
service area and only small amounts of cash being able to be dispensed for
each transaction. The branches will provide full teller service seven days a
week and will be open late on Thursdays. BankWest expects to open 40 to 50 of
the new style branches before the end of 2008.
9 October 2007 - Aussie dollar should stay strong
The Australian
The Australian dollar his risen to a 23 year record of US90.3 cents and it is
expected to remain high as the movement has been driven by long-term
investors. Investors are taking advantage of the wider differential between
Australian and US interest rates that have existed since the credit squeeze
began in August but short-term speculative flows have been below the levels
seen in the year before. The spread between the two currencies is at 175 basis
points but this is expected to widen if an expected 25 basis point rise takes
the official Australian cash rate to 6.75 per cent and another cut in the US
takes their rate to 4.5 per cent.
9 October 2007 - Higher dollar means more travel
The Financial Review
Many Australians are using the high value of our dollar compared with other
currencies to take more overseas holidays. The number of Australia tourists in
India was up by 48 per cent in August and those visiting Thailand and France
were up by more than 43 per cent. The total number of people taking overseas
holidays rose by 13 per cent in August while the inbound tourist market was
only up by 5.7 per cent. Australians appear to be recovering from the shock of
the Bali bombings with an increase in the number of people heading to Kuta or
Ubud increasing by 60 per cent in August from a year ago.
9 October 2007 - Origin sale put on hold
The Australian
The ANZ Bank has decided not to sell its Origin Mortgage Management Services
for now. Origin has a total loan book of $7 billion and provides third-party
branded home loans to 25 Australian mortgage managers as well as five in New
Zealand. The bank said that it had decided not to sell as volatility in the
credit markets would mean that an obtaining an acceptable price is unlikely.
Market sources said that any offer above $200 million would have been a good
price for the business.
9 October 2007 - Mortgage sales plummet
The Financial Review
Mortgage sales fell sharply in September, with a 21.2 per cent reduction from
August levels. The AFG Mortgage Index reports that the number of mortgage
sales down from 9,412 to 7,412 and the total value dropping from $3.03 billion
to $2.44 billion. This was a much larger fall than the 8.5 per cent recorded
in the last two Septembers. AFG general manager of sales and operations, Mark
Hewitt, said "There's no doubt that concerns about global debt markets and the
unknown potential impact of sub-prime difficulties is making property buyers
hold off".
9 October 2007 - Property inspections automated
The Financial Review
Automated valuations (AVMs) only account for 1 to 2 per cent of Australia's
mortgage valuations but this could increase to between 10 and 15 per cent
within the next four years according to Australian Property Monitors. However
valuers are concerned by the change saying that there are aspects of a
property that can be overlooked without a physical inspection such as
condition, planning issues or contamination. Lenders frequently use AVMs as an
initial quick check and don't see the need for inspections particularly for
specific areas, or when the borrower is low risk or has a low loan-to value
ratio.
9 October 2007 - ASX taken to court over cancelled trades
Herald Sun
The ASX is being sued for close to $1 million for cancelling 337 trades on the
Sydney Futures Exchange on 25 July. The compensation is being sought by six
applicants but others may join the action and push the total value of the
claim to between $35 million and $40 million. The claimants say that some of
the losses were incurred as single trades were cancelled that were part of a
pair of trades that had been designed to work together. Stronger than
anticipated consumer price index figures had been released and the trades in
bank bill and three-year bond contracts were cancelled as their pricing fell
outside the ASX's safety boundaries. The ASX is working with brokers to ensure
that they understand the trading rules and has raised the thresholds for
intervention.
8 October 2007 - Credit funding taps turned back on
The Australian
Although RAMS $300 million and Liberty Financial's $225 million securitisation
deals were priced higher than they could have been before the credit crunch,
they give cause for optimism according to Bluestone's chief executive Alistair
Jeffrey. "But (credit) spreads have been atypically low for the past few years
due to the massive weight of capital in the global system pushing prices down
to historical lows, so all we are seeing now is a cyclical reversion to more
normal levels," he said. "But even at current levels, it still leaves us with
a wholly sustainable and viable business model." The RAMS deal was priced at a
53 point premium over the 30-day bill rate and the Liberty bonds were issued
at a 55 point premium. Bluestone intends to seek funding for $300 to $500
million before the end of this year.
8 October 2007 - Internet banking hits new high
The Australian
More people than ever are using the internet to conduct their banking, with a
record 31 per cent of all bank customers choosing the internet in the June
quarter. The latest figures from MISC Australia show that there were an extra
90,000 users in the quarter, an increase of 1.4 per cent which off-set a 1.3
per cent decline in the March quarter. Customers grew their deposit balances
and opened new accounts to take advantage of the opportunity to put up to $1
million into their superannuation funds before lower caps were introduced on 1
July. Transfers between accounts were up 2.2 per cent with a total of 1.5
million extra transfers.
8 October 2007 - Banking jobs squeezed by credit shortage
Sydney Morning Herald
The global credit squeeze has led to a reduction in the number of jobs being
advertised in the banking and financial services sector. According to the
Olivier Internet Job Index, banking jobs were down 10.5 per cent in September
and financial services job ads were down 4.27 per cent. The largest fall was
in retail banking and mortgage lending jobs which dropped 11 per cent in the
month, while investment banking and corporate finance job advertisements fell
9 per cent. The index showed that overall job ads were up by 3.25 per cent
seasonally adjusted.
8 October 2007 - ANZ reviews Gunns mill funding
The Financial Review
The ANZ Bank is reviewing whether or not it can finance the Gunns' $2 billion
pulp mill. The bank adopted the Equator Principles in late 2006 which requires
environmental and social factors to be considered when evaluating projects.
Gunns has been a customer of the ANZ since 1995 but in a statement on Friday
the bank said that it was still reviewing the project. "The review is testing
the technical aspects of the mill's design and its overall feasibility with
reference to engineering specifications, design plans and other supporting
information," it said. The review will also look at the adequacy of the
company's plans for managing social and environmental risks. Gunns said that
while they believe that ANZ is supportive of the mill they could seek funding
elsewhere if necessary.
8 October 2007 - RBA consents to low-doc securities
The Financial Review
The Reserve Bank of Australia has announced that it will accept securities
which include a portion of low-doc residential mortgages as it tries to
improve liquidity in credit markets. For the first time the bank will be able
to buy securities that have a low-doc component of more than 10 per cent, but
at a significant margin of 10 per cent. The RBA retains its preference for
AAA-rated full doc residential mortgages but has recognised that low-doc loans
are now a common feature of the market.
8 October 2007 - Online fraud set to increase
The Financial Review
The introduction of credit cards which use chips and PINs could result in an
increase in online fraud according to the chief executive of Retail Decisions,
Carl Clump. Mr Clump predicts that with the opportunities for traditional
fraud drying up, scammers will turn to phone and internet purchases where the
card and customer are not sighted. While no official figures are available it
is believed that this type of fraud accounted for $23.8 million in losses in
2006. In Europe, which has already moved to chip-and_PIN cards, the incidence
of online fraud increased has by 40 per cent over the past year. Retail
Decisions issued 17 million pre-paid gift cards last year and has now expanded
into provision of fraud detection and analysis services for online
transactions.
5 October 2007 - Rates on hold as RBA weighs risks
InfoChoice.com.au
Interest rates have been kept steady by the Reserve Bank at its October board
meeting. Despite a buoyant economy to which the RBA says inflation is the
greatest risk, the bank is awaiting the next quarterly inflation figures out
later this month for a proper assessment of any need to raise interest rates
further.
It will also likely be mindful that the August rate rise is yet to fully
impact on the economy and also want to make sure the fallout from the
sub-prime mortgage crisis in the US doesn't hit economic activity.
In any case, the sub-prime fiasco has seen a de facto rate rise for much of
the economy already as banks lend more cautiously, credit becomes harder to
get and rates rise in response. Home loan borrowers have so far been spared
this de facto rate rise in most cases, given the highly competitive nature of
the home lending market.
As to the indicators that might tell us where inflation might be heading, the
data over the past week does not change the picture much. Consumer confidence
and spending are high while the housing market remains flat. Retail trade rose
0.7 per cent in August continuing a solid trend averaging about 0.6 per cent a
month this year.
Building approvals fell 1.7 per cent in seasonally adjusted terms in August,
seemingly defying predictions that housing construction would pick up in the
second half of this year due to low unemployment and high immigration. The
overall trend estimate has been modestly on the rise over the past couple of
months and the national figure continues to be dragged down by NSW, where
housing affordability remains grim.
A 0.9 per cent rise in house approvals was offset by another decline in
apartment approvals, this time 3.1 per cent. It's no wonder rents are soaring
in many areas, with apartment investment not yet responding greatly to a
shortage of rental stock.
5 October 2007 - NAB CEO succession wide open
The Australian
The man that most thought would be next to lead the National Australia Bank
has ruled out running for the top job. Michael Ullmer joined the bank at the
same time as current CEO John Stewart and has spent the last 10 years making a
series of career moves to position himself for an opportunity to run one of
the big four banks. However, when a series of reshuffles of senior positions
were announced yesterday, Mr Ullmer took on a new position of deputy CEO while
saying that it would be difficult to do his new job properly if people thought
that he had the inside running to be come the bank's new CEO. The other
leading contender to replace Mr Stewart was thought to be Ahmed Fahour but one
industry observer said that Mr Fahour still has a way to go to improve the
Australian operations and that the reshuffle had created a new group of
contenders from those newly promoted.
5 October 2007 - BankWest turns to a Hero
The Australian
BankWest is continuing its attack on the established banks by creating a new
transaction account aimed at people who have smaller account balances. The
BankWest Hero account will pay 5 per cent per year for balances up to $5,000
which is 500 times more interest than is paid on transaction accounts by any
of the big four banks. The bank's retail chief, Ian Corfield, said "We want to
make sure that we're giving customers a great deal. That means we're going to
be looking across the full product range and trying to make sure that we have
got products that really put us into consumer's minds." Mr Corfield said that
the uptake of the high interest rate Regular Saver account was 200 per cent
ahead of target.
5 October 2007 - Small business failures overstated
The Australian
New small businesses may not fail as quickly as is commonly believed. Credit
reference agency Veda Advantage has released figures which show that only 1.5
per cent of businesses close within their first year. Instead it is the second
to fifth years that are most difficult, accounting for 32 per cent of business
exits. The report says that challenges diminish after the fifth year and that
good cash flow management and properly managed credit systems are critical to
fail-proof a business.
5 October 2007 - House approvals lag demand
The Financial Review
Renters and first-home buyers will continue to find the going tough as housing
approvals declined by 1.7 per cent in August and are down 0.1 per cent on a
year ago. There is estimated to be a shortfall of around 15,000 new homes each
year compared with demand. There has been no real sustained recovery in the
construction rate since September 2003 according to the Housing Industry
Association. New housing required this year has been estimated at 182,000 but
the annual completion rate is likely to be 142,000, suggesting that the market
will only get tighter.
5 October 2007 - Homeloans looks for future growth
The Financial Review
Mortgage manager Homeloans has said that it plans to continue to look for
expansion opportunities over the coming year. Challenger Financial paid $45
million for a 40 per cent stake in the company earlier this year and in its
annual report yesterday Homeloans said that it would use the capital to play a
part in any upcoming industry consolidation. The lender increased its total
mortgages under management by 27 per cent to $4.9 billion in 2006-07.
5 October 2007 - IPO's back on the cards
The Financial Review
A strong recovery by the local sharemarket will see investment banks revive a
number of public floats that had previously been shelved. $5.3 billion has
already been raised through floats this year compared with $5.9 billion in
2006. With the exception of Westpac's $800 million float of 45 per cent of BT
Financial, NIB's $500 million listing in November, and the $200 million IPO of
Storm Financial, the other 34 companies expected to list would be seeking to
raise less than $15 million. Companies and their analysts believe that
investors are prepared to back proven offerings but with an increased level of
caution.
4 October 2007 - RAMS shares slashed after Westpac offer
Sydney Morning Herald
Shares in non-bank lender RAMS closed at 48 cents yesterday, a drop of 18
cents or 27 per cent. Investors abandoned the stock as they realised the full
impact of the Westpac "rescue" deal in which the bank paid $140 million for
the RAMS franchise business and distribution network. A Merrill Lynch analyst,
Andrew Lyons, valued the Westpac offer at 40 cents a share but believes that
it is worth 65 cents a share. He said that the remaining RAMS loan business,
which sees the lender with a $14.5 billion loan book in "run-off" mode, is
worth around 55 cents a share or $231 million, and that a counter-bid is not
out of the question. However this is complicated by the other two parts of the
offer in which Westpac will provide $500 million to enable RAMS brokers to
continue trading between 15 November and January next year when the deal is
completed, and provision of $1.5 billion towards refinancing $6 billion of the
lender's funding. RAMS executives have said that without Westpac's assistance
they faced closing their doors to new business.
4 October 2007 - Online deposits booming
The Australian
Online deposit balances grew from $6.9 billion to $8.8 billion in the year to
June, an increase of 27 per cent, according to data from research company MISC
Australia. The number of online accounts grew 6 per cent to now total 25.7
million. The stronger than usual growth was helped by a record level of
voluntary contributions into superannuation funds of $22.4 billion, exceeding
the level of employer contributions for the first time. Total deposit
balances, including traditional offline accounts, dropped by $1 billion in the
June quarter compared with a $3 billion increase in the previous quarter.
4 October 2007 - November rate rise more likely
The Financial Review
Speculation of a rate rise in November has intensified with imports growing by
5.5 per cent in August, pushing the trade deficit for the month to $1.6.1
billion. Another indicator of the strong growth in the economy is an increase
in Retail turnover of a higher than expected 0.7 per cent increase in August,
contributing to an annual growth of 7.8 per cent. Sales of household goods
were up by 2.4 per cent for the month, while food sales were up by 1 per cent.
Financial markets now put the chance of a rate rise at the next RBA meeting at
37 per cent, but a rise in February is considered a 92 per cent probability
and an increase by May is considered certain.
4 October 2007 - ATO to crack down on non-lodgement
The Financial Review
The Australian Tax Office may be given increased powers to impose financial
penalties on people who fail to lodge income tax returns. The
inspector-general of taxation, David Vos, is expected to announce
investigations next week that his office will undertake over the coming year
and one area is expected to be the handling of non-lodging taxpayers. Tax
agents have asked the inspector-general to look at the "many millions" of
outstanding returns that have accumulated over the past few years as they are
frustrated that, as the ATO has not been consistent in its prosecution of
non-lodging taxpayers, tax agents have a hard time convincing clients to come
in to do their returns. While the ATO has the power to impose penalties, many
low-risk taxpayers may not know about the penalties or believe that the tax
office will not pursue them. The ATO sent out 1.75 million letters to
taxpayers in 2005-06 chasing up 2.2 million overdue activity statements and
436,000 overdue income tax and fringe benefits tax return.
4 October 2007 - Broker pays compensation for misleading applications
The Australian
The courts have ordered a mortgage broker to pay $31,000 in compensation to a
20-year-old unemployed, dyslexic and homeless man that the broker had written
a $360,000 home loan for. The federal court found that in approving the loan
ACT Mortgages had engaged in "misleading and deceptive" conduct and
"unconscionable conduct". The Australian Investment and Securities Commission
alleged that the man had received an inheritance before the loans were written
and that two loan applications had been completed with "substantially false"
information about the income and assets of the borrower.
3 October 2007 - RBA leaves rates unchanged
InfoChoice.com.au
As was widely tipped, the Reserve Bank of Australia has decided to leave the
official cash rate unchanged at 6.50% at its October meeting.
3 October 2007 - Shareholders not a priority for directors
Daily Telegraph
A survey of Australian company directors conducted by the University of
Melbourne has found that only 44 per cent think that their shareholders are
more important than other stakeholders. In contrast, in the US 80 per cent of
companies put their shareholders first. The study also found that increasing
the share price of the company was top priority for only a minority of local
directors and most would be likely to cut the dividend to shareholders if
company finances went down.
3 October 2007 - Westpac moves to franchising model
The Australian
Westpac has indicated that it will use yesterday's purchase of the RAMS
network of 92 branches to convert some of its branches to franchises. Westpac
chief executive David Morgan said that the bank would bring RAMS under its
umbrella in the first quarter of next year however it was not possible to say
how long it would be before the first branch converted to a franchise. "But
with this (acquisition) it will happen a lot quicker," he said. Dr Morgan said
that a franchising business model had appeal for high-productivity sales
people and that the opportunity would definitely be offered to Westpac staff.
3 October 2007 - Adelaide house prices growing fastest
The Australian
The national average house price is now $437,234, an increase of almost 10 per
cent in the past year despite rising interest rates. Figures from RP Data show
that the biggest increase of 17.2 per cent was in Adelaide although it still
has the country's most affordable homes with a median price of $348,850.
Brisbane prices have also grown strongly, the average value increasing by 17.2
per cent to $400,004. Prices were up by 16 per cent in Darwin, 11.81 per cent
in Canberra, 11.36 per cent in Melbourne, and 7.99 per cent in Perth. Sydney
remains the most expensive city with a median price of $504,934 but recorded
the slowest growth rate of 4.1 per cent.
3 October 2007 - Mortgage brokers to account for half of new loans
The Australian
Around 40 per cent of all new home loans are originated through brokers
according to market analysts Datamonitor. They have predicted that this will
increase to 50 per cent within the next three years as consolidation and
regulation make the broking industry less volatile and relationships with
lenders stabilise. The mortgage market has grown from $13.2 billion in 1986 to
$235.6 billion last year.
3 October 2007 - New record for sharemarket
The Financial Review
The local sharemarket has hit another record as investors believe that the
worst of the global credit market crisis might be over. Record highs for
stocks including Westpac and Commonwealth Bank helped drive the S&P/ASX 200 to
6659.9, 4 per cent higher than the previous peak in mid-July. The 90 day bank
bill rate was 6.86 per cent yesterday, well down from the 7.11 per cent
reached in mid-September, but analysts have cautioned that an easing of credit
liquidity problems does not necessarily mean that there won't be a global
economic slowdown.
3 October 2007 - Bank collapse could leave depositors vulnerable
Sydney Morning Herald
Australia does not have deposit guarantee insurance like that used in Europe
and the US, but instead have first claim over a failed bank's assets. The
banks argue that the cost of deposit insurance would have to be passed on to
consumers and that, as about 50 per cent of Australian bank assets are in the
form of deposits, the current arrangement means that a bank would have to lose
half of its assets before depositors lost any money. A group of financial
regulators has recommended that the government establish a fund administered
by APRA that would allow immediate payments of up to $20,000 to depositors.
Any additional funds could be claimed and the initial payment reimbursed when
the bank's assets were sold. Only one small bank has collapsed in Australia in
the last century and even then depositors only lost $1 in every $100.
2 October 2007 - Westpac cherry-picks at RAMS
Sydney Morning Herald
The RAMS mystery buyer has been revealed as Westpac, however the bank is only
purchasing the non-bank lender's franchise distribution business and not ASX
listed RAMS Home Loans Group nor its existing mortgage book. The move will
separate the distribution business from the funding arm so RAMS will remain a
listed entity which will continue to service existing loans and new business
settled up until 15 November 2007. Westpac has paid $140 million for the RAMS
brand, franchise network, mortgage origination and servicing systems and will
also help to resolve some of the financing issues that had troubled the
lender. On the release of the news RAMS shares dropped by 8 per cent.
2 October 2007 - Aussie dollar heading higher
The Australian
As the US dollar weakens the Australian dollar has reached an 18 year high of
89.2 cents. Despite the public holiday in some states yesterday, vigorous
overseas trading pushed the currency higher. The former chairman of the
Federal Reserve, Alan Greenspan, has warned that the US economy could slip
into recession so investors are looking for a safe haven. Most currency
analysts believe that the currency is close to being overvalued but there are
some who believe that we could achieve parity with the US dollar.
2 October 2007 - ANZ to lift interest rates
The Financial Review
The new chief executive of the ANZ Bank has warned that the global credit
turmoil could last for years and that Australian consumers will bare the brunt
of higher rates. The bank will lift credit card and personal loan rates by
between 10 and 25 basis points this week. "We have held off as long as
possible, but sustained high funding costs associated with the global
liquidity squeeze mean we have no choice but to move," said an ANZ spokesman.
Funding from the wholesale market and 30-day bill rate has risen 20 to 30
basis points above normal which is costing the bank $15 to $20 million each
month.
2 October 2007 - RAMS finds support
The Financial Review
A leading financial institution has taken a strategic stake in embattled
non-bank lender RAMS. It is not yet clear who the buyer is but rumours were
circulating last week that NAB was interested although ANZ and Westpac are
believed to have considered buying a stake in RAMS previously. If it is a
major bank then this would help to boost confidence among large international
buyers of mortgage-backed securities which RAMS needs to maintain funding for
its loans.
2 October 2007 - ANZ leads institutional lending
The Financial Review
ANZ has jumped two places to become our most aggressive lender to big business
after participating in 20 issues worth $US10.9 billion in the first three
quarters of this year and capturing 16.1 per cent of the market. The bank's
institutional division generates around 35 per cent of ANZ's revenue. Westpac
was ranked second with $US10.533 billion of loans from 23 issues and NAB was
in third place with a total of $7.639 billion. Business lending six month
annualised growth to August at 24 per cent, well ahead of personal loan growth
of 18 per cent and housing loans growth of 14 per cent.
2 October 2007 - Residential property still a favourite
The Financial Review
The residential property market has been tipped to grow over the next six
months by nearly three-quarters of the 846 property investors, lenders and
advisers who responded to a survey by Ashe Morgan Winthrop. Over half of the
respondents said that they would prefer to invest in residential property than
office, industrial or retail and 71 per cent believe that there will be
another interest rate rise within six months. 87.2 per cent said that there is
a housing affordability crisis in Australia and 32.1 per cent said that
reducing taxes and levies would be the most effective way of addressing the
problem.
2 October 2007 - Business could pay $10 billion for energy target
The Financial Review
The federal government has estimated that its clean energy target of around 15
per cent will cost industry between $8 billion and $10 billion until 2020.
Modelling conducted by the government has shown that the cost of its target
would be $7.9 billion if implemented on top of an emissions trading scheme but
could be as high as $10 billion if there was no trading scheme. Emissions
trading is set to be introduced in 2011 so the clean energy target will
co-exist with a direct cost on carbon for only part of the scheme's lifetime.
Research from the renewable energy industry shows that higher clean energy
targets will lower the cost of reducing emissions as they would force industry
to invest in energy efficient sources sooner instead of experiencing shock
when emissions trading is eventually introduced.
28 November 2007 - Higher rates equal lower satisfaction for lenders
The Australian
As non-bank lenders are forced to pass on higher costs of funding their customer
satisfaction ratings have fallen. A survey conducted by Nielsen found that the
only non-bank lender to escape unscathed was Wizard Home Loans. The highest
rating of the big four banks also suffered with ANZ losing 4.1 points to score a
satisfaction rating of 69.8 per cent. The fall means that St George Bank, which
only lost 0.5 per cent, now sits on the top of the table with a score of 72.6
per cent.
28 November 2007 - Regionals give big banks a run for their money
The Australian
While mergers and acquisitions have seen the number of regional banks in
Australia fall, a report by KPMG has found that they remain a very competitive
force. The combined profits for regional banks over the past year are up 14 per
cent to $2.65 billion, compared with a total increase of 10.6 per cent for the
major banks. Asset growth for the regionals was 17.9 per cent, just behind the
increase achieved by the majors. KPMG partner Martin McGrath said that while the
regionals would be keen to build their distribution and scale they were not
looking to become major banks, instead retaining their points of difference from
the majors.
28 November 2007 - Aussie sub-prime delinquencies down
The Australian
Defaults on loans in the Australian sub-prime mortgage market have dropped to
their lowest level since December 2005. A report by Fitch Ratings says that 30
plus delinquencies fell from 1.48 per cent to 1.15 per cent in the September
quarter. Low doc loan delinquencies were also down, falling from 4.54 per cent
in the June quarter to 4.05 per cent in the latest quarter. However the agency
warned that delinquencies are usually lowest between May and October and the
combined effects of Christmas and recent rate rises could see arrears increase
early next year, although from a very low base.
28 November 2007 - Credit cards a leading cause of bankruptcy
The Financial Review
Credit cards were to blame for only 11 per cent of bankruptcies seven years ago
but are now to blame for 27 per cent according to figures from the Insolvency
and Trustee Service of Australia. Over the 2006-07 financial year there were a
total of 31,964 bankruptcies, debt or insolvency agreements. The number is a 17
per cent increase on a year before and was driven by increases of 26 per cent in
NSW and 22 per cent in Victoria.
28 November 2007 - Anxiety over US economy
The Financial Review
Investors will be watching economic data out of the US very closely this week as
some economists believe that credit conditions will continue to tighten,
increasing the chances that the world's largest economy will slip into recession
next year. Head of equities at Challenger Financial Services, Peter Greentree,
said that markets would remain volatile as the possibility of a soft landing in
the US looks less clear cut. "The [Australian] market has initially focused on
the actual losses arising from sub-prime but now it's beginning to focus on the
real issues, which are more one of credit creation and the over-geared US
consumer and the flow-on effect to corporate revenue," he said. Wall Street
stocks are down 10 per cent from their peak in early October.
28 November 2007 - Absolutely the end
The Financial Review
Australian hedge fund manager Absolute Capital has appointed receivers with its
key income generating fund suspended. The Absolute Capital Yield Strategies Fund
stopped withdrawals after reporting an 11 per cent loss in the September
quarter. Absolute is 50 per cent owned by ABN Amro and has around $410 million
in funds under management. A source told the Financial Review that ABN Amro
would have nothing to gain by propping up the fund manager and that management
rights to any credit funds may simply be transferred to ABN Amro.
27 November 2007 - Big dollars beckon Costello
News.com.au
Recruitment specialists have estimated that former Treasurer Peter Costello
could earn as much as $10 million per annum in the private sector. Mr Costello,
who has decided not to run for leader of the Liberal party following their
defeat at Saturday's federal election, says that he is "looking to build a
career post-politics in the commercial world". Prospective employers would be
able to draw on his knowledge of the global economy, his international network
and an ability to deal with big strategic issues in the framework of a large
organisation.
27 November 2007 - RAMS says yes to Westpac
Sydney Morning Herald
RAMS shareholders have voted overwhelmingly in favour of selling the brand and
distribution network to Westpac. Chairman and founder John Kinghorn said that of
all the resolutions passed yesterday the saddest of all was the one authorising
the change of name to RHG Group. Mr Kinghorn is still hopeful that that the
company will be able to secure financing from global credit markets for $6
billion of the remaining $14 billion loan book but also warned that it was
conceivable that global credit markets could be closed forever.
27 November 2007 - ASIC worried about director's liability
The Financial Review
The Australian Securities and Investments Commission has said that the extent of
personal liability for company directors could be hindering boards in their
decision making. ASIC's chairman Tony D'Aloisio said that there was concern that
"able and experienced women and men are shying away from the listed environment
because of higher liability risks". A partner at Minter Ellison, Bruce Cowley,
said that there was evidence of experienced people turning away from
directorships due to the liability involved. Mr D'Aloisio said that ASIC
recognised that it may be time to review the area of personal liability, however
court cases against individual directors such as HIH and OneTel, were in the
public interest.
27 November 2007 - Shares help boost super savings
The Financial Review
Superannuation funds have generated an average 1.15 per cent return for
investors in October with the three year rolling average now at 14.4 per cent.
Australian shares contributed most to the result with a 2.63 per cent gain in
the month. For the balanced option eight of the top ten performers were industry
funds according to SuperRatings.
27 November 2007 - Housing needs its own ministry
News.com.au
With Australia's Prime Minister-elect Kevin Rudd due to announce his ministry on
Thursday, the Real Estate Institute of Australia has called for a new ministry
dedicated to housing to be created. The president of the REIA, Noel Dyett, said
that with housing affordability now firmly on the national agenda a Commonwealth
housing minister would be able to coordinate a policy response across all levels
of government. Mr Dyett said that data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics
showed that between 2003 and 2006 44.5 per cent of first home buyers had to
spend more than 30 per cent of their income on housing costs. "Housing is a
necessity, not a luxury," he said.
26 November 2007 - Financial services sector keen for reforms
Financial Review
The incoming Labor government is expected to launch a Wallis-style inquiry into
the financial sector. Senator Nick Sherry has been Labor's spokesman on
financial services and superannuation and is expected to be the minister
responsible for such an inquiry. Prime Minister-elect Kevin Rudd has promised
that red tape will be cut on financial products, withholding tax will be reduced
for foreign investors and that Australia will become a regional financial
services and investment hub. The plans have been welcomed by the ANZ Bank which
has aspirations to become a major player in the region. "There is a need for the
new government to have a fresh look at reform to help create a more competitive,
outwardly focused economy - one that is more open and engaged with the region,"
said ANZ's chief executive Mike Smith. Senator Sherry said that they would also
look at whether or not the Australian Securities and Investments Commission and
the Australian Prudential Regulatory Authority should be merged.
26 November 2007 - More losses expected in US sub-prime sector
Sydney Morning Herald
The global credit crunch has further to run as more losses are expected in the
US sub-prime sector and liquidity dries up. A report by analysts in New York and
London has warned that $US150 billion of sub-prime mortgages will be reset to
higher interest rates over the next 18 months, noting that Standard & Poors has
estimated that total losses in the sector could run as high as 14 per cent. More
downgrades of residential-backed mortgage securities are expected on top of the
8,000 ratings actions that were taken in the 190 days from May 1.
26 November 2007 - Labor faces building inflation risk
The Australian
The chief of Treasury, Ken Henry, flew to Brisbane yesterday to meet with the
incoming federal treasurer, Wayne Swan. Economists believe that Dr Henry will
have to tell the new government that inflation pressures are greater than was
known in the last economic forecast. The most recent forecast was issued before
the September consumer price index was known and had predicted that inflation
would remain at 2.75 per cent this year and next. Chief economist at HSBC, John
Edwards, said yesterday that building construction would be stronger than
expected next year and treasury's forecast for economic growth of 3.5 per cent
could be conservative.
26 November 2007 - Result leaves property industry with mixed feelings
Financial Review
The property industry is pleased that the new Labor government has a strong
focus on housing affordability but is concerned that its IR policies could hurt
the industry. The chief executive of the Property Council, Peter Verwer, said
that the attention that Kevin Rudd had paid to affordability and infrastructure
had struck a chord. He also welcomed Labor's fund that will be used to retrofit
buildings make them more green friendly. However Mr Verwer warned that Labor
governments have a tendency to create more red tape around building and planning
and also argued for funding to the controversial Australian Building and
Construction Commission to be continued until 2010 and beyond.
26 November 2007 - Securitiser assets crunched
Financial Review
Total assets of Australian securitisers have fallen for the first time in 12
years. Figures from the Australian Bureau of Statistics show that total
securitised assets at the end of September were $272.4 billion, down by $1.5
billion from the June quarter. Securitisers found it hard to issue debt
securities as trading around the world almost completely shut down due to
concerns about sub-prime mortgage losses. "The slowing of debt issuance and fall
in liabilities is an expected consequence of events in foreign sub-prime
mortgage markets, which have decreased demand for bonds backed by mortgages,"
the ABS said.
23 November 2007 - Labor v Coalition: The real story on interest rates
Infochoice.com.au
Given the great number of Australians currently struggling under heavy mortgage
burdens, the election campaign has done little justice to a group whose votes
will be so important in determining the election outcome. You could be forgiven
for thinking otherwise but the outlook for home loan interest rates is very
similar no matter who wins government this weekend. Coalition or Labor, budget
surpluses and broad economic management will be very similar.
The die is cast on inflation. The Reserve Bank's latest quarterly monetary
policy statement shows it sees a challenge on its hands to keep it in check.
That means we can expect to see interest rates more likely to go up in early
2008 than stay at current levels. Another 0.25 per cent rise early next year is
likely with a similar rise in mid-year also a possibility.
The Howard government has sought to scare the electorate into thinking that
Labor can't be trusted on the economy. It's raised the spectre of the 17 per
cent mortgage rates that prevailed in 1989 under the Hawke-Keating government to
suggest Australians might expect an interest rate blow-out under a Rudd
government. This is highly unlikely for reasons outlined below. Interest rates
may well go up in 2008, but will do so regardless of who's in power and won't
reach double figures.
By the same token, Labor's protestations over the six interest rate rises we
have seen over the last three years are somewhat hollow - it is likely they
would have come to pass if Labor had been in power too, perhaps give or take one
of the six rises. Labor may claim that they would have been less extravagant
with tax-cuts and handouts in the last three years. But if that is the case it's
likely they would have spent most of the massive surpluses in other areas. The
pressure on interest rates from the Federal Budget would have been more or less
the same.
A look at the spending promises of the Coalition and Labor for the next three
years suggests not much will change. Both have shown the temptation to make the
most of the current budgetary windfall and spend up big, confining the surplus
to around 1 per cent of GDP.
The true perspective lost in this election campaign is that ever since the early
90s recession, mainstream political parties around the Western world - no matter
whether they lean to the right or the left - have converged in the area of
economic management. Australia is no different. The one great lesson learned
from the economically unstable decades of the 1970s and 1980s is that inflation
must be contained. It is priority number one.
The last recession, for all its pain, gave the developed world the chance to
wipe the slate clean and start afresh. To a large extent, governments and their
central banks have been successful in containing inflation over the fifteen
years since, no matter which side has been in power.
The 90s and the Noughties could scarcely be more different to the 70s and 80s.
It is absurd - and an example of lowest common denominator politics - for our
current leaders to be arguing over who had the highest interest rates in those
decades, which bear little relevance to today. The debate has done no justice to
today's borrowers under financial pressure who deserve an honest appraisal of
the economic alternatives offered by both parties. And these differences largely
don't stretch to interest rates.
It is almost heresy to some in the political arena to say, but Governments have
less control over the economy and interest rates than ever before - a lot less
than the parties would have us believe. The biggest and most welcome reform the
last 15 years has brought us - Australia and most OECD countries alike - is the
taking of monetary policy out of the hands of politicians and giving it to
independent central bankers. Add in the wholesale deregulation of financial
markets and the globalisation of he world economy and the result is we are
hinged to the fortunes of our OECD partners like never before - and there is
little our politicians can do about it.
Governments can still wreck economies if they're irresponsible enough, but the
stark inflation lesson makes this much less likely. It would be improbable that
any government would be allowed by its central bank and Treasury department to
embark on a course of profligate spending and massive Budget deficits we saw in
past decades. There will be recessions and budget deficits again no doubt, but
they are unlikely to be any one government's doing.
Whoever you vote for on Saturday, bear this in mind and don't be fooled by the
interest rate hype our politicians would have us accept.
23 November 2007 - CBA warns that its rates will rise
Sydney Morning Herald
The Commonwealth Bank has warned that higher mortgage rates are on the way as it
will not be able to continue to absorb the higher cost of funding loans. The
bank said that it will have to lift its home loan rates more than the Reserve
Bank's 0.25 per cent increase in the official cash rate. While the CBA is
Australia's largest deposit taking institution it has to turn to international
money markets to fund some of its mortgage book. NAB has previously flagged its
intention to increase mortgage rates but political sensitivities may be causing
the banks to wait until after the election to make any move. If CBA and NAB lift
their rates it is likely that ANZ and Westpac will follow.
23 November 2007 - Bluestone says volumes will drop
Sydney Morning Herald
Mortgage lender Bluestone has said that its business could be down by up to 40
per cent next year as funding for subprime mortgages becomes harder to obtain.
The chief executive of Bluestone, Alistair Jeffery, told financial services
newsletter The Sheet yesterday that any future funding would be a private
placement rather than launching a deal and having investors line up. "We will
give our people a budget and make sure they work with the brokers to get a
prudent mix of business to get the appropriate return. We expect volume to be
down 30 or 40 per cent," he said.
23 November 2007 - November has been bad for stockmarket
The Financial Review
Concerns about the health of the US economy, and particularly the damage caused
by the subprime mortgage crisis there, has caused the S&P/ASX 200 to shed 6.2
per cent since the beginning of November, the largest monthly fall since
September 2001. The rally that started in mid-August saw the local market climb
20 per cent before this month, mostly on the back of resource stocks and
recovering prices for bank shares. The director of Zurich Investments said that
there is a prevailing feeling of pessimism in markets and that US economic
issues were unlikely to be resolved before the second quarter of next year.
23 November 2007 - Aussies waste time at work
The Financial Review
An international study has found that Australians waste more work days each year
than every country except Portugal. The study by Proudfoot Consulting estimated
that Australian employees wasted an average of 45 days of working time in both
2005 and 2006 with an annual cost of around $78 billion. It is not the workers
that are to blame though, the wasted time is due to employees attending to
administrative tasks that do not add value and by work being delayed by a lack
of appropriate IT systems. The news is not all bad as the survey also found that
Australia is ranked behind only France for highest labour productivity.
23 November 2007 - Building costs to push even higher
The Financial Review
There seems to be no end in sight for rising construction costs as demand
continues to surge despite ongoing shortages of labour and equipment. A survey
conducted by the Australian Industry Group-Australian Constructors Association
reports that the value of construction projects is expected to be up by over 10
per cent this year, and will hit $82 billion next year which is double the level
of five years ago. Of the companies surveyed over 79 per cent said that they
were either busy or very busy while employment in the sector is up by 7.2 per
cent for the year to July. An analyst at BIS Shrapnel has warned that increased
spending by the government on infrastructure was adding to skills shortages and
growing costs.
23 November 2007 - Another investment company goes down
The Financial Review
The Australian Securities and Investments Commission has wound up Caveat Finance
on the grounds of insolvency. Caveat had offered investors returns of 24 per
cent per annum and owes $3.7 million to debenture holders. ASIC has said that
there was a serious risk that the money would not be repaid to debenture holders
and that the company had breached the Corporations Act by issuing debentures
without entering into a trust deed or appointing a trustee. ASIC urged investors
to ensure that they understand the risks involved with debentures and that they
are not the same as a fixed term deposit with a bank.
22 November 2007 - Big banks fail business customers
Sydney Morning Herald
Customer service provided by the four major banks has been rated poorly by their
business clients in a survey conducted by East & Partners. Regional banks such
as Bank of Queensland, Suncorp and Bendigo Bank performed best, each achieving a
score of 6.54 out of a possible 10 points. St George Bank also performed well
with a score of 6.05, while NAB led the four major banks on 5.61. ANZ and
Westpac both scored 5.07 while the Commonwealth bank came last on just 4.14.
22 November 2007 - Borrowers unsure about reverse mortgages
The Australian
An inquiry conducted by the Australian Securities and Investments Commission has
found that many people who take out a reverse mortgage do not really understand
how the loan works and have trouble budgeting with such a large sum of money.
The executive director of consumer protection at ASIC, Greg Tanzer, said that
many people surveyed did not know how much the loan was going to cost them over
time and more than half did not know what would happen if a loan condition was
breached. A number of borrowers had found it difficult to resist the easy access
to credit, and a few were already regretting how quickly they had spent the
money and what they had spent it on. Members of the Mortgage and Finance
Association already have guidelines which are designed to protect consumers and
ensure they act appropriately when selling reverse mortgages.
22 November 2007 - Consumer spending to drive economy
The Financial Review
Consumer spending is forecast to accelerate over the next year with the
Westpac-Melbourne Institute leading index increasing by 5.8 per cent in
September, well ahead of its long term growth rate of 4.3 per cent. The index
assesses the likely rate of economic growth over the next three to nine months
and the September result suggests that growth could exceed Treasury growth
forecasts for this year and next of 4.5 per cent. The result is supported by new
car sales for the year to October up 8.9 per cent on the same period last year.
22 November 2007 - ASX to gain competitors
The Financial Review
The Australian Stock Exchange will be exposed to competition, but not until the
Australian Securities and Investments Commission has had time to consider the
impact of rivals. Two operators have already applied for permission to begin
trading. One is the AXE electronic communications network which would focus on
institutional "crossings", usually block trades where one broker matches both
the buy and sell sides of a transaction so they occur off-market. The other
applicant is Liquidnet which would allow fund managers to trade directly with
each other. ASIC said that the different operators would need to co-operate with
each other on matters such as the regulatory burden and when trading in a listed
company is suspended by the ASX.
22 November 2007 - OECD warns of US recession
The Financial Review
The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development has warned that the
problems seen in global financial markets over the last few months may have been
just a taste of a more protracted correction. "As adjustments have often
occurred in waves, and as higher funding costs take typically several months to
have their full impact on companies or consumers, it may well be that the recent
correction is only a precursor of a more protracted downturn," said the OECD's
latest financial markets report. The report also says that most forecasters have
revised their estimates downwards and a recession in the US is now seen as more
likely than before by some observers. The report was finalised on November 11,
before concerns about large US banks such as Citigroup came to light.
22 November 2007 - Outlook gets tougher for RAMS
Sydney Morning Herald
More troubled times ahead for non-bank lender RAMS as it struggles to obtain
refinancing for $6 billion of the loan book it has been left to manage after
selling the brand to Westpac. The embattled home lender has until February 11 to
find ongoing funding for almost half of its loans. The group has said that it is
hopeful of refinancing half of the amount which is believed to refer to $2.7
billion of assets that are backed by NAB, while a further $3 billion is thought
to be currently provided as stand-by facilities by ABN AMRO. If the February
deadline is not met RAMS has warned that it will lose most or even all of the
income generated by those loans.
21 November 2007 - IBM expects major bank IT upgrades
The Financial Review
Australian banks may soon replace their ageing core computer systems according
to the head of IBM's consulting division, Ian Ball. So far they have been
reluctant to upgrade their software, which in many cases dates back to the
1970's, but the need to cut costs and improve productivity could see that
change. "A lot of the banks are looking at this area, and I would imagine in the
next six months we're actually going to see some pretty significant activity,"
said Mr Ball. Most banks have a back-office processing system that is the core
of their technology and these could cost hundreds of millions of dollars to
replace and it would be difficult to unravel other interwoven systems while
continuing to service customers.
21 November 2007 - Market jitters as US concerns grow
Sydney Morning Herald
Concerns that US banks have more sub-prime losses to report, and about the
health of the US economy generally, have seen falls on both Wall Street and the
local sharemarket. Yesterday's fall in the US was triggered by a Goldman Sachs
analyst saying that Citigroup may increase total write-downs to $US15 billion.
The Australian sharemarket was then hit as our commodity driven economy becomes
less appealing to investors when impacts from the US economy cause Chinese
economic growth to slow. The Aussie dollar was down to US88.46 cents at the
close of business yesterday and the All Ordinaries index fell 1.7 per cent to an
eight week low.
21 November 2007 - Bumper times for small business
The Financial Review
Trading conditions for small businesses are improving and profits are already at
record levels. An index generated by surveying 1,800 companies by the Australian
Chamber of Commerce and Industry reached 58.7 points in the September quarter,
far ahead of the long term average of 54.8 points. The survey found that sales
and profits have been increasing and that the outlook is for further
improvements over the last three months of the year.
21 November 2007 - Fed up with big fees
News.com.au
A survey conducted by news.com.au reports that of the 1,366 people interviewed
44 per cent had been hit by overdraft or dishonour fees on their transaction
account. 64 per cent of the people who had been charged fees said they wanted to
close their account while around half had asked for the fees to be refunded.
Some said that enough is enough with one in ten people charged fees closing
their account while a further 11 per cent simply stopped using the account.
21 November 2007 - Labor to simplify financial documents
The Financial Review
The Labor party has announced a plan to cut red tape on life insurance and other
financial services. Industry experts say that the cost of explanatory documents
under the current system mean that obtaining financial advice has become too
expensive for many Australians with a basic financial plan costing up to $8,000.
Labor's superannuation spokesperson, Nick Sherry, said that if elected they
would introduce a standard 2 or 3 page standard document for each financial
product. "We are not talking about deregulation, but effective regulation," he
said. Senator Sherry also said that the four pillars policy, which prevents the
country's largest banks from merging, would not be reviewed.
21 November 2007 - Westpac puts super online
Sydney Morning Herald
Westpac has come up with a new product that allows customers to easily move
money between superannuation and an online bank account. The new Super for Life
product combines savings, transition-to-retirement and retirement accounts in
one and the balance can be viewed by the investor alongside their regular bank
accounts. Westpac charges no dealer commission so has been able to reduce
management fees to 0.99 per cent each year plus a flat $5 per month
administration fee. Time will tell if the fund delivers on performance, but it
has already been awarded 2007-08 Best New Product by SuperRatings.
20 November 2007 - E-processing saves time and costs
The Australian
New electronic home loan document lodgement systems have saved an estimated $10
million and halved processing times in 2006 according to the Lending Industry
XML Initiative. LIXI has said that its members, who include banks, credit
unions, brokers, mortgage aggregators and insurers, valuers, solicitors and
settlement agents, currently take 70 per cent of their applications
electronically and expect this to move to 100 per cent in 2008. While the aim is
for straight-through processing and electronic handling from application to
conveyancing the group estimates that it will be another 10 years before land
registry and financial settlement can be done online.
20 November 2007 - Banks want switching to be simpler
The Financial Review
The Australian Payments Clearing Association has issued a discussion paper on
reforms that would make it easier for consumers to switch bank accounts. The
changes would mean that when an account is moved from one financial institution
to another, any direct credit and debit transactions would be automatically
moved to the new account. The suggestion has received support from the
Australian Bankers Association and a range of banks, with only the Commonwealth
Bank backing the current system. Research has found that one of the reasons
people decide not to switch accounts is concern over the time required to move
direct credit and debit arrangements, but the CBA says a trial it conducted
recently to notify users of new account details had received little interest.
20 November 2007 - BoQ pulls out of Mackay but still wants Home
The Financial Review
The Bank of Queensland has decided not to proceed with its bid for Mackay
Permanent Building Society. The $53.2 million offer had been recommended by
Mackay Permanent's board until Wide Bay Australia increased it's counter-offer
to $68 million on Monday, with a shareholder vote on the competing offers only
days away. BoQ's managing director, David Liddy, said that the bank takes a
disciplined approach to acquisition activity and that it could see no benefit in
increasing the offer further. A BoQ offer of $600 million for West Australian
based Home Building Society has the recommendation of Home's board.
20 November 2007 - Higher fuel prices heading your way
The Financial Review
The latest figures show that imports were up by 1.5 per cent in October
seasonally adjusted, contributing to an annual growth rate of 3.4 per cent,
driven by strong business investment and consumer demand. The Australian dollar
is now around US89 cents, down from its highs of US92 cents which, along with
higher oil prices, means that consumers should brace for petrol price rises of
around 5 cents per litre in the next few weeks. The average household monthly
fuel bill is now $185 compared with $170 in August, adding to the effects of two
interest rate rises. Economists believe that while households may cut back on
discretionary spending business investment is unlikely to be slowed by the
weaker dollar.
20 November 2007 - Businesses burnt by electricity prices
The Financial Review
Some businesses could see their electricity bill increase by more than five
times the rate of inflation over the next year. Wholesale electricity prices are
being pushed up by the drought which has reduced hydro generation, but is also
impacting coal-fired power stations which require water to operate. Four hot
days have already pushed Victoria's electricity prices to the maximum cap of
$10,000 MW/h and the national Electricity Market Management Company's maximum
demand forecast has been exceeded. Some businesses are avoiding negotiating 2 or
3 year contracts and opting for shorter 1 year terms in the hope that market
conditions improve.
20 November 2007 - CBA hits car insurance
Sydney Morning Herald
The Commonwealth Bank, already Australia's largest life insurer and fifth
largest home insurer, is now taking on the established motor vehicle insurers
such as NRMA and AAMI. The bank will use its CommInsure brand to underwrite its
own car policies which were previously issued through Allianz. Motor insurance
is the most common type of personal insurance, accounting for 40 per cent of the
market segment. Commonwealth will rely on cross-selling of the insurance to
customers through its branch network rather than expensive advertising activity.
19 November 2007 - Liberty still looking to list
The Australian
Non-bank lender Liberty Financial is considering a public listing in 2008 but
says that there is no urgency. The company's managing director Sherman Ma says
"We have continuously looked at options. This year again we looked at another
option... but we never made a decision to list". Despite the instability in
global credit markets Liberty secured $925 million in funding, although at
higher rates which have in part been passed on to customers.
19 November 2007 - Costello ridicules financial services plan
The Financial Review
The federal Treasurer Peter Costello has rubbished the Labor Party's plans to
turn Australia into an international fund manager by reducing withholding tax on
distributions for non-residents to 15 per cent. The policy was announced in May
but last week Labor leader Kevin Rudd suggested that Western Australia could
turn to funds management once the resources boom was over. Mr Rudd gave an
example where expertise in Perth to manage retirement funds coming out of China
could be used for investments in Latin America. Mr Costello said that the plan
was one of the silliest ideas that he had heard in a long time to which Mr Rudd
responded by urging Mr Costello to have a bit of vision for what can be done
with Australia's financial services sector.
19 November 2007 - Generation Z alert to marketing
The Financial Review
A key consumer group over the next few decades will be generation Z, or those
born since 1995 so currently 12 years old or younger. According to research
company McCrindle Research, the childhoods of generation Z are less innocent
than previous generations, creating an outlook that is more attuned to marketing
tricks and hooks. A combination of wealthier parents and fewer siblings means
that they have more material goods and will receive significant inheritances
when their parents die. Generation Z will be entering the workforce when more
people are retiring than starting and in just 10 years from now generation Z
will make up 10 per cent of the workforce.
19 November 2007 - RAMS to be reborn under Westpac
Herald Sun
With Westpac preparing a relaunch of the RAMS Home Loans brand the bank has put
in place funding worth $500 million so that franchisees can continue to write
new business. From last Thursday any new loans written by the lender are the
responsibility of Westpac and all 53 franchisees, who operate the 92 RAMS
branches, have signed up for the re-launch plan. The franchisees will continue
to work with the existing management team and will operate as a stand-alone
business within Westpac from early next year.
19 November 2007 - Card switching can catch up with you
The Financial Review
Credit card issuers have become more wary of "rate tarts" who shift card
balances around to take advantage of introductory low rate offers according to
Infochoice's general manager, Denis Orrock. He warns that while consumers may
get three or four chances to switch cards companies will start rejecting
applications. Card issuers can access credit history files to see if there is a
pattern of applying for a card every six months and may decide that you are not
the type of customer they want if rate-tart activity is identified. Mr Orrock
said that he expects card companies will introduce balance transfer fees where a
percentage of the transferred amount is charged to cover costs and discourage
card churn.
19 November 2007 - US not out of the woods yet
The Financial Review
The US economy continues to struggle with the latest figures showing that
industrial output was down by 0.5 per cent in October, the first fall since May.
An economist for the Manufacturers Alliance/MAPI, Cliff Waldman, said "The
broad-based decline in manufacturing output during the month of October
indicates that the growing risks to both US and global growth are materially
impacting US factory performance". The stockmarket was down after the figures
were released as economists had expected industrial production to creep up by
0.1 per cent.
16 November 2007 - Seventh rate rise in the pipeline
Infochoice.com.au
Borrowers may well face a further interest rate rise in the early part of 2008,
that is the most likely scenario arising out of the Reserve Bank's quarterly
assessment of the economy this week - and fresh indicators underlining the
buoyancy of the economy.
Core inflation is already nudging 3 per cent, the upper limit of the target band
set for it, and the RBA sees it rising to 3.25 per cent in 2008, it says in its
monetary policy statement. That in itself suggests the finger remains on the
rates trigger as it tries to keep inflation within target over the medium term.
The RBA does expect inflation to fall back below 3 per cent over the next two
years anyway, but says - when balancing the risks - "it is also possible at this
stage of a long economic expansion that inflation will be more difficult to
contain". This means it is leaning towards higher rates because it doesn't want
that risk - keeping inflation in check is priority number one.
Significantly, the RBA statement says that it has discounted to some extent the
factors that could retard growth in the economy and help contain inflation -
namely the sub-prime-inspired instability in global credit markets raising
concerns about a US recession, and the two-decade high in the Australian
currency against the US dollar, which works to reduce import prices. Global
market conditions are now more settled and the impact of the high dollar more
muted than one might expect, the statement says.
The latest Wage Cost Index for the September quarter shows wages growth of 1 per
cent for an annual rate of 4.2 per cent. This means wages growth remains
stronger than average but is not accelerating and, most importantly, is not
hitting the RBA's speed limit of 4.5 per cent. Wages continue to stay remarkably
contained in the face of strong growth and inflationary pressures brought on by
skills shortages. This is good news for borrowers. Interest rates may be
uncomfortably high, but they could well be higher were it not for the more
efficient labour market we have these days.
But inflation is bubbling up in the economy for other reasons, that much we
know, and other indicators out his week underscore the fact. The Melbourne
Institute index of inflationary expectations suggests consumers are anticipating
headline inflation of 4.4 per cent. To some degree, these expectations are
self-fulfilling. Consumer confidence has fallen in the aftermath of the November
rate rise - but only 4.2 per cent, much lower than after previous increases. It
remains 10 percentage points above the long term average, so consumers seem set
to keep spending.
This is all grist for the mill in the chances of a further interest rate rise.
It won't happen in December as some have been saying, but could well be in
February if the next CPI figures out in January continue the upward trend.
16 November 2007 - Ex-ANZ manager runs for board
The Australian
A former employee of ANZ is running for a position on the bank's board. Robert
Reeves was made redundant by the bank in 2003 and says he believes that the bank
needs to improve its governance practices to avoid "costly events" like his own
legal settlement. "Based on my employment experiences with ANZ, I believe ANZ's
governance practices and accountabilities need to be vastly improved," he said.
"I believe the (legal) action and subsequent settlement was avoidable and has
cost the ANZ in both monetary terms and reputation." The board of ANZ has said
that it does not endorse the election of Mr Reeves at its annual meeting in
Perth on December 18.
16 November 2007 - Virtual credit for online shoppers
Sydney Morning Herald
A new method has been created for online payments so that credit card and bank
account details do not need to be used. Consumers can buy a VCard virtual
voucher with credit of up to $1,000 which can then be used instead of a credit
card wherever Visa is accepted. The VCards can be purchased from retailers in a
similar way to purchasing pre-paid mobile phone credit and cost $5.50 for each
voucher. Each VCard comes with a Visa card number, expiry date and three digit
security code. Market research firm Forrester earlier this year estimated that
7.2 million Australians shop online and this is expected to increase by 22 per
cent each year until 2010.
16 November 2007 - Temporary fall for margin loans
The Financial Review
Margin loan balances dropped slightly from $36.2 billion in the June quarter to
$35.9 billion in the September quarter as investors pulled out of a volatile
equities market. However it is expected that this is only temporary with the
head of margin lending at St George Bank, Andrew Black, saying that investors
are not closing down but simply taking some profits and getting ready to go back
in again. According to Mr Black the average investor gearing ratio fell to 39
per cent from 42 per cent but the demand for loans has rebounded this month as
the equities market recovers. Margin calls hit a three year high in September
with an average of 104 made each day out of 193,000 accounts.
16 November 2007 - Average wage up nearly 5 per cent
The Financial Review
The latest official figures show that average weekly earnings increased by 1 per
cent in the three months to August and are up by 4.9 per cent from a year ago.
The result is higher than expected as the labour price index only yesterday
suggested that growth was at a moderate 4 per cent. A further sign of a tight
labour market is a 33 per cent fall in the number of people unemployed for a
year or more to hit 53,100. The Australian Bureau of Statistics reports that
average full time adult earnings were at $1,102 a week for the three months to
August.
16 November 2007 - Inflation fears cut card spending
The Financial Review
In a survey conducted by the Melbourne Institute only 13.4 per cent of
respondents said that they think that inflation will drop to within the Reserve
Bank's target band of 2 to 3 per cent. With the Reserve Bank this week
forecasting inflation to be at 3 per cent or above over the next year it seems
that consumers are becoming more cautious. The average credit card balance in
September dropped by $6 to $2,993, still 5.5 per cent above last year but the
rate of growth is the slowest in the past two years. Credit card cash advances
are down by 8.7 per cent over the year and repayments have increased by 4.3 per
cent.
16 November 2007 - St George rakes in the capital
Sydney Morning Herald
Investors have expressed confidence in St George Bank which raised $766 million
in capital yesterday. The bank issued 21.9 million shares yesterday which were
sold at $35 each which was an 8 per cent discount from the closing price on
Wednesday and the new stock will go live on the ASX on November 26. The issue
was heavily over-subscribed and the bank could have raised $1 billion but would
not comment on whether any further raisings were planned. St George's retail
shareholders will have a chance early next year to subscribe to another $400
million of stock.
15 November 2007 - Wage growth remains steady
The Australian
The chance of a rate rise in December has receded somewhat following the release
of the latest wage growth figures. Early indicators had suggested that labour
supply constraints were driving a faster rate of growth, but an official growth
rate of 4.2 per cent over the last year remains at around the same level of
growth since late 2004 and is within the comfort zone of the Reserve Bank.
Allowing for the timing of a minimum wage increase that came into effect from 1
October, economists have said that the actual increase for the September quarter
was 1.3 per cent rather than 1 per cent, enough to keep the RBA on high alert
over coming months.
15 November 2007 - Consumers bounce back from rate rise
The Australian
Consumer confidence has not been dented by recent rate rises and of the prospect
of more to come. The Westpac-Melbourne Institute indicator released yesterday
showed that confidence has fallen 4.2 per cent from the beginning of last month
to this month but is still 16.3 per cent higher than one year ago and 10.5 per
cent above the long term average. Chief economist at Westpac, Bill Evans, said
that it was the smallest fall in confidence following a rate rise in recent
times. "The election campaign may have been a factor affecting households,
including the likely positive effect of the proposed tax cuts," he said.
15 November 2007 - Tax burden greater than reported
The Financial Review
Former Treasury official Greg Smith has disputed the government's claim that
Australia is a relatively low-taxing country. Mr Smith said that even with $7
billion in tax cuts next year the total tax take will be $350 billion, little
changed as a share of the economy from 10 years ago. He also pointed out that
comparisons with other countries were difficult as many of the items that are
payed for through tax overseas are not here, although they still remain as
burdens on taxpayers. For example, other countries have national social security
taxes but in Australia this is funded through compulsory superannuation
contributions which are not counted as a tax. Other fees and charges that are
funded through tax in other countries but not here include the Medicare
surcharge, co-payments and fees for education and the HECS loan schemes.
15 November 2007 - St George to beef up capital
Sydney Morning Herald
The new CEO at St George Bank, Paul Fegan, has jumped into the saddle and only
one day into the job announced a $1.15 billion raising to boost its capital
holdings. In a statement released after the close of trading yesterday the bank
said that it was cancelling a previous plan to raise $458 million through
underwriting its dividend reinvestment program. Instead up to $750 million worth
of new shares will be issued and a separate initiative to raise $400 million
should be finalised by the end of the year. Mr Fegan said that the extra capital
is needed so that the bank has plenty of headroom to grow.
15 November 2007 - Funding costs drive up margin loan rates
The Financial Review
Banks and credit unions are starting to pass their increased funding costs to
consumers although mainly on margin loans and only some mortgage products while
keeping increases on flagship variable rate loans to a minimum. An unnamed
representative of one lender said that margin loan clients had enjoyed years of
booming equity markets so could better withstand additional rate increases and
that the bank would suffer too much brand damage if higher funding costs were
passed on to home owners. BT Financial Group and Macquarie have both increased
their margin loan rates by 0.45 percentage points while ANZ has lifted its rates
by 0.35 percentage points. A spokesman for Westpac owned BT said that the 0.20
basis point rise on top of the RBA cash rate increase of 25 basis points was due
to the volatility in credit markets and associated increase in the cost of
borrowing that they had so far been absorbing.
15 November 2007 - Boom has at least another two years to run
Herald Sun
A group of Australia's leading economists have tipped that the current economic
boom will continue for at least two more years. At a meeting yesterday the
Australian Business Economists executive committee said that after 16 years of
economic growth fuelled by commodity price gains and consumer spending, the
conditions are set for growth to continue until at least the end of 2009.
However the committee unanimously predicted at least one interest rate rise of
25 basis points will be needed next year to rein in inflation and up to half
believe that rates will peak at 7.25 per cent before the end of 2008.
14 November 2007 - Export surge boosted by mining
The Financial Review
Export capacity is increasing after years of heavy investment in mines, roads,
ports and railways. Total export volumes increased by 2 per cent in the
September quarter and are up 5 per cent compared with last year according to
figures from the Reserve Bank. The drought has caused a 15 per cent fall in
rural exports over the year but this has been offset by an increase of 8.5 per
cent in non-rural export volumes. Iron ore exports alone jumped by 8 per cent in
the September quarter with the RBA predicting that international demand could
push prices up by 30 per cent over the next year.
14 November 2007 - Brisbane to more than double in 50 years
The Financial Review
Sydney is expected to remain Australia's largest city for at least the next 50
years according the Australian Bureau of Statistics. Assuming high levels of
fertility, life expectancy, overseas and interstate migrant flows the Bureau
expects Sydney's population to climb 46.5 per cent to 6.3 million in 2051. Over
the same period the forecast for Melbourne is a 60 per cent increase to a
population of 5.9 million and Perth to gain 98.3 per cent to nearly 3 million
people. The capital where the biggest increase is expected though is Brisbane
with a forecast growth of 125 per cent from 1.9 million people now to 4.2
million over the next five decades.
14 November 2007 - Macquarie says second half to be weaker
Daily Telegraph
Macquarie Group has announced a profit of $1 billion for the first six months of
the year while warning that the second half performance may not be as strong.
CEO Allan Moss said "Subject to market conditions, we expect the second half
result to be at least in line with the prior year's second half result of $733
million, but down on a very strong first half this year". The bank's overseas
expansion is returning handsome profits with income from other countries up by
70 per cent to $2.45 billion, and income from Asia alone up by 96 per cent to
$994 million. Shares in the company fell by 3 per cent to $79 after the
announcement.
14 November 2007 - New chief at St. George
Sydney Morning Herald
St. George Bank has announced that its new chief executive will be Paul Fegan
who has been acting in the role since the departure of Gail Kelly. Mr Fegan
previously headed the bank's combined retail and wealth management division
which has recently been responsible for contributing nearly 60 per cent of the
group's annual earnings. Investors responded to the news by lifting the price of
St George shares by 42 cents to $37.42.
14 November 2007 - E*Trade Australia not affected by US company troubles
The Australian
The ANZ bank has said that the problems affecting E*Trade in the US will have no
impact on its local online broking arm. Shares in the US company fell by 59 per
cent yesterday after it was announced that there would be significant losses
from investments in asset-backed securities. However the only link with the
Australian E*Trade operation is a licensing agreement with the US for use of the
name with management and ownership being completely separate. ANZ assumed
control of the broker in June this year after a February takeover deal worth
$432 million.
14 November 2007 - Reverse mortgage market slows
The Financial Review
The latest figures from DataMonitor show that growth in the reverse mortgage
market has started to slow with an expected increase of 5.8 per cent over the
year. Total reverse mortgage advances are anticipated to hit $660 million for
2007, a small increase compared with the jump from $239 million in 2004 to $624
million in 2006. The reverse mortgage market is now serviced by 26 lenders, up
from 6 in 2004. Market analysts DataMonitor say that they expect reverse
mortgage advances to reach $1.2 billion in 2011 as more people retire with a
greater proportion of their wealth tied up in equity.
14 November 2007 - Wage cost blow-out
The Financial Review
The latest National Australia Bank monthly survey shows that wages are
increasing at their fastest rate in nine years with an annual growth rate of 5.4
per cent. Official labour price data will be released today but is expected to
show an increase of 1 per cent in the September quarter to give an annual rate
of 4.1 per cent. While this is unlikely to be sufficient to cause the Reserve
Bank to increase rates in December, it will certainly be watching closely for
signs of any further acceleration in wage growth.
13 November 2007 - RBA suggests more increases to come
Sydney Morning Herald
The Reserve Bank looks likely to deliver further interest rate rises in 2008 but
the volatility present in equity and credit markets will spare Australian
borrowers from a follow up December increase. The RBA statement on monetary
policy revealed the central bank believes inflation will exceed 3 per cent for
2008 rising to 3.25 per cent.
13 November 2007 - Adelaide Bank investors tick off on Bendigo
Sydney Morning Herald
Adelaide Bank shareholders have voted in support of the $4 billion merger with
Bendigo Bank. The transaction will result in Adelaide Bank shareholders owning
45 per cent of the new organisation and despite being viewed by the market as a
take over, Adelaide Bank chairwomen Adele Lloyd describes the transaction as a
"true merger in every sense of the word".
13 November 2007 - Credit cards used to bridge pay periods
News.com.au
A News.com.au / CoreData survey has found that over half of Australians admit to
using their credit cards to bridge pay periods. The survey also revealed that 90
per cent of respondents held at least one credit card whilst 52 per cent said
that they had been charged penalty fees and or interest in the 12 months before
the survey.
13 November 2007 - Economists urge governments to stop big spending
promises
The Australian
Leading economists are suggesting that the resources boom and unrestrained
government spending may see interest rates increase and remain higher for some
time; they have called on the new Government to show restraint or risk inflation
spiralling out of control. Coalition election spending promises have seen the
size of the cash budget surplus for 2010-11 fall below 1 per cent which
economists argue is "economic nonsense".
13 November 2007 - Funding costs increase
The Financial Review
The Reserve Bank has revealed that the lenders funding costs for lenders had
been increased "over and beyond the effect of a high cash rate". The Bank
estimates that funding costs have increased between 10 to 15 basis points on
standard loans whilst low doc and non conforming loans had seen funding
increases of 35 and 100 basis points respectively. To date each of the big four
has not ruled out passing on further rate increases outside the RBA movements to
recover the increased cost of funds, though none has yet done so.
12 November 2007 - Call for a simple carbon tax
The Australian
The Centre for Independent Studies in Australia is promoting a carbon tax over
proposed emissions trading schemes. The centre argues that the tax must be
revenue neutral with money collected returned to consumers by further income tax
reductions and or subsidies for energy bills. Both the Coalition and Labor are
committed to introducing emissions trading from 2011.
12 November 2007 - Analysts bullish on NAB three year prospects
The Australian
National Australia Bank is poised to outperform the banking sector over the next
three years due to a heavy weighting in the business lending sector and a
disciplined approach to ensuring expense growth is below inflation until 2010
according to Deutsche Bank. NAB reported a 17.7 per cent lift in cash earnings
to $4.4 billion.
12 November 2007 - Strong dollar put pressure on business
The Financial Review
Macquarie Bank research has estimated that profits of listed companies will be
reduced by $A525 million if the currency remains over $US0.90. If the dollar
reaches parity and trades at the level for the balance of the financial year
profits may be slashed by $A875 million. Companies such as CSL, Amcor and
Fosters Group have already issued downgrades on earnings guidance citing the
strong Australian dollar.
12 November 2007 - Lenders keep increases within 25 points
The Financial Review
Whilst no major home lenders has increased their interest rates by more than the
RBA increase of 25 basis points, lenders are still warning that the increases
over the 25 points may still be required due to the continued increases in the
costs of funding bought on by the US sub-prime crisis.
11 November 2007 - US banks agree on $US75 billion bailout fund
New York Times
Three major US banks (Bank of America, Citigroup Inc and JP Morgan Chase & Co)
are believed to have reached agreement late Friday, approving a revised
structured funding facility. The banks have been in discussions for two months
with previous structures considered too complicated. The fund could be in
operation by the close of the year and it is thought up to 60 financial
institutions will be asked to contribute funding in the next fortnight. The fund
is being created to assist in avoiding severe credit market disruptions by
providing a safe haven for structure investments to avoid selling into illiquid
markets. The fund will require the approval of the major credit agencies to
ensure viability.
9 November 2007 - CUA members profit with the company
Infochoice.com.au
Credit Union Australia (CUA) has recorded a net profit of more than $48 million
over the 2006/07 financial year, with assets under management increasing to $6.6
billion. The 25 per cent increase in profitability placed CUA in a better
position to deliver benefits worth $7 million to its members, through revised
interest rates and fee structures. CUA Managing Director Graham Olrich was
adamant that CUA's member base would grow over the next financial year despite
recent difficulties in changing financial market conditions, stating "I do not
believe the market cycle is going to affect credit unions too greatly. In fact I
think this gives us a chance to snatch some market share back". He further went
on to proudly say that given the revised member fee structure "80 per cent of
members operated their accounts fee free". CUA's base of approximately 400,000
members extend across 74 branches throughout Queensland, New South Wales,
Victoria, Western Australia and the ACT.
9 November 2007 - Borrowers: Watch your lender closely
Infochoice.com.au
No surprise in the Reserve Bank's decision to raise interest rates this week,
but the spectre of further rate hikes to come in the next six months will surely
worry many borrowers. We'll have to wait until Monday and the RBA's quarterly
statement on monetary policy for any insight into the likelihood of higher rates
in the New Year.
The latest rate rise means most borrowers' home loan interest rate will hit 8
per cent for the first time this decade. While the standard variable rate is
already above this mark and set to reach 8.57 per cent, the majority of
borrowers will have either secured a discount to that rate from their bank or be
with a non-bank lender offering lower rate upfront.
The true benchmark variable rate, the average of the rates that borrowers are
actually paying as calculated by Infochoice, is expected to move from 7.75 per
cent to right on 8 per cent. But borrowers should watch closely - during this
rate rise period more than any other - for lenders passing on more than the 0.25
percentage points of the official rate rise.
Some lenders have been under pressure since the collapse of the sub-prime
mortgage market in the US. The cost of funds in the wholesale finance market has
risen and this has squeezed some lenders which may now be looking to use this
opportunity to lift rates by a larger margin.
Credit card holders especially need to watch their bank or card provider
closely. A number put up their credit card interest rate more than 0.25 per cent
after the August rate rise. Those that don't pay off their outstanding card
balance in full each month should not be using one of the high-rate cards which
will now go to a whopping 19 per cent and beyond. Most business borrowers will
already have seen rises in rates from the sub-prime fallout and can now expect
to see them rise again after the RBA hike.
The two rate increases we've seen, and the threat of more, will put a serious
dent in the owner-occupied housing market. The last rise in August alone appears
to have put paid to the recovery in home borrowing occurring in the middle of
2007.
September housing finance figures just out show a 2.4 per cent drop in the
number of loan approvals, while the value of loans fell by a similar amount. The
trend in both is clearly down as home affordability hits new lows.
The small rise in unemployment in October is not a cause for alarm. Overall job
numbers still grew, full-time positions very strongly. Generally, the labour
force is still growing and job creation is growing with it. Just one sign that
more interest rate rises may be in the pipeline.
9 November 2007 - Banks start to move but warn more to follow
The Financial Review
NAB was the first of the major banks to announce a change to the standard
variable (SVR) mortgage rate passing on the RBA rise of 25 basis points but
warning that further increases may be required if the cost of funds does not
fall back to normal levels experienced prior to the August credit crunch. The
new big bank SVR is now 8.57 per cent. NAB have also passed on a 25 basis point
increase to some personal deposit accounts and a thirty five basis point
increase to some business accounts.
9 November 2007 - ASIC launches action on Westpoint fiasco
The Financial Review
ASIC has launched legal action on behalf of Westpoint investors to recover $308
million for the former directors of the disgraced property financier and from
financial advisors who advised clients to invest in the products. ASIC are
pursuing five former directors for up to $245 million whilst in an additional
case will seek $63.2 million from five financial planning firms.
9 November 2007 - Jobs full steam ahead as pressure builds on rates
The Financial Review
Following the Reserve Bank decision to increase rates, jobs figures show that
70,600 full time positions were created in the last month a 16 year record,
however part-time positions were negative with 57,700 positions lost in the
month. Since the start of the year, 20,500 full time positions have been created
and the economy has lost a net 14,000 part time positions. Economists warn the
continued tight labour market will place pressure on wages and ultimately
interest rates.
9 November 2007 - APRA releases point of presence report
The Sheet
APRA reports that the number of "points of presence" (POP's) with a branch level
of service has increased by 106 or 1.6 per cent in the year to June 2007. The
report maps the location of every bank branch, ATM and even eftpos terminal.
Interesting highlights in an otherwise dull and questionable exercise suggested
that Building Societies are opening branches whilst credit unions closing them,
this would be due to consolidation in the Credit Union movement and the takeover
by Home Building Society of StateWest Credit Society. The overall picture shows
that banks are now opening branches rather than closing them.
8 November 2007 - Banks ready to pass rate increases
The Financial Review
The recent interest rate increases couldn't have come at a better time for
Australian banks as it provides them with added reason to increase rates across
their lending portfolios. Many of the banks have reported that the higher costs
of funding is the main driver increasing rates, while further pressures exist to
pass on more than the 25 basis point rate rise. Banks are expected to increase
their standard variable rates by the end of this week.
8 November 2007 - Oil prices set to reach $US100
The Financial Review
World oil prices leveled at $US98 a barrel yesterday setting a record high,
while many market analysts suggesting $US100 a barrel is not far off. A report
released by the US Energy Information Administration stated "Global oil markets
will likely remain stretched as world oil demand has continued to grow much
faster than oil supply outside of the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting
Countries (OPEC)..."
8 November 2007 - Fasten the seatbelts... more interest rises on the
horizon
The Australian
Economists warn that the Reserve Bank (RBA) is struggling to keep a hold on
spending and believe further interest rate increases are close. The RBA issued
an official warning with its 25 basis point increase that inflation could spike
outside the desired 2-3 per cent target range. Interest rate markets are now
pricing a post summer holiday increase in February as a certainty, whilst there
is still a school of thought favouring a one-two combination in the form of a
December increase.
8 November 2007 - Howard seeks forgiveness on interest rates
Sydney Morning Herald
Prime Minister John Howard has asked voters to trust him again with interest
rates after the Reserve Bank increased for the 6th time since the last election
and warned that the inflationary pressures are liable to warrant further action
in the near future. Prime Minister Howard argued that the government was not
responsible for the increases, pointing to factors identifiably the Reserve Bank
as beyond the government's control.
8 November 2007 - Sydney property picks up the pace
Sydney Morning Herald
Sydney house prices have picked up the pace to be growing at their fastest rate
since the end of the property boom, pointing to further deterioration in housing
affordability whilst rental vacancy rates continue to plummet. The rental market
in Sydney has reported strong increases in rents over the last 12 months with
experts forecasting the latest rate rise will increase rents further as
landlords look to recoup borrowing costs and maintain existing yields.
8 November 2007 - Business backs government over interest rates
The Australian
Business leaders have backed the Government's industrial relations policy
warning that the proposed Labor changes could encourage unaffordable wage
increases, placing further fuel on inflationary and interest rate pressures. The
head of the Australian Chamber of Commerce and Industry Mr. Peter Hendy warned
"rolling back Work Choices will increase pressure on interest rates."
8 November 2007 - Western Australia looking for another 400,000
The Australian
A report from the WA Chamber of Commerce suggest that a further 400,000 workers
will be needed in Western Australia over the next 10 years to ensure the state
has the capacity of reaping the full benefits of the economic boom. Currently
770 people are moving to WA each week but this is well short of demand for
workers and the shortfall is severely limiting the states ability to grow.
Projects such as the $100 billion pipeline are already short of workers and the
situation will get worse due to the ageing of the population.
7 November 2007 - BankWest lifts deposit rates
InfoChoice.com.au
BankWest has passed on the Reserve Bank's cash rate increase to its deposit
customers by increasing the TeleNet Saver's 12 month variable introductory rate
from 7.00 per cent to 7.20 per cent while the standard ongoing rate has been
increased by 25 basis points to 6.75 per cent. The bank's business customers do
not miss out with the AgriOne account rate up by 25 basis points to 6.0 per cent
and the Business TeleNet Saver rate increased by the same amount to 6.85 per
cent.
7 November 2007 - ING pumps up savings rates
InfoChoice.com.au
ING has reacted swiftly to the Reserve Bank's 0.25 per cent increase in the cash
rate today by announcing that it will pass on the full increase to its savings
account customers from Friday November 9. The special offer rate on its flagship
Savings Maximiser of 7.0 per cent will remain in place until the end of this
year but the base rate that customers will earn after that has increased from
6.15 per cent to 6.40 per cent. The new term deposit rates are the highest that
ING has offered yet with 7.25 per cent available for six month investments, 7.5
per cent for one year and 7.6 per cent for two years.
7 November 2007 - Buyers attracted to co-ownership
Daily Telegraph
Research conducted by Wizard Home Loans has found that many people are turning
to co-ownership to help overcome the high price of property. In a survey of 300
people who are about to buy a new home half were considering teaming up with up
to five of their friends so that they could afford to purchase. Wizard has
joined with co-ownership specialists PodProperty to offer borrowers guidance and
pro-forma 50 page legal agreements to enable borrowers to get important legal
advice before entering such an arrangement.
7 November 2007 - Strong profits from building societies and credit unions
The Australian
A report by KPMG Financial Services says that building societies and credit
unions could afford to avoid passing on the higher cost of funding to their
customers through increased rates. Partner Martin McGrath said that with profit
growth for building societies at 14.3 per cent and credit unions at 16.4 per
cent they could keep interest rate increases at a minimum in order to win market
share from non-bank lenders. "If cost of funds goes up, one or two things can
happen. You either put up the cost of your loan products, or your profits
shrink," he said. The KPMG survey found that while the rates of growth in the
sector were strong they are below system growth so their market share is
slipping.
7 November 2007 - Pressure on construction costs
The Financial Review
Surging business investment is expected to increase construction costs with
private sector capital investment up by 14 per cent in the September quarter to
$535.5 billion. The latest figures from Access Economics show that the value of
current and commissioned project now total $178.4 billion while those in
planning jumper 20 per cent to $357.1 billion. "We have seen in the last few
years the sharpest rise in construction demand in the nation's history. The
pipeline of work to be done has tripled since 2001, and the construction boom is
getting bigger," said the director of Access Economics, Chris Richardson.
Investment in new office space was up by 26 per cent to $11.3 billion and any
increase in housing activity would only exacerbate price pressures.
7 November 2007 - Prosecutions over Westpoint advice
The Financial Review
Two financial advisors have had their licenses removed by the Australian
Securities and Investments Commission for advising their clients to put money
into failed investment group Westpoint. ASIC banned one of the advisors for 8
years as he had been operating without a licence, did not disclose commissions
and made misleading statements about the security of Westpoint products. The
other had has been banned from giving advice for five years after ASIC found
that he had given inappropriate advice and made misleading statements about
Westpoint products. Six advisors have now had their licenses suspended and a
further 13 cases are yet to be determined.
7 November 2007 - National e-conveyancing system could be forced
The Financial Review
Attorney General Philip Ruddock has said that if the Howard government is
re-elected the commonwealth's constitutional powers will be used to set up a
national land registry. If the states fail to create a national e-conveyancing
system Mr Ruddock said that the commonwealth will look at whether or not the
constitutional communications power may give it a basis for looking at this area
of responsibility. Previous plans for a national conveyancing system fell apart
after Victoria failed to make software developed for its electronic system
available to NSW.
7 November 2007 - Affordability could be solved by lowering prices
The Australian
ANZ economist Saul Eslake has said that housing affordability is just as bad as
it was when interest rates were at 17 per cent but for different reasons.
"Whereas the reason for dire housing affordability back then was high interest
rates and the solution was low interest rates, which in principle is easy enough
to achieve, today housing affordability is as bad as it is because of high house
prices," he said. The only solution according to Mr Eslake is to lower house
prices, but this would be unpopular with those who already own houses as they
are often their main source of wealth.
7 November 2007 - Borrowers hit by another rate rise
infochoice.com.au
The Reserve Bank has increased the official cash rate by 0.25 per cent, the
tenth increase since 2001 and the first time such a move has been made during an
election campaign. The RBA cited an underlying annual inflation rate of 3 per
cent in the year to September as one of the key factors in its decision. This is
likely to be over three per cent by March next year as demand in the economy
continues to be very strong and shortages of labour persist. The rise will add
$67 to the monthly repayments on a $400,000 home loan.
6 November 2007 - Job ads boom as firms hunt for staff
Sydney Morning Herald
The number of jobs being advertised in October increased 2.7 per cent to an
average of 254,554 per week, while the total number of job ads was 30.5 per cent
higher than for October last year. The latest results from the ANZ job ads
series show that demand for labour remains very strong but the head of economics
at the bank, Tony Pearson, said that the October increase follows four months of
flat or declining advertisements so, in aggregate, there is a steady slowing in
the monthly trend increase in advertisements. "This suggests the demand for
workers is now not increasing as quickly as it was earlier in the year," he
said. Economists are tipping that the unemployment rate for October will remain
at its 33-year low of 4.2 per cent when labour force data is released by the
Bureau of Statistics on Thursday.
6 November 2007 - Inflationary pressure building
Sydney Morning Herald
The case for the Reserve Bank announcing an increase in interest rates tomorrow
continues to build with the TD Securities-Melbourne Institute monthly inflation
gauge for October rising by 0.3 per cent. Increases of 0.2 per cent in September
and 0.5 per cent in August have contributed to a rate of 3.3 per cent for the
twelve months to the end of October and well above the reserve's target band of
2 to 3 per cent. The increase was driven by rising prices for fuel, holiday
travel and accommodation, utilities and fruit and vegetables. Partially
offsetting these were falls in the prices of audio, visual and computing
equipment.
6 November 2007 - PM says banks should minimise rate rises
Sydney Morning Herald
The Prime Minister John Howard has warned banks that they have no right to "take
advantage" of the sub-prime crisis in the US by increasing their interest rates
more than any expected increase in the official cash rate. "Australian banks are
very profitable and increases in interest rates not related to increases in
official interest rates would need to be very carefully justified," he said. The
general manager of InfoChoice, Denis Orrock, said that he expects competitive
pressures will prevent any additional rate increases. By limiting rate increases
banks could win market share from non-bank lenders who are more reliant on
funding from global credit markets.
6 November 2007 - Virgin looking for growth
The Australian
Virgin Money is looking to build scale in its business through the purchase of
other non-bank lenders. Virgin Money Australia's CEO David Wakeling said that
the company is in talks with two Australian mortgage distributors, one of which
could involve a purchase price of tens of millions of dollars. "There's
recognition in Virgin that financial services is a scale game and we want to
build our scale to be more competitive. It's the same realisation that underlies
Richard Branson's attempts to rescue Northern Rock in the UK," he said.
Superannuation and mortgage assets are growing quickly for Virgin Money in
Australia and it already has 560,000 credit cards on issue.
6 November 2007 - Micro-businesses want better relationships
The Financial Review
A study of micro-businesses, defined as those with a turn-over of between $1
million and $5 million, has found that while almost half want a dedicated
business banker to deal with, only 16.6 per cent actually have one. The majority
of respondents to the East & Partners Micro Business Banking Markets Report
nominated a relationship banker as their preferred method of contact with a bank
while 31.2 per cent said they preferred to use the internet. Where business
banking relationships did exist almost 90 per cent said that they had been
established for less than one year. According to the general manager of East &
Partners, David Bartholomew, there are approximately 200,000 micro businesses in
Australia, representing a major opportunity for banks.
6 November 2007 - Borrowers seek safety in fixed rates
The Financial Review
Figures from the Australian Finance Group show that the threat of higher
interest rates has made more consumers choose a fixed rate for their mortgage.
Of the 8,797 mortgages taken out last month 23.2 per cent opted for a fixed
rate, a 43 per cent increase from the 16.5 per cent that chose to fix in July.
6 November 2007 - Sub-prime problems spook market
Daily Telegraph
The local sharemarket fell yesterday as concerns about the US sub-prime crisis
were reignited. The chief of Citigroup in the US, Charles Prince, was forced to
resign after the company announced that it planned to take $8 to $11 billion
more in credit and other write-downs. The major banks all saw their share prices
drop while the local S&P/ASX200 index lost 114.3 points to 6582.3 and more
volatility is expected during the week.
5 November 2007 - Y can't I afford a home?
Sydney Morning Herald
Generation Y, broadly defined as those aged between 20 and 30, are being
squeezed out of the property market by a combination of their own spending
patterns, lower incomes and the financial strength of baby boomers. A Roy Morgan
research report, State of the Nation, has found that those under 30 owe an
average of $202,000 compared with the average of people between 30 and 44 years
of $179,000. The report also found that incomes for those under 30 have
increased at a slower rate than for the rest of the population and that only 13
per cent of this group have a home loan, compared with 17 per cent of the
previous generation when they were that age. Baby boomers are helping to keep
property prices high by continuing to buy well past middle age while increasing
the level of equity in their houses to 72 per cent from 66 per cent 10 years
ago. Of the under-30's surveyed 28 per cent agreed with the statement "I was
born to shop" compared with 19 per cent a decade ago.
5 November 2007 - Credit code changes could limit bank fees
The Financial Review
Banks, credit unions and other lenders are opposing amendments to the Consumer
Credit Code that are aimed at cracking down on payday lenders. The proposed
changes target those lenders who offer short-term loans, usually less than
$300,000 to consumers with low incomes or impaired credit records. However
mainstream lenders are concerned that the changes will affect all lenders not
just those on the fringes. "We are firmly of the view that many of the proposed
amendments are inappropriate, wrongly directed at mainstream credit providers
and likely to have a significant and anti-competitive impact on the market,
which will directly affect the choices available to all consumers," said the
Australian Bankers Association in a submission. The ANZ Bank said that the lower
threshold on the 'unreasonableness' test could allow a court to effectively set
prices and would cast doubt over the ability of financial services firms to
return a profit to shareholders.
5 November 2007 - ASX lists CFD's
The Financial Review
The Australian Stock Exchange will today be the first in the world to trade
listed contracts for difference (CFD's). Unlisted CFD's have been used in
Australia for the last 5 years and the ASX's listed CFD's have been two years in
the planning. Anecdotal evidence suggests that unlisted CFD's are more popular
with retail traders than warrants, exchange traded options and futures markets
and the ASX has high expectations that listed CFD's will become a major market.
While nine brokers have already signed up to offer listed CFD's E*Trade has
decided to watch from the sidelines for now. Managing director John Daley said
that direct market access unlisted CFD's offer a wider range of alternatives and
has concerns that the listed version won't offer the same liquidity.
5 November 2007 - Pace of super switching slows
The Financial Review
The number of people using the legislation introduced 5 years ago to allow
switching of superannuation funds is dwindling. Research company Roy Morgan
reports that only 3.3 per cent of savers switched their super fund in the three
months to June, down from 4 per cent in the December quarter and almost half the
6 per cent reported in the quarter to September 2005. The director of Roy
Morgan, Norman Morris, said that the decline in switching could be attributed to
the recent strong performance of super funds as well as an easing in pent-up
demand. The proportion of people satisfied with the performance of their fund
was at 62.2 per cent for the first half of this year, compared with 52.4 per
cent for the first six months of 2005.
5 November 2007 - Borrowers desert RAMS
Sydney Morning Herald
Mortgage brokers are reporting a high volume of borrowers with RAMS Home Loans
looking to refinance with other lenders and many are showing a preference for
the major banks. The brokers say that people are leavings RAMS in part due to
the negative attention that the brand has received but also because they have
raised interest rates to uncompetitive levels. One broker reports that 20 to 30
per cent of the refinancing he has done in the last month is for RAMS which is
much higher than their market penetration. Another broker reported that 15 to 20
per cent of his refinances were for RAMS and that others want to switch but have
been unable to due to falling property values. The three year fixed rate of 8.39
per cent offered by RAMS is near the top of the market.
5 November 2007 - Job ads climbing
The Australian
The latest data shows that the number of jobs being advertised online increased
by 4.37 per cent in October and by 50.07 per cent over the last year. According
to the Olivier Internet Job Index the increase is being driven by engineering
and mining jobs which were up by 11.65 per cent but all sectors are growing with
the exception of arts and entertainment.
5 November 2007 - ALP offers tax breaks for house deposits
The Australian
The Labor Party yesterday outlined its $600 million policy to help improve
housing affordability. If elected, a Labor government would help people to save
the deposit for a home through tax concessions on a special savings account for
up to $64,000. The scheme would require a minimum deposit of $1,000 each year
but would allow up to $5,000 to be added pre-tax and a further $5,000 of
post-tax income annually. Similar to superannuation savings, pre-tax
contributions would be taxed at a rate of 15 per cent but deposits must not be
touched for four years and can only be released tax-free if used for a deposit
for a home. If the account holder decides not to purchase a home then the tax
benefit can be retained by rolling the funds into superannuation.
2 November 2007 - Case for Cup Day rate rise strengthens
InfoChoice.com.au
As if the risk of another hike in official interest rates wasn't already high
after last week's inflation figures, latest economic data suggests there is
little chance the Reserve bank won't lift rates again in the coming week.
Borrowers should brace for a 0.25 percentage-point rate rise to be announced on
Wednesday which would be passed on to retail loans and take the mortgage rate
for most borrowers over 8 per cent.
Building approvals took a surprise jump in September, at odds with the string of
flat results in recent months which have had the housing market in the doldrums.
A 6.8 per cent rise was well above expectations, but was largely on the back of
a spike in apartment approvals. It's only one month's figures but the
construction market does cautiously appear to be trending up, giving the RBA
more food for thought.
Retail sales posted another healthy result in September, 0.8 per cent growth in
turnover and 1.9 per cent in volumes. Consumers are showing a solid trend to
spend as we head into Christmas.
The RBA's own measures of lending in the economy reveal that business continues
to borrow at exceptional levels. Business credit is now growing at an annual
rate of more than 23 per cent after accelerating over the last quarter to 2 per
cent growth a month or more - a further indication that there is little prospect
in sight of investment and economic expansion winding down into 2008.
Personal and housing credit, however, show a different story. Personal credit
growth has tailed off over recent months, going negative in the last quarter. It
appears consumers are spending more while borrowing less, something the RBA
won't be unhappy about as long as the credit decline doesn't steepen. Housing
credit remains flat, growing at less than 1 per cent per month recently, quite
modest by previous years' standards.
A reversal in the borrowing profile across the economy is now complete -
consumer borrowing for housing and consumption was driving the economy for the
first half of the decade with businesses reluctant to invest. Now it's
business-owners driving the economy with long-overdue investment in capacity
that will make for an economy more able to grow sustainably.
That's good for the medium to long term, but doesn't do much for the inflation
threat which faces us in the short to medium term. And that's what is highly
likely to see the RBA decide to raise rates on Melbourne Cup day, adding another
$17 a month to variable home loan repayments for every $100,000 borrowed.
2 November 2007 - Retails sales growth puts pressure on rates
The Financial Review
The chance of an interest rate rise next week has increased even further with
the latest retails sales figures showing that we are spending at the fastest
rate in over three years. For the month of September retail sales were up 0.8
per cent, driving the annual growth rate to a very strong 8.2 per cent. Balance
of trade figures released yesterday show a 1 per cent increase for imports of
consumption goods which include electronics and furniture. With little sign of
any slowdown after the August interest rate rise the Reserve is almost certain
to raise rates next week and it is becoming likely that another rise will follow
soon after.
2 November 2007 - More people staying in workforce longer
The Financial Review
In good news for employers struggling with a shortage of skilled staff a survey
has found that more people than ever over the age of 55 have no plans to retire.
The study by Nielsen Panorama reports that 55 per cent of workers who are aged
between 55 and 64 have no short term retirement plans, up from 43 per cent just
one year ago. This means that there are 980,000 people over the age of 55 in the
workforce who either have no plans to retire or did not intend to retire within
the next 5 years.
2 November 2007 - Tough new rules for investment schemes
Sydney Morning Herald
The Australian Securities and Investments Commission has moved to protect
consumers by introducing new rules for issuers of unlisted debentures. As debts
from losses on investments with unlisted property lenders such as Fincorp and
Westpoint now total $1.3 billion, the regulator has announced eight key
financial benchmarks that must be disclosed about these types of investments.
Two of the conditions specifically address property investment groups which will
now have to inform investors of their loan-to-value ratios and the valuation of
their portfolios. All investment groups will also have to disclose their equity
component, liquidity and credit ratings and where the information cannot be
provided reasons must be given. The new rules come into effect on 1 December
2007.
2 November 2007 - US rate cut makes dollar jump
The Australian
The sharemarket, oil and the Australian dollar have all gone up following
yesterday's announcement of a 0.25 percentage point cut in the US cash rate by
the Federal Reserve. The S&P/ASX200 gained 74.6 points to 6828.7 and has gained
21 per cent over the last year. The Australian dollar reached a new 23-year high
above US93 cents while crude oil hit $US96.24 a barrel. With signs that the US
economy was recovering from its sub-prime crisis with an annualised growth rate
of 3.9 per cent, the Fed signalled that the latest cut could be the last easing
of policy.
2 November 2007 - Wizard expanding horizons
The Australian
Wizard is going global with plans to open branch networks in India, Greece,
Eastern Europe and Latin America. According to Wizard Home Loans founder Mark
Bouris the first location will be India where the company plans to open over 250
branches in the next four years. Mr Bouris is also behind plans for a new
personal finance advice business in Australia called Yellow Brick Road which
opened for business in July.
2 November 2007 - Business lending drives Westpac profit
The Financial Review
Westpac is the latest bank to report a record profit for the year to September,
with an after-tax result of $3.45 billion, up 12 per cent from the previous
year. Shares in the bank gained 52 cents to close at $31.06 after reporting
strong growth, particularly in business lending and its wealth management
division. Total loans grew by 16 per cent and deposits by 19 per cent. The banks
mortgage book expanded by 12 per cent while business lending was up 16 per cent.
Revenue leaped by 9 per cent while growth in costs was limited to 6 per cent
driving Westpac's cost-to-income ratio to a new low for the bank of 45 per cent.
1 November 2007 - Credit growth increases rate pressure
The Financial Review
The Reserve Bank of Australia has reported that the total value of credit to the
private sector was up by 1.2 per cent, contributing to a rise of 15.9 per cent
over the year, the fastest rate of growth in credit since 1989. Borrowing by
businesses leaped by 2 per cent in the month and is running at an annual growth
rate of 23.3 per cent. Analysis of international consumer price indices shows
that Australia's CPI, excluding fuel and food increased by 2.5 per cent in the
September quarter compared with an OECD average of 1.9 per cent. These figures
show that the local economy has not been significantly affected by the US
sub-prime debacle and subsequent global credit tightening, so add to the case
for another rate rise in an attempt to curb inflationary tendencies.
1 November 2007 - St George confident about future
Sydney Morning Herald
At St George Bank's profit result announcement yesterday the acting chief
executive, Paul Fegan, said that he expects healthy growth over the next year
due in part to improved economic performance in the bank's home state of NSW.
However plans to become a more national bank will be accelerated with at least
72 new branches opened, mainly in Queensland, Victoria and Western Australia. Mr
Fegan also reassured the bank's 480,000 home loan borrowers that their mortgage
rates would only increase in line with movements in the Reserve Bank's cash rate
despite an increase in the cost of funding caused by the global credit shortage.
1 November 2007 - IWL to be swallowed by CBA
The Financial Review
Shareholders have approved the proposed takeover of online broker IWL by the
Commonwealth Bank. The deal, worth $373 million, was overwhelmingly approved at
a shareholder meeting yesterday. IWL shareholders will receive either cash or
CBA shares in return for the holdings on November 26.
1 November 2007 - US Fed cuts rate, dollar soars
Sydney Morning Herald
The Australian dollar has pushed past US93 cents this morning following the US
Federal Reserve's decision to cut its cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.5 per
cent. The local currency is at its highest value against the greenback in 23
years, being buoyed by the prospect of another increase in the cash rate when
the Reserve Bank of Australia meets next week.
1 November 2007 - Record profit from Suncorp
The Age
Shares in Suncorp remained steady after yesterday's announcement of a record
after-tax profit for 2006-07 of $1.064 billion, an increase of 16.2 per cent on
last year. While the bank warned that the higher cost of funding could wipe up
to $15 million off its earnings in the coming year chief executive John Mulcahy
has forecast 10 per cent growth in profits this year. The bank has signalled
that some capital will be returned to shareholders in the second half of the
current financial year, after the first anniversary of Suncorp's $7.9 billion
takeover of the Promina insurance group.
1 November 2007 - Owning a home gets tougher
The Financial Review
New data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows that home owners with
mortgages paid an average of 20 per cent of their gross income, or $338 per
week, for housing in 2005-06. Renters were paying an average of 19 per cent of
their income for housing, or $223 per week, however for people on lower incomes
the percentage needed for rental payments increased to 29 per cent or $193 per
week. The situation is getting worse with house prices and rents increasing
significantly since 2005-06. The median price for houses and units was up by
12.34 per cent in the year to September alone. The proportion of people owning
their dwelling decreased for 42 per cent in 1994-95 to 34 per cent in 2005-06.
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